Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0c0…85a458
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
272
Trades
42,698
lifetime
Volume
$396.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$314
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-22 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
53% 35% $-3,058
Crypto
28% 25% $-84
Politics
9% 32% $-222
Sports
7% 35% $-233
Tech
2% 0% $-92
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $38 63¢ $59 +$21 07-04 20:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -80 $-74 62¢ $-50 +$24 07-08 22:50
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +94 $-1 37¢ $35 +$36 07-06 11:47
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No -80 $261 32¢ $-26 $-286 07-10 18:33
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -46 $-43 37¢ $-17 +$26 07-22 07:40
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -26 $-55 62¢ $-16 +$39 07-06 13:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -50 $-48 26¢ $-13 +$35 07-06 20:39
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +15 $-31 70¢ $10 +$42 07-05 03:10
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $9 25¢ $10 +$2 07-17 04:59
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? Yes -80 $-15 12¢ $-10 +$5 07-14 01:51
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -72 $-64 13¢ $-9 +$55 07-06 03:31
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-7 90¢ $-9 $-1 06-02 14:25
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No -6 $-5 87¢ $-5 $-0 07-19 06:11
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -22 $-6 24¢ $-5 +$1 07-15 04:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-8 10¢ $-5 +$2 07-04 13:37
California voter ID referendum passes? Yes -10 $-5 52¢ $-5 $-0 07-12 07:51
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 07-21 17:12
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes -16 $-4 29¢ $-5 $-0 07-21 17:48
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 30¢ $4 +$1 07-04 21:18
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Yes +49 $5 8¢ $4 $-1 07-19 02:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-4 23¢ $-4 +$0 07-12 03:28
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes -40 $-3 9¢ $-4 $-1 07-06 01:33
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes -85 $-8 2¢ $-2 +$6 06-01 17:08
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 07-08 12:51
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -8 $-0 5¢ $-0 $-0 07-07 18:37
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No -5 $-1 7¢ $-0 +$0 07-13 05:24
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? Yes +3 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 07-04 12:28
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -10 $-0 1¢ $-0 $-0 07-17 15:36