easierthanmanifold 0xe15140…c2a852
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$185
Unrealized P&L
+$94
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
461
lifetime
Volume
$6.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$966
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-08 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$2
Other
39% 0% $-182
Tech
11% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +460 $430 100¢ $459 +$29 07-04 17:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $159 66¢ $199 +$40 06-24 00:21
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No -135 $-132 97¢ $-131 +$1 06-27 16:49
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +72 $46 83¢ $59 +$13 06-04 18:41
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +100 $45 31¢ $31 $-14 07-02 14:24
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +71 $26 36¢ $26 +$0 06-22 19:44
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $14 83¢ $25 +$11 05-29 18:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -98 $-27 21¢ $-20 +$7 05-31 06:15
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +16 $10 99¢ $15 +$6 06-22 19:41