easierthanmanifold 0xe15140…c2a852
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$185
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
428
lifetime
Volume
$5.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$262
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-09 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46% 100% +$2
Other
41% 0% $-182
Tech
11% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$2 05-30 07:14
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -70 $-51 100¢ $-70 $-19 05-29 20:34
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +72 $46 61¢ $44 $-3 06-04 18:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -98 $-27 27¢ $-26 +$1 05-31 06:15
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $14 47¢ $14 +$1 05-29 18:06
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-10 +$0 06-09 09:29