easierthanmanifold 0xe15140…c2a852
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Realized P&L
-$185
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
451
lifetime
Volume
$6.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$979
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-28 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$2
Other
39% 0% $-182
Tech
11% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +465 $434 97¢ $450 +$16 06-28 17:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $159 58¢ $175 +$16 06-24 00:21
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No -135 $-132 98¢ $-132 $-1 06-27 16:49
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 05-30 07:14
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +72 $46 62¢ $44 $-2 06-04 18:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -98 $-27 26¢ $-25 +$2 05-31 06:15
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +71 $26 29¢ $20 $-5 06-22 19:44
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $14 54¢ $16 +$3 05-29 18:06
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +16 $10 99¢ $15 +$6 06-22 19:41