Idolized-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

1,831

Trades

3,621

lifetime

Volume

$48.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-09 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 81% -$57

Other

29% 50% -$270

Politics

7% 31% -$799

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$8	60¢	$6	-$1	09-03 01:06
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$3	40¢	$4	+$1	09-03 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike cyprus in march	5	$554	680	680	+0	No	-$114	03-02 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$453	308	155	+153	Up	+$6	04-28 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$453	308	155	+153	Up	+$6	04-29 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$450	309	152	+158	Up	+$8	04-28 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$406	208	208	+0	Up	+$6	04-29 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$402	204	204	+0	Up	+$2	04-29 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$400	202	202	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 18:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$397	1,249	1,249	+0	No	-$222	01-29 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$391	213	206	+6	Up	-$3	04-29 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$359	207	206	+1	Down	-$41	04-29 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$348	215	177	+38	Down	+$41	04-27 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$302	156	153	+3	Up	+$5	04-30 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$302	155	153	+2	Down	+$3	04-29 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$300	152	152	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$300	314	0	+314	Up	+$14	04-29 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$300	153	152	+2	Down	+$2	04-29 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$300	152	152	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$300	152	152	+0	Up	+$0	04-30 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$269	141	138	+3	Down	+$0	04-27 16:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$266	696	696	+0	No	-$16	01-12 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$256	450	450	+0	Yes	-$13	02-28 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-29 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-29 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-29 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-29 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$200	215	0	+215	Up	+$15	04-29 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-29 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$200	218	0	+218	Down	+$18	04-29 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$200	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	04-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$200	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	04-29 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 09:43:57	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5f07af…
10-09 09:43:57	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2884b4…
09-26 04:29:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb43a7f…
09-26 04:26:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd73f9e…
09-26 04:19:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x46912c…
09-26 04:17:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x216a73…
09-26 03:42:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8593ff…
09-26 03:40:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2b0cd0…
09-25 23:31:54	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x03754f…
09-25 20:48:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x16c203…
09-25 20:46:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x85a2c3…
09-25 18:44:42	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xaf48f7…
09-25 12:10:51	wti closes above 94 on september 25 2026	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xdfe20f…
09-25 11:52:33	will mu dip to 1050 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x96534d…
09-25 11:50:26	will mu dip to 1050 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9e3af1…
09-25 11:49:51	wti closes above 94 on september 25 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x60fa9e…
09-25 11:47:00	wti closes above 96 on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x3b9c24…
09-25 11:44:42	wti closes above 96 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcf6113…
09-25 11:44:00	wti closes above 95 on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x52087e…
09-25 11:41:29	wti closes above 95 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8eac33…
09-25 11:20:09	will meta dip to 740 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x9a57fc…
09-25 11:08:32	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xe0d4de…
09-25 11:01:36	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x52dfb8…
09-25 10:23:33	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8105ee…
09-25 10:06:33	will meta dip to 740 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe60841…
09-25 09:59:39	will spy dip to 765 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x624a2e…
09-25 09:50:27	will googl dip to 340 in september 2026 from september 24	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3d0c96…
09-25 09:30:41	will googl dip to 340 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x74ceff…
09-25 06:08:26	googl up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x2d1961…
09-25 06:01:51	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x034295…
09-25 06:01:21	will coin dip to 195 in september 2026 from september 24	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xbfc6f1…
09-25 05:59:00	will coin dip to 195 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8cd223…
09-25 05:55:18	nvda up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x6091c5…
09-25 05:43:51	googl up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x26b76b…
09-25 05:43:48	nvda up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd6c517…
09-25 05:40:11	will meta dip to 760 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x3ab08e…
09-25 05:38:39	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x38e873…
09-25 05:35:09	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x416acb…
09-25 05:34:08	will ewy reach 186 in september 2026 from september 24	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x714db5…
09-25 05:33:12	will meta dip to 760 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x72da4e…
09-25 05:33:12	will meta dip to 760 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x483343…
09-25 05:33:08	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xe69209…
09-25 05:33:08	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc13e18…
09-25 05:31:48	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x710d4c…
09-25 05:31:42	will ewy reach 186 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb65442…
09-25 05:31:11	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9760d3…
09-25 05:12:27	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xa73b7e…
09-25 05:12:09	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0f521d…
09-25 05:10:06	will pltr dip to 189 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xef880d…
09-25 04:52:18	will ewy reach 186 in september 2026 from september 24	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x873e16…
09-25 03:08:27	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xf03b3d…
09-25 03:08:02	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xde8f4f…
09-25 03:03:21	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in September?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9aef7f…
09-25 02:49:18	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x849e2b…
09-25 02:46:48	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x69a19f…
09-25 02:44:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaebb9c…
09-25 02:34:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6c3c9e…
09-25 02:33:59	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe08769…
09-25 02:28:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0b692c…
09-25 02:28:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x800d79…
09-25 02:28:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x15d840…
09-25 02:28:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd7b9c0…
09-25 02:28:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xaa0caa…
09-25 02:28:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x382694…
09-25 02:28:11	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9f2eac…
09-25 02:15:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x8ae6ef…
09-25 02:13:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe07a4c…
09-25 01:54:53	will meta dip to 740 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x71b326…
09-25 01:54:39	will meta dip to 740 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x116fba…
09-25 01:50:45	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x6e8825…
09-25 01:49:24	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xabff86…
09-25 01:24:36	will googl dip to 340 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x4338ab…
09-25 01:22:17	will googl dip to 340 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdf1070…
09-25 01:14:02	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xaa08dc…
09-25 01:12:33	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6cb5e0…
09-25 01:05:26	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xc53407…
09-25 00:38:39	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xb91a21…
09-25 00:38:38	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4e22af…
09-25 00:38:36	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x998afc…
09-25 00:37:06	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x0b42b8…
09-25 00:36:12	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf04f44…
09-25 00:23:44	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xb5826a…
09-25 00:15:20	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe82409…
09-25 00:14:08	will meta dip to 740 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x77a68e…
09-25 00:02:42	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xb4a2a4…
09-25 00:01:00	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x15e28a…
09-25 00:01:00	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x09f519…
09-25 00:00:14	will meta dip to 740 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf00967…
09-24 23:59:59	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x6ebfcd…
09-24 23:59:05	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9c9f12…
09-24 23:59:00	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf93697…
09-24 23:58:54	will googl reach 350 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x7dfb4d…
09-24 23:41:24	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xcf2c77…
09-24 23:30:15	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x240bcc…
09-24 22:53:12	will googl reach 350 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x12faa5…
09-24 21:32:23	will meta dip to 740 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3bfcc3…
09-24 21:05:14	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x28f8cd…
09-24 20:37:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8dd552…
09-24 20:37:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8e1c84…
09-24 19:56:44	will pltr dip to 186 by september 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x1e5f8b…