Realized P&L
+$103
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
33
Trades
806
lifetime
Volume
$7.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$363
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
73% 48% $-26
Politics
12% 100% +$129
Crypto
8%
Sports
6% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +512 $59 12¢ $59 $-0 07-19 13:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +150 $34 29¢ $43 +$8 07-17 23:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +50 $24 76¢ $38 +$14 07-06 11:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 36¢ $36 $-14 06-06 22:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +333 $50 11¢ $35 $-15 06-06 22:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $45 32¢ $35 $-10 07-18 12:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -30 $-29 96¢ $-29 +$0 07-04 10:27
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? Yes +30 $19 57¢ $17 $-1 07-05 14:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -19 $-17 90¢ $-17 +$1 07-04 10:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +40 $20 40¢ $16 $-5 06-06 15:18
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -14 $-14 99¢ $-14 $-0 06-29 08:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +136 $15 $12 $-3 07-04 10:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $20 12¢ $10 $-10 05-29 15:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -68 $-0 $-4 $-4 07-04 10:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -38 $-8 $-0 +$8 07-04 10:25