Active-Loft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$7.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-01 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

74% 48% $-26

Politics

12% 100% +$129

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	4	$288	344	344	+0	open	—	01-12 01:05
si hit 80 high jan 2026 988 594 987	3	$195	193	132	+62	open	—	01-05 20:44
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$119	61	61	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$93	66	66	+0	open	—	02-14 09:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$84	75	75	+0	open	—	05-23 21:26
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 12:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$75	79	0	+79	open	—	04-14 14:49
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	01-23 17:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$69	199	0	+199	Yes	+$129	04-17 12:56
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$68	70	70	+0	open	—	07-07 18:37
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	07-18 12:36
uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 total 2pt5	2	$60	39	38	+1	open	—	04-16 20:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	3	$59	512	0	+512	open	—	07-19 13:15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$58	39	39	+0	open	—	01-31 11:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	3	$56	74	74	+0	open	—	01-16 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 22:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$50	333	0	+333	open	—	06-06 22:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	30	30	-0	open	—	06-02 06:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	4	$48	190	190	+0	open	—	06-16 05:53
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	03-05 07:09
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	6	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 05:54
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	06-30 19:24
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	2	$45	49	49	+0	open	—	06-30 18:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	110	0	+110	open	—	07-18 12:38
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 06:17
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 05:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	3	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	03-06 15:25
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	02-16 14:20
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$42	37	37	+0	open	—	01-28 14:40
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	04-09 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 12:32:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x138ee9…
08-01 08:43:50	atp gombos bueno 2026 08 01	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xea3267…
08-01 08:43:29	atp kumstat nagal 2026 08 01	Jan Kumstat	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x47d514…
07-28 17:58:22	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xe833ac…
07-19 13:15:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x0bf386…
07-18 12:38:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5a7e73…
07-18 12:36:43	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x825861…
07-17 23:22:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	63	23¢	$15	0x61c9b2…
07-17 18:13:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	175	8¢	$14	0x1eed4a…
07-17 09:49:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0x5c9404…
07-15 23:22:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x9df20f…
07-12 13:18:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe46fab…
07-12 08:34:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa26191…
07-09 09:06:28	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x328795…
07-09 08:57:35	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2ec7c2…
07-08 16:16:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x9f1c84…
07-07 18:38:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0xc25ebf…
07-07 18:37:05	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	70	54¢	$38	0x12790b…
07-07 18:35:17	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x00d893…
07-06 16:29:20	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7d6dd1…
07-06 11:40:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x25319c…
07-06 08:57:25	atp dimitro fery 2026 07 06	Arthur Fery	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xd66a00…
07-05 14:36:16	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x491fb0…
07-05 14:36:14	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x08ecc9…
07-05 08:51:16	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb881de…
07-05 08:47:25	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x275b43…
07-05 08:43:49	atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x47755e…
07-04 20:46:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4058a9…
07-04 10:51:04	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04 match total 36pt5	Over	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x325db7…
07-04 10:49:34	atp fritz sonego 2026 07 03 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xc497c0…
07-04 10:47:20	atp khachan cobolli 2026 07 04	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x3e059f…
07-04 10:38:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xae7b95…
07-04 10:36:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x7c6173…
07-04 10:27:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xd807ba…
07-04 10:26:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	268	6¢	$16	0x6aaf0f…
07-04 10:26:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x6698f1…
07-04 10:25:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x5cb184…
07-04 02:23:43	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x53efd5…
07-03 19:31:13	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x343db9…
07-02 13:48:52	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x00a989…
06-30 19:24:11	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x5e1865…
06-30 18:42:56	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0x10d391…
06-30 14:52:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x132736…
06-30 11:22:41	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd6cd2f…
06-29 19:32:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	212	16¢	$35	0x3ef5f8…
06-29 19:06:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd4ab46…
06-29 09:12:04	atp cilic medvede 2026 06 29 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x837787…
06-29 09:11:35	atp cilic medvede 2026 06 29 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x822292…
06-29 08:27:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9f80e5…
06-29 08:22:10	Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xd5c237…
06-28 08:47:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x9f20cd…
06-27 09:34:41	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd59e9c…
06-27 09:32:14	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0bee03…
06-26 11:47:19	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x37d3d1…
06-26 11:41:47	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa649b7…
06-25 17:57:46	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x46b1e7…
06-25 17:56:26	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x306d22…
06-25 17:54:16	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0x4bd3a4…
06-24 17:57:08	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x80279a…
06-24 06:26:49	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x42d990…
06-23 15:24:37	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xa1559a…
06-22 06:55:01	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa6473c…
06-22 06:54:47	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x956020…
06-21 21:40:23	another critical cloudflare incident by july 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x86f959…
06-20 08:49:43	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7e5e18…
06-19 06:58:40	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6e97e6…
06-17 10:42:38	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x97b418…
06-17 10:41:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbfbdd6…
06-16 12:17:01	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3494ff…
06-16 05:54:01	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xfd88c4…
06-16 05:53:43	will googl reach 400 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x16dd6e…
06-16 05:53:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$7	0x51d6bc…
06-13 16:39:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x0e1787…
06-13 12:36:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x829817…
06-09 19:38:25	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd77a74…
06-09 16:33:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0xdeaf2c…
06-09 10:40:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x872567…
06-09 05:29:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0xdd65c7…
06-09 05:29:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x086a6d…
06-06 22:21:45	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x1ac085…
06-06 22:18:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x34548a…
06-06 22:18:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x50d389…
06-06 20:03:45	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7464cd…
06-06 20:01:36	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xe327eb…
06-06 19:59:54	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x5ddc00…
06-06 19:29:13	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd45931…
06-06 16:56:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xd6a8a0…
06-06 15:50:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x5b1937…
06-06 15:18:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x89c86b…
06-06 14:23:42	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe430f8…
06-06 14:21:28	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x99d6e8…
06-06 14:14:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xcb5dd3…
06-06 13:55:45	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xbb70a1…
06-06 08:16:57	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbaf9ba…
06-06 08:09:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xff06ee…
06-04 17:07:15	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbd3eb4…
06-03 17:59:07	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x11e18d…
06-03 17:54:43	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0x686eb0…
06-03 13:44:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x340990…
06-03 13:42:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7b2ba3…