Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$567
$30 in 24h
Trades
63
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$13,931
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-21 03:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $15 | $55 | $40 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $16 | $111 | $95 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $16 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $10 | $35 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | — | $131 | $131 |
| unranked | 5 | $4 | $79 | $75 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-31 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +82 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-02 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +76 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 07-02 17:46 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-02 17:46 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-02 17:46 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +23 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-10 10:56 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 18:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +16 | $-1 | $12 | 8 | 07-21 03:51 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | +6 | $6 | $14 | 3 | 06-08 22:47 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 01:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-17 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 18:11 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 17:23 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 03:51:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb93df1… |
| 07-21 03:51:01 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb93df1… |
| 07-18 03:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x1c8c…6c11 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcdb138… |
| 07-18 03:01:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcdb138… |
| 07-17 23:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x1c8c…6c11 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69309d… |
| 07-17 23:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69309d… |
| 07-17 03:55:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x995723… |
| 07-17 03:55:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x995723… |
| 07-17 03:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x995723… |
| 07-14 17:41:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x506262… |
| 07-14 17:41:20 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x506262… |
| 07-14 17:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x23b635… |
| 07-14 17:23:29 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x23b635… |
| 07-06 18:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xce7d0d… |
| 07-06 18:11:23 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xce7d0d… |
| 07-02 17:46:07 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0x3094f0… |
| 07-02 17:46:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3094f0… |
| 07-02 17:46:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x3094f0… |
| 07-02 17:46:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x11e2a9… |
| 07-02 17:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x11e2a9… |
| 07-02 17:46:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 42 | 89¢ | $38 | 0x11e2a9… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x68817f… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xb2f476… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 27 | 88¢ | $24 | 0x68817f… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 82 | 88¢ | $73 | 0xb2f476… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x68817f… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xb2f476… |
| 07-02 17:46:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x68817f… |
| 06-23 01:07:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0f5da9… |
| 06-23 01:07:20 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0f5da9… |
| 06-22 06:23:05 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x52fe33… |
| 06-22 06:23:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x52fe33… |
| 06-17 09:23:13 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xa6feb5… |
| 06-17 09:23:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xa6feb5… |
| 06-15 08:42:52 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd0800a… |
| 06-15 08:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd0800a… |
| 06-14 15:48:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1cd012… |
| 06-14 15:48:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1cd012… |
| 06-11 15:40:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x9efeb4… |
| 06-11 15:40:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x9efeb4… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | BUY | 23 | 82¢ | $19 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-08 23:50:31 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xfa03b8… |
| 06-08 23:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xfa03b8… |
| 06-08 23:36:25 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xf4a593… |
| 06-08 23:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf4a593… |
| 06-08 22:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x823adc… |
| 06-08 22:59:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x823adc… |
| 06-08 22:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x799ae5… |
| 06-08 22:47:00 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x799ae5… |
| 06-04 01:39:57 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x417a7b… |
| 06-04 01:39:57 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x417a7b… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 22 | 73¢ | $16 | 0x02e8ee… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x2e8868… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x2e8868… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | No | SELL | 22 | 73¢ | $16 | 0x02e8ee… |
| 05-31 22:38:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdcd05c… |
| 05-31 22:38:12 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xdcd05c… |
| 05-31 22:38:05 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x65f488… |
| 05-31 22:38:05 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x65f488… |
| 05-31 17:51:42 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x4c9ce6… |
| 05-31 17:51:42 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x4c9ce6… |