Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$295
$30 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$13,931
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-11 15:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $4 | $111 | $107 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $16 | $11 |
| Median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $107 | $107 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-31 17:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $5 | $6 | 2 | 06-11 15:40 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +23 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-10 10:56 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +22 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-01 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 10:56 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 23:36 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | +6 | $6 | $14 | 3 | 06-08 22:47 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 01:39 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 15:40:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x9efeb4… |
| 06-11 15:40:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x9efeb4… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-10 10:56:34 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | BUY | 23 | 82¢ | $19 | 0x1a45dd… |
| 06-08 23:50:31 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xfa03b8… |
| 06-08 23:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xfa03b8… |
| 06-08 23:36:25 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xf4a593… |
| 06-08 23:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf4a593… |
| 06-08 22:59:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x823adc… |
| 06-08 22:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x823adc… |
| 06-08 22:47:00 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x799ae5… |
| 06-08 22:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x799ae5… |
| 06-04 01:39:57 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x417a7b… |
| 06-04 01:39:57 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x417a7b… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x2e8868… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x2e8868… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 22 | 73¢ | $16 | 0x02e8ee… |
| 06-01 18:57:08 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | No | SELL | 22 | 73¢ | $16 | 0x02e8ee… |
| 05-31 22:38:12 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xdcd05c… |
| 05-31 22:38:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdcd05c… |
| 05-31 22:38:05 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x65f488… |
| 05-31 22:38:05 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x65f488… |
| 05-31 17:51:42 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x4c9ce6… |
| 05-31 17:51:42 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x4c9ce6… |