Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$254

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 07-21 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% -$210

Politics

18% 0% -$22

Crypto

7% 0% -$2

Sports

6% 25% -$21

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hok lgd ttg 2026 07 13	2	$417	500	500	+0	Talent Gaming	-$5	07-12 19:12
will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	3	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 21:17
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	-$2	07-16 17:36
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 01:04
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	2	$88	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-16 01:17
will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 17:36
will googl dip to 350 by july 13 2026	2	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	07-16 18:22
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?	2	$88	50	50	+0	No	-$5	07-16 19:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 19:40
Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	-$9	07-16 20:40
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	2	$61	50	50	+0	Yes	-$14	07-17 14:52
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	2	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	-$39	07-16 19:10
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	2	$32	18	18	+0	No	-$1	07-16 17:30
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$0	07-17 01:03
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	2	$30	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	07-17 18:03
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	2	$30	19	19	+0	No	$0	07-17 07:41
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:52
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	5	$29	71	71	+0	open	—	07-17 23:52
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	2	$29	75	75	+0	open	—	07-17 21:51
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	2	$29	107	107	+0	Yes	-$1	07-17 15:06
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?	2	$27	136	136	+0	Yes	-$3	07-18 01:18
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	2	$27	190	190	+0	Yes	-$3	07-17 20:46
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	2	$23	789	789	+0	No	-$7	07-18 02:47
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$23	625	625	+0	open	—	07-18 03:01
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$22	395	395	+0	open	—	07-18 02:46
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$20	75	75	+0	open	—	07-20 22:57
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	2	$19	59	59	+0	Yes	-$1	07-20 04:08
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	2	$19	125	125	+0	open	—	07-17 20:46
Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	2	$19	333	333	+0	No	-$11	07-17 20:46
will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	3	$19	107	107	+0	No	-$11	07-18 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:46:28	Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$3	0x9bb9f7…
07-21 14:46:22	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0xa28907…
07-21 14:46:18	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xcb7eaa…
07-21 04:47:21	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x6a665a…
07-21 04:47:19	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xba0ef5…
07-21 04:47:19	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x6f6257…
07-21 04:47:19	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x31e70a…
07-21 04:47:18	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf8f85d…
07-21 04:47:18	Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe4b0b0…
07-21 03:33:16	Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xf16b52…
07-21 02:20:16	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd1b490…
07-21 01:47:16	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	Yes	SELL	263	1¢	$3	0xa82b0c…
07-21 01:47:10	Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	256	2¢	$5	0xeec97b…
07-21 01:47:03	Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?	No	SELL	67	10¢	$7	0x93bf18…
07-21 01:46:58	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	115	5¢	$6	0x6dacf6…
07-21 01:46:52	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	SELL	244	3¢	$7	0x670d31…
07-21 01:12:37	Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x2b350c…
07-20 22:57:28	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	75	13¢	$10	0x20395e…
07-20 06:53:30	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x9b07a7…
07-20 04:08:55	Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	No	SELL	59	16¢	$9	0x57f709…
07-20 04:06:55	Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf8a52e…
07-20 00:04:22	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x371a23…
07-19 20:51:16	Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5318c2…
07-19 20:47:49	Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x08f1f9…
07-19 18:12:40	will perplexitys valuation hit low 14 by july 31 20260629184740287	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa807f4…
07-19 16:40:10	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	185	3¢	$5	0x7618e0…
07-19 06:05:36	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x19fd7b…
07-18 04:51:51	Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xcbe261…
07-18 04:41:01	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xf022fe…
07-18 03:48:58	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xde34e3…
07-18 03:01:49	Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcdb138…
07-18 03:01:43	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xde4fd1…
07-18 03:01:37	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0x2b1945…
07-18 03:01:33	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	SELL	682	0¢	$1	0x2f2957…
07-18 03:01:27	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0xff8072…
07-18 03:01:22	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$1	0xb54d89…
07-18 02:47:10	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	789	1¢	$8	0x803a8e…
07-18 02:46:54	Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	395	2¢	$7	0xffc66c…
07-18 02:46:27	Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xa408b5…
07-18 02:11:31	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	789	2¢	$15	0x2634f6…
07-18 02:08:51	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x714be0…
07-18 02:08:21	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa6a710…
07-18 02:04:19	Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	395	4¢	$15	0x4f3556…
07-18 02:03:57	Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$15	0x1986ae…
07-18 02:03:45	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	215	3¢	$6	0x26609c…
07-18 02:03:01	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$15	0x708bc6…
07-18 02:00:09	will gleans valuation hit high 9b by july 31 20260630205002622	Yes	SELL	406	1¢	$5	0x8edc58…
07-18 02:00:06	will gleans valuation hit high 9b by july 31 20260630205002622	Yes	BUY	406	1¢	$5	0x2c6221…
07-18 01:58:18	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	BUY	682	2¢	$15	0x834bcc…
07-18 01:51:16	will perplexitys valuation hit low 14 by july 31 20260629184740287	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7bf93e…
07-18 01:31:10	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	Yes	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x8d6b9f…
07-18 01:18:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?	No	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xa2e725…
07-18 01:06:48	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb0bd7f…
07-17 23:52:57	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	41	20¢	$8	0xe27060…
07-17 23:52:43	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x4b9fac…
07-17 23:52:40	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0x15635e…
07-17 23:52:39	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xf82ef1…
07-17 23:52:39	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x3ce809…
07-17 23:07:18	Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x69309d…
07-17 22:31:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?	No	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xf148f1…
07-17 21:51:49	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0x6026c7…
07-17 21:51:28	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x5edd77…
07-17 21:45:39	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 0%-2%?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x025163…
07-17 21:42:01	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 0%-2%?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf4ecc6…
07-17 21:22:42	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc8f8da…
07-17 21:21:12	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x86749c…
07-17 20:56:07	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x0d5678…
07-17 20:56:04	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb14a44…
07-17 20:46:24	Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	No	SELL	190	6¢	$12	0xe856f6…
07-17 20:46:18	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$4	0xc1c805…
07-17 20:46:10	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xc486e1…
07-17 20:46:01	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$4	0x087a99…
07-17 20:45:55	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x266a65…
07-17 20:45:49	Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x19ee99…
07-17 20:45:43	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xe0d0ed…
07-17 20:45:36	Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x79361e…
07-17 18:06:37	Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x9cdac2…
07-17 18:03:13	Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x1fade7…
07-17 18:03:01	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	No	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0xe81da0…
07-17 18:00:40	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xdad04a…
07-17 17:49:54	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfeef87…
07-17 15:06:25	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	No	SELL	107	13¢	$14	0x280438…
07-17 15:01:27	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	No	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xec73ae…
07-17 14:59:00	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x7609bf…
07-17 14:52:37	FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x478151…
07-17 14:52:03	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x846691…
07-17 14:46:01	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xaf0356…
07-17 14:13:51	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xcf7b2e…
07-17 13:59:34	Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	No	BUY	190	8¢	$15	0xf3e828…
07-17 12:40:18	FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xea2af4…
07-17 08:37:06	Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x00d3ba…
07-17 07:41:52	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x233c48…
07-17 07:41:13	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x2cfc70…
07-17 06:42:28	Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	333	5¢	$15	0x2e20b8…
07-17 06:24:30	Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd811fb…
07-17 02:10:40	Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3715ad…
07-17 01:50:19	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd9b18e…
07-17 01:48:46	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc84c45…
07-17 01:03:55	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x48006b…
07-17 01:03:50	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x20e4ba…