Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,159
Trades
130
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$12,395
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-15 12:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $15 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $38 | $72 | $34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $26 | $83 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $19 | $50 | $31 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $7 | $1 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 7 | $26 | $48 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $10 | $52 | $43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| unranked | 17 | $36 | $15 | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,816 | $1,744 | $1,744 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +454 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 07-21 01:47 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | +67 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-15 12:50 |
| Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-18 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-18 08:23 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +32 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-22 14:34 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-26 19:56 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-13 00:52 |
| Dimpled-Cacao 0xd5be…0e42 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-29 12:38 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $3 | 5 | 07-22 13:52 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 19:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 12:50:30 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xdbf4af… |
| 08-15 12:50:30 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbf4af… |
| 08-13 00:52:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4dc039… |
| 08-13 00:52:37 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4dc039… |
| 08-07 15:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50c23d… |
| 08-07 15:27:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50c23d… |
| 08-07 15:27:16 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x50c23d… |
| 08-04 14:38:29 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 123 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x75e893… |
| 08-04 14:38:29 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 113 | 99¢ | $112 | 0x75e893… |
| 08-04 14:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x75e893… |
| 08-04 14:11:32 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x49e2ed… |
| 08-04 14:11:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49e2ed… |
| 07-26 19:56:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1de07… |
| 07-26 19:56:42 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xc1de07… |
| 07-26 11:04:00 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x44e76a… |
| 07-26 11:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x44e76a… |
| 07-22 14:34:45 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b646a… |
| 07-22 14:34:45 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b646a… |
| 07-22 13:52:22 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x764ccd… |
| 07-22 13:52:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x764ccd… |
| 07-22 13:52:04 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3f2dbc… |
| 07-22 13:52:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3f2dbc… |
| 07-22 13:52:04 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $195 | 0x3f2dbc… |
| 07-22 13:52:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 93 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x3f2dbc… |
| 07-21 01:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x1c8c…6c11 | Yes | SELL | 256 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xeec97b… |
| 07-21 01:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 256 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xeec97b… |
| 07-20 02:18:48 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x342b78… |
| 07-20 02:18:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x342b78… |
| 07-20 02:18:48 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x342b78… |
| 07-18 17:27:01 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x555a32… |
| 07-18 17:27:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x555a32… |
| 07-18 16:00:36 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x376ae5… |
| 07-18 16:00:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x376ae5… |
| 07-18 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x376ae5… |
| 07-18 13:38:40 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb8950… |
| 07-18 13:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb8950… |
| 07-18 13:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b4102… |
| 07-18 13:34:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b4102… |
| 07-18 12:10:33 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf20486… |
| 07-18 12:10:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf20486… |
| 07-18 12:10:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf20486… |
| 07-18 10:39:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x656b4b… |
| 07-18 10:39:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x656b4b… |
| 07-18 08:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb6f282… |
| 07-18 08:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb6f282… |
| 07-18 08:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6f282… |
| 07-18 08:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x794912… |
| 07-18 08:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x1dec…0f87 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x794912… |
| 07-18 08:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x794912… |
| 07-18 06:38:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x685c82… |
| 07-18 06:38:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x685c82… |
| 07-18 06:38:04 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x685c82… |
| 07-18 05:04:57 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x642260… |
| 07-18 05:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x642260… |
| 07-18 04:54:52 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6e0ef1… |
| 07-18 04:54:52 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 148 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x6e0ef1… |
| 07-18 04:54:52 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 138 | 98¢ | $135 | 0x6e0ef1… |
| 07-18 04:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x168ad0… |
| 07-18 04:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x8c8f…b385 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x168ad0… |
| 07-18 04:54:15 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x168ad0… |
| 07-18 04:52:49 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdfd979… |
| 07-18 04:52:49 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 65 | 98¢ | $63 | 0xdfd979… |
| 07-18 04:52:27 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x995554… |
| 07-18 04:52:27 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x995554… |
| 07-18 04:52:19 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 85 | 98¢ | $83 | 0xe75d4d… |
| 07-18 04:52:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 85 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe75d4d… |
| 07-18 04:52:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f9296… |
| 07-18 04:52:18 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f9296… |
| 07-18 04:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x154ffc… |
| 07-18 04:52:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x154ffc… |
| 07-18 04:52:12 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x154ffc… |
| 07-18 04:52:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 148 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x25944c… |
| 07-18 04:52:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x25944c… |
| 07-18 04:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8e33df… |
| 07-18 04:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8e33df… |
| 07-18 04:51:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2cb397… |
| 07-18 04:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2cb397… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 400 | 4¢ | $16 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 123 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1,816 | 96¢ | $1,744 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x8c8f…b385 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-18 04:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x1c8c…6c11 | Yes | BUY | 256 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xcbe261… |
| 07-14 04:41:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x175c8e… |
| 07-14 04:41:37 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x175c8e… |
| 07-13 07:52:32 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x60b458… |