Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$333
Trades
25
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$12,395
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 09:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $40 | $39 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $79 | $77 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | $53 | $52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 1 | — | $79 | $79 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $48 | $47 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | +76 | $73 | $84 | 5 | 06-30 09:14 |
| Voluminous-Fault 0x3a0f…960b | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 12:38 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 11:40 |
| Dimpled-Cacao 0xd5be…0e42 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-29 12:38 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 09:14 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 23:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 09:14:20 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x856e57… |
| 06-30 09:14:20 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x856e57… |
| 06-24 23:14:34 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0f204d… |
| 06-24 23:14:34 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0f204d… |
| 06-02 01:42:35 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc0912b… |
| 06-02 01:42:35 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc0912b… |
| 06-02 01:42:33 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x34d8f0… |
| 06-02 01:42:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x34d8f0… |
| 06-02 01:42:33 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x34d8f0… |
| 06-02 01:42:33 | Official-Dolman 0x2f6d…ede5 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x34d8f0… |
| 06-01 11:40:08 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x57e35f… |
| 06-01 11:40:08 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x57e35f… |
| 06-01 11:40:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x57e35f… |
| 05-31 07:37:53 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x80c81d… |
| 05-31 07:37:53 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x80c81d… |
| 05-31 07:37:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x80c81d… |
| 05-29 12:38:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xe5131a… |
| 05-29 12:38:35 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xe5131a… |
| 05-29 12:38:33 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xe81383… |
| 05-29 12:38:33 | Dimpled-Cacao 0xd5be…0e42 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xe81383… |
| 05-29 12:38:32 | Voluminous-Fault 0x3a0f…960b | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x758db1… |
| 05-29 12:38:32 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x758db1… |
| 05-29 12:38:32 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x758db1… |
| 05-28 01:43:33 | Official-Dolman 0x2f6d…ede5 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa0fd00… |
| 05-28 01:43:33 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa0fd00… |