Realized P&L
+$235
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
226
Trades
487
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$1.22K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 11-03 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
66% 98% +$143
Politics
29% 88% +$69
Crypto
2% 94% +$11
Sports
2% 100% +$11
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +570 $500 85¢ $485 -$15 11-02 14:11
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $245 96¢ $249 +$4 10-10 13:42
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 96¢ $193 +$11 10-30 07:27
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? No +153 $145 98¢ $150 +$4 10-13 02:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +81 $79 96¢ $78 -$1 10-19 07:48
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +107 $92 58¢ $63 -$30 06-05 06:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 63¢ $3 -$1 05-17 04:56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 05-26 01:14