Dimpled-Cacao 0xd5beae…9e0e42
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$341
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
465
Trades
5,983
lifetime
Volume
$339.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$6.45K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-31 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Politics
52% 81% -$4,549
Other
43% 89% +$1,287
Tech
4% 88% -$38
Sports
2% 88% -$87
Crypto
0% 40% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,688 $1,397 100¢ $1.7K +$290 10-29 17:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,509 $1,475 100¢ $1.5K +$26 10-31 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,361 $1,195 84¢ $1.1K -$59 10-02 23:29
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +438 $429 99¢ $435 +$7 10-28 10:00
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +459 $398 94¢ $434 +$36 10-30 22:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -291 -$281 97¢ $-282 -$1 10-24 04:29
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +230 $147 90¢ $207 +$60 10-06 15:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +250 $175 56¢ $141 -$34 10-27 20:51
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +121 $105 92¢ $112 +$7 10-24 22:43
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -90 -$84 98¢ $-88 -$4 10-29 06:13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -87 -$81 99¢ $-86 -$5 06-06 08:56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -62 -$61 98¢ $-61 $0 09-25 14:43
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +61 $60 99¢ $60 $0 10-29 02:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$56 96¢ $-58 -$1 07-19 17:05
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +55 $47 99¢ $55 +$8 10-31 15:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +41 $41 94¢ $39 -$2 10-30 12:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -250 -$28 15¢ $-36 -$9 09-29 11:06
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +12 $0 96¢ $12 +$12 10-27 19:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-11 12:55
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-27 19:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 -$1 98¢ $3 +$4 06-14 16:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-16 23:47
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +74 $25 1¢ $1 -$24 10-28 13:04
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +0 -$30 97¢ $0 +$30 10-27 05:27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-24 02:56