Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,159
lifetime
Volume
$258.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$1.57K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-20 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
56% 60% +$23
Other
40% 100% +$3
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +335 $287 90¢ $301 +$14 07-05 13:18
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +250 $231 95¢ $237 +$7 06-01 06:18
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +250 $220 91¢ $228 +$8 07-05 13:19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +209 $197 96¢ $200 +$3 07-20 14:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +161 $140 90¢ $144 +$4 06-01 03:09
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +75 $61 96¢ $72 +$11 07-02 23:49
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-56 95¢ $-57 $-1 07-19 17:05
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -58 $-54 97¢ $-57 $-2 06-06 08:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -56 $-53 96¢ $-54 $-0 06-14 16:23
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +56 $53 93¢ $52 $-1 06-29 04:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +53 $41 94¢ $50 +$9 07-20 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +40 $38 99¢ $40 +$1 07-13 16:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -35 $-34 97¢ $-34 $-0 07-19 00:29
EU dissolves before 2027? No -31 $-30 98¢ $-31 $-0 05-29 22:14
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 05-29 12:38
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-12 11:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +125 $3 $1 $-2 07-15 00:12