Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,736
lifetime
Volume
$242.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$3.16K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-13 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
59% 60% +$23
Other
38% 100% +$3
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 100% +$3
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -1,038 $-1,028 99¢ $-1029 $-1 06-08 02:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +456 $441 99¢ $452 +$11 06-12 21:35
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No +250 $240 100¢ $249 +$9 06-02 00:04
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +247 $232 94¢ $233 +$1 06-03 07:50
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +250 $231 93¢ $232 +$2 06-01 06:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +161 $140 88¢ $142 +$2 06-01 03:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -141 $-140 98¢ $-138 +$2 06-10 11:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -123 $-122 99¢ $-122 $-0 06-12 17:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +103 $98 98¢ $101 +$4 06-08 02:46
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +86 $85 99¢ $86 +$1 05-30 13:46
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +87 $86 99¢ $86 $-0 06-06 06:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +87 $74 90¢ $79 +$5 06-02 17:12
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -58 $-54 95¢ $-55 $-1 06-06 08:56
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +46 $45 98¢ $45 +$0 06-10 08:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +34 $32 94¢ $32 $-0 06-12 18:19
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +35 $30 89¢ $31 +$1 06-09 05:23
EU dissolves before 2027? No -31 $-30 97¢ $-30 $-0 05-29 22:14
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 05-29 12:38
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-12 11:18
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-05 15:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-10 13:37