Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
22.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
184
lifetime
Volume
$2.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$88
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 06-10 23:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
65% 60% +$6
Other
25% 50% +$2
Politics
7%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -23 $-22 88¢ $-20 +$2 05-27 22:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -32 $-19 60¢ $-19 $-1 05-30 10:46
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -23 $-17 82¢ $-19 $-2 06-01 18:57
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 06-10 20:17
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-10 00:11
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +13 $10 68¢ $9 $-1 06-10 22:07