Realized P&L
+$872
Unrealized P&L
-$891
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
283
Trades
3,742
lifetime
Volume
$185.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$12.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 10-27 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
42% 43% -$917
Politics
39% 54% +$1,617
Sports
13% 47% +$232
Tech
5% 0% -$58
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,381 $2,267 79¢ $2.7K +$406 10-27 03:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,023 $2,411 34¢ $1.7K -$728 09-09 23:00
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +1,855 $1,970 71¢ $1.3K -$653 10-12 12:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,748 $1,276 74¢ $1.3K +$26 10-08 00:26
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +1,255 $1,217 99¢ $1.2K +$31 09-11 15:28
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,315 $1,269 88¢ $1.2K -$119 10-24 05:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +3,126 $1,587 36¢ $1.1K -$477 10-16 11:44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +840 $388 43¢ $362 -$26 10-23 12:26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +833 $371 34¢ $279 -$92 09-15 18:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,408 $259 14¢ $190 -$69 10-27 16:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +190 $68 98¢ $186 +$117 09-09 19:58
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +200 $178 92¢ $184 +$6 10-07 15:04
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +207 $180 86¢ $178 -$2 10-18 00:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +195 $131 72¢ $139 +$8 10-25 12:13
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +194 $161 72¢ $139 -$22 10-27 01:30
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +907 $132 15¢ $132 $0 10-01 06:03
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +236 $108 36¢ $84 -$24 09-09 15:58
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +990 $55 6¢ $61 +$6 10-19 18:52
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +83 $40 70¢ $58 +$18 08-18 23:04
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +493 $35 7¢ $33 -$2 10-26 07:20
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +39 -$3 71¢ $28 +$31 10-24 22:49
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +284 $2 9¢ $26 +$25 10-26 01:32
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +400 $16 4¢ $14 -$2 10-27 15:57
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +252 $3 4¢ $9 +$6 10-27 15:53
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,380 $4 1¢ $9 +$5 10-23 14:49
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +199 $41 4¢ $9 -$32 10-24 05:01
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +850 $6 0¢ $3 -$3 10-24 05:13
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +123 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-18 00:58
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +30 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 09-12 03:14
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1 -$680 85¢ $0 +$680 10-25 15:27