Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$896
Trades
103
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$4,578
Latest YES mid
95¢
Latest NO mid
5¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-26 20:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $46 | $14 | +$32 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $325 | $21 | +$304 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $115 | $1 | +$115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $16 | $21 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $48 | $5 | +$43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $233 | $5 | +$228 |
| Median | 5 | $11 | $2 | +$9 |
| Below median | 6 | $51 | $19 | +$32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $47 | $5 | +$42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $7 | $14 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $36 | $3 | +$32 |
| unranked | 11 | $69 | $4 | +$65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | +249 | $230 | $230 | 2 | 06-28 05:08 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +232 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-26 17:24 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +153 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-29 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +68 | $2 | $8 | 5 | 07-15 06:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +47 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 06-24 23:45 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-26 17:24 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +38 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-26 17:24 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 03:36 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-28 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bc7…28fb | No | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 12:09 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 12:17 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +9 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-26 20:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-05 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5355…a764 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-12 01:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +4 | $-2 | $11 | 8 | 07-08 06:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | +1 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 06-28 10:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:57:36 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | No | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x743865… |
| 07-26 20:57:36 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x743865… |
| 07-18 03:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x10c65b… |
| 07-18 03:11:48 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x10c65b… |
| 07-15 06:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x91e52e… |
| 07-15 06:44:40 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x91e52e… |
| 07-15 06:44:40 | Acceptable-Drapes 0xe323…af14 | No | SELL | 127 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x91e52e… |
| 07-15 06:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 97 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x91e52e… |
| 07-12 11:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3a78d2… |
| 07-12 11:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3a78d2… |
| 07-12 11:21:43 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b2f2e… |
| 07-12 11:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b2f2e… |
| 07-12 11:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x94e30a… |
| 07-12 11:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x94e30a… |
| 07-12 01:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0153ea… |
| 07-12 01:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0153ea… |
| 07-12 01:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0153ea… |
| 07-08 06:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xef99…170c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x301168… |
| 07-08 06:00:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x301168… |
| 07-05 10:05:07 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xff90c2… |
| 07-05 10:05:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xff90c2… |
| 07-05 06:07:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x2b4b62… |
| 07-05 06:07:11 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 91¢ | $53 | 0x2b4b62… |
| 07-05 06:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2b4b62… |
| 07-05 06:07:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x2b4b62… |
| 07-04 14:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc26719… |
| 07-04 14:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc26719… |
| 07-04 14:19:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xeeccfc… |
| 07-04 14:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xeeccfc… |
| 07-04 14:19:40 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 93¢ | $59 | 0x099612… |
| 07-04 14:19:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x099612… |
| 07-04 14:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x099612… |
| 06-30 18:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x91029a… |
| 06-30 18:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x5355…a764 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x91029a… |
| 06-30 12:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0240a4… |
| 06-30 12:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0240a4… |
| 06-30 12:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa4d58c… |
| 06-30 12:09:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa4d58c… |
| 06-30 12:09:23 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf73799… |
| 06-30 12:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xf73799… |
| 06-30 12:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x7bc7…28fb | No | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xf73799… |
| 06-30 03:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc9428e… |
| 06-30 03:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc9428e… |
| 06-29 21:21:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc82be4… |
| 06-29 21:21:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc82be4… |
| 06-29 15:45:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1af2a0… |
| 06-29 15:45:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1af2a0… |
| 06-29 15:45:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1af2a0… |
| 06-28 10:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0832df… |
| 06-28 10:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0832df… |
| 06-28 05:08:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5fb74f… |
| 06-28 05:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5fb74f… |
| 06-28 05:08:49 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 144 | 93¢ | $135 | 0x5fb74f… |
| 06-28 05:08:49 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 93¢ | $64 | 0x5fb74f… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 104 | 91¢ | $95 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-28 05:03:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xb08a48… |
| 06-27 22:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4d4f26… |
| 06-27 22:09:16 | (anonymous) 0xef99…170c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x4d4f26… |
| 06-27 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7beae9… |
| 06-27 09:50:44 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7beae9… |
| 06-27 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7beae9… |
| 06-26 17:49:08 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x8554de… |
| 06-26 17:49:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x8554de… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 232 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-26 17:24:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x3b3cff… |
| 06-24 23:45:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x11bf87… |
| 06-24 23:45:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x11bf87… |
| 06-24 23:45:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x11bf87… |
| 06-24 23:45:23 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x11bf87… |
| 06-24 23:45:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x11bf87… |
| 06-24 17:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4490d7… |
| 06-24 17:54:58 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x4490d7… |
| 06-24 17:54:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x4490d7… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-20 12:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | Yes | SELL | 84 | 94¢ | $79 | 0xa3d54c… |
| 06-16 12:17:51 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1af33d… |
| 06-16 12:17:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1af33d… |
| 06-11 19:45:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x393eb8… |
| 06-11 19:45:58 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x393eb8… |
| 06-11 16:16:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdd2569… |
| 06-11 16:16:27 | (anonymous) 0x99db…d241 | No | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdd2569… |
| 06-11 16:16:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdd2569… |
| 06-09 10:17:58 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x7bf7e3… |
| 06-09 10:17:58 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7bf7e3… |
| 06-07 10:12:06 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x720ea5… |