Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

449

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 10-27 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

60% 86% -$35

Politics

27% 88% -$12

Sports

7% 81% +$7

Tech

4% 88% -$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$10

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-20 19:46
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-20 17:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-26 14:40
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	10-05 01:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	10-26 18:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	10-25 05:17
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	90¢	$4	$0	10-19 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:00:38	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe03171…
10-27 07:02:29	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcef581…
10-26 21:20:59	Scorigami in Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d4b3c…
10-26 18:57:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x641392…
10-26 14:40:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a9721…
10-25 05:17:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb97750…
10-24 16:06:24	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7fecf…
10-24 15:23:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x098d17…
10-24 14:08:17	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6f4b3…
10-23 15:38:20	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x761b3e…
10-23 14:52:20	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfba691…
10-22 20:49:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8c6dde…
10-22 20:32:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x179327…
10-22 19:32:17	Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x34ca01…
10-22 14:29:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f2b80…
10-22 00:11:02	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x95552e…
10-21 20:19:38	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ccc97…
10-21 19:05:56	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09f3d4…
10-21 17:35:21	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaafdb7…
10-21 12:33:36	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc0143…
10-21 08:13:35	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcf867a…
10-21 05:19:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd22c90…
10-21 01:17:47	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x577ae1…
10-21 00:54:47	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x37edd1…
10-20 21:39:36	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdca02c…
10-20 19:46:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53aa12…
10-20 18:27:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $234 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39a3bb…
10-20 17:57:02	Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48e996…
10-20 17:56:56	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xccf515…
10-20 17:26:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x531aa1…
10-20 17:11:17	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60c46c…
10-20 17:11:15	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8befba…
10-20 16:26:26	Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4aef7d…
10-20 11:32:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83d8fc…
10-20 02:20:20	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x359cf3…
10-19 21:54:10	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2f6495…
10-19 17:54:20	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x46ee55…
10-19 17:43:32	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe6d845…
10-19 16:59:59	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55d1dd…
10-19 16:05:18	Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9f3b8…
10-19 15:31:56	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x819f66…
10-19 14:57:56	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x481998…
10-19 14:36:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x717d03…
10-19 10:33:35	Paris curfew by October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8f510b…
10-19 07:56:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe1bf65…
10-19 06:28:09	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd68cd5…
10-19 02:48:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x753477…
10-18 04:40:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a197f…
10-17 20:57:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x736cbd…
10-17 06:33:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf70ff2…
10-16 23:23:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x401445…
10-16 20:13:56	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b39f5…
10-16 18:33:45	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09d310…
10-16 18:05:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7ba375…
10-16 17:09:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x609539…
10-16 05:00:30	amzn close above 260 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdca5b6…
10-15 14:53:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x944787…
10-15 14:40:40	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdb5da1…
10-15 13:38:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf87db6…
10-15 00:35:50	will russia target kyiv on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3f455b…
10-14 19:36:15	will iran target an arab country by october 15 2026 20261005	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb4d1a2…
10-14 16:38:18	will iran target iraq by october 15 2026 20261005	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2e0a1e…
10-14 16:36:10	will the houthis successfully target shipping by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x99c130…
10-14 04:08:13	googl close above 365 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x792521…
10-14 00:37:24	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ff994…
10-14 00:37:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf23c30…
10-14 00:04:03	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x86bf0e…
10-13 23:44:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x28dc7e…
10-13 14:36:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd93d9…
10-13 13:57:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6f0ba2…
10-13 09:26:46	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1ef94…
10-13 09:01:46	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x76349f…
10-13 03:14:53	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x635d69…
10-13 01:08:17	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d6081…
10-12 14:57:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe876bf…
10-12 14:17:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77bd13…
10-12 13:11:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x20662a…
10-09 17:27:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfced60…
10-09 15:03:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd9aee…
10-09 14:36:25	Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89cdcf…
10-09 05:26:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x404aca…
10-08 19:18:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5889c3…
10-08 18:28:33	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7d3d1e…
10-08 16:51:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xaad780…
10-07 17:12:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6df211…
10-07 04:40:41	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x94d160…
10-06 19:41:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ff1e3…
10-06 11:55:28	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a2ae6…
10-06 03:33:46	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd1f7a5…
10-06 01:22:56	Will CNN fly with Trump by October 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x30ac9e…
10-06 01:22:55	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x26eee7…
10-06 01:22:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ee815…
10-05 22:13:05	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf71b32…
10-05 11:43:50	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaeca3d…
10-05 01:40:14	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x68afda…
10-05 01:37:37	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e16ba…
10-05 01:36:37	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9328cf…
10-04 01:51:26	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa22ad6…
10-02 17:31:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf8c5d6…
10-02 12:37:26	Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x798a23…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will databricks valuation hit high 170 by july 31 20260629184745125	1	$9	11	+11	Yes	-$9	07-19 23:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-06 01:22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-24 13:49
Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-20 17:57
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-17 20:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-18 04:40
Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-24 13:49
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-17 03:25
will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-26 19:36
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-20 17:11
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-03 18:03
will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	08-04 13:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-19 07:56
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-25 17:29
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-31 15:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-20 17:56
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-15 15:07
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	08-25 00:19
will micron q3 dram revenue be above 25b	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	06-22 16:19
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-24 15:19
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	-$5	08-29 14:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-20 17:26
spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-26 19:36
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-28 20:14
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-13 08:32
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-06 15:15
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-29 17:26
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-11 16:30
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-19 16:05
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $234 in October?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	10-20 18:27