Realized P&L (90d)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved (90d)
249
Trades (90d)
277
513 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.28K
$2.12K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$65
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-31 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
61% 87% -$34
Politics
27% 88% -$12
Sports
7% 81% +$7
Tech
3% 88% -$1
Crypto
2% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-20 19:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 14:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 18:57
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:56
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 21:51
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-05 01:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:17
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-30 23:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 21:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-31 00:05
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-19 17:54
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +5 $5 87¢ $4 $0 10-30 03:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-29 20:03