Realized P&L (7d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
18
509 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$82
$2.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-30 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
61% 87% -$35
Politics
27% 88% -$12
Sports
7% 81% +$7
Tech
3% 88% -$1
Crypto
2% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 18:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-20 19:46
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 14:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:17
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-05 01:37
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 10-19 17:54
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +5 $5 86¢ $4 $0 10-30 03:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-29 20:03