Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

507

Trades

561

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

25 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-06 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

58% 88% -$30

Politics

30% 89% -$11

Sports

6% 81% +$7

Tech

4% 88% -$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$10

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-31 00:05
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-05 02:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-05 03:06
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	11-04 19:37
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-19 17:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-05 01:37
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-05 21:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-05 17:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-04 21:22
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	11-06 02:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-04 23:45
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-03 23:11
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-05 13:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-05 08:42
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	10-19 17:54
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	95¢	$5	$0	11-05 01:38
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	$0	11-04 23:00
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	93¢	$5	$0	11-06 20:58
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in November?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$0	11-04 17:06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$0	11-06 16:26
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?	Yes	+5	$5	90¢	$5	$0	11-04 15:48
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	No	+5	$5	84¢	$4	-$1	11-06 16:23
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	+4	$4	98¢	$4	+$0	11-06 15:43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	+5	$5	77¢	$4	-$1	11-05 20:56
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	+5	$5	43¢	$2	-$2	10-21 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 20:58:49	Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x559645…
11-06 16:26:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf1e632…
11-06 16:23:34	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc1c97d…
11-06 15:43:15	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x71b9d5…
11-06 09:00:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $200?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x56a6be…
11-06 02:19:09	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a2ae5…
11-05 21:48:22	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc7b0a…
11-05 20:56:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6dd99…
11-05 17:16:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe6c0f4…
11-05 13:13:07	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x810abc…
11-05 08:42:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5e5410…
11-05 03:06:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfcddc6…
11-05 02:49:27	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x4c5718…
11-05 02:48:57	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e2c18…
11-05 01:38:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x339866…
11-04 23:45:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x213719…
11-04 23:00:03	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94e5a4…
11-04 21:22:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf14025…
11-04 19:37:28	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa9ff3f…
11-04 17:06:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in November?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe8682c…
11-04 16:32:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa4caba…
11-04 15:48:01	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xac2db7…
11-04 15:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4b28ad…
11-04 11:23:07	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0f910c…
11-04 01:40:57	Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x35d139…
11-03 23:11:28	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5bb388…
11-03 15:00:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xee7ebf…
11-03 08:47:24	Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x95b028…
11-03 08:08:16	House favorite on November 2 wins the election?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a7cb5…
11-03 05:44:25	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf49067…
11-03 05:00:12	Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x732cf7…
11-03 03:00:25	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8892e…
11-03 03:00:22	Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9103d…
11-03 00:41:42	Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8b47b…
11-03 00:41:40	Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa3d30e…
11-03 00:41:37	Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3ef2bf…
11-03 00:29:01	Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x574da4…
11-02 20:51:37	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x98d7ad…
11-02 20:03:31	Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdda60e…
11-02 20:03:31	Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc2849…
11-02 20:03:31	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x913f79…
11-02 20:03:31	Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b1c65…
11-02 20:03:31	Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c2a4a…
11-02 20:03:31	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x072945…
11-02 06:47:25	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x652809…
11-01 16:11:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x067e01…
11-01 16:11:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcba4da…
10-31 16:05:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc63789…
10-31 00:05:31	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x00b577…
10-30 23:46:09	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x508f6a…
10-30 21:51:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x119e9a…
10-30 21:43:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x469c8a…
10-30 03:10:48	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7c5b13…
10-29 22:45:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x484e1b…
10-29 22:10:40	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x852284…
10-29 20:03:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x71d351…
10-29 17:39:38	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd0a318…
10-29 08:20:10	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb36ccc…
10-28 21:15:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3013db…
10-28 13:36:43	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7802b…
10-27 19:00:38	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe03171…
10-27 07:02:29	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcef581…
10-26 21:20:59	Scorigami in Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d4b3c…
10-26 18:57:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x641392…
10-26 14:40:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a9721…
10-25 05:17:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb97750…
10-24 16:06:24	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7fecf…
10-24 15:23:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x098d17…
10-24 14:08:17	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6f4b3…
10-23 15:38:20	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x761b3e…
10-23 14:52:20	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfba691…
10-22 20:49:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8c6dde…
10-22 20:32:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x179327…
10-22 19:32:17	Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x34ca01…
10-22 14:29:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f2b80…
10-22 00:11:02	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x95552e…
10-21 20:19:38	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ccc97…
10-21 19:05:56	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09f3d4…
10-21 17:35:21	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaafdb7…
10-21 12:33:36	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc0143…
10-21 08:13:35	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcf867a…
10-21 05:19:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd22c90…
10-21 01:17:47	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x577ae1…
10-21 00:54:47	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x37edd1…
10-20 21:39:36	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdca02c…
10-20 19:46:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53aa12…
10-20 18:27:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $234 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39a3bb…
10-20 17:57:02	Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48e996…
10-20 17:56:56	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xccf515…
10-20 17:26:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x531aa1…
10-20 17:11:17	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60c46c…
10-20 17:11:15	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8befba…
10-20 16:26:26	Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4aef7d…
10-20 11:32:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83d8fc…
10-20 02:20:20	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x359cf3…
10-19 21:54:10	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2f6495…
10-19 17:54:20	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x46ee55…
10-19 17:43:32	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe6d845…
10-19 16:59:59	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55d1dd…
10-19 16:05:18	Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9f3b8…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will databricks valuation hit high 170 by july 31 20260629184745125	1	$9	11	+11	Yes	-$9	07-19 23:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-06 01:22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-24 13:49
Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-20 17:57
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-17 20:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-18 04:40
Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-24 13:49
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-17 03:25
will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-26 19:36
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-20 17:11
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-03 18:03
will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	08-04 13:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-19 07:56
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-25 17:29
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-31 15:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-20 17:56
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	11-05 21:48
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-15 15:07
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	08-25 00:19
Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	11-03 08:47
will micron q3 dram revenue be above 25b	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	06-22 16:19
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-24 15:19
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	11-03 03:00
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	-$5	08-29 14:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-20 17:26
spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-26 19:36
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 23:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-28 20:14
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-13 08:32
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-06 15:15