Realized P&L (30d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved (30d)
125
Trades (30d)
142
558 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$660
$2.33K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$116
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 11-06 15:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
58% 88% -$30
Politics
30% 89% -$12
Sports
6% 81% +$7
Tech
4% 88% -$1
Crypto
1% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-01 16:11
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-31 00:05
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-05 02:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-03 15:00
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:37
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-19 17:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-05 03:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $200? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-06 09:00
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-05 01:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-04 15:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-04 21:22
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-05 13:13
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 11-05 21:48
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-06 16:23
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-19 17:54
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-04 15:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 11-05 08:42
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-06 02:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-04 23:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-05 01:38
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 11-04 23:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in November? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 $0 11-04 17:06
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 11-06 15:43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? No +5 $5 68¢ $3 -$1 11-05 20:56
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? No +5 $5 41¢ $2 -$3 10-21 00:54