Realized P&L
-$673
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
621
Trades
4,399
lifetime
Volume
$78.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.78K
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 11-05 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% -$493
Politics
30% 79% -$838
Sports
12% 74% +$650
Tech
0% 100% +$18
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +410 $378 95¢ $390 +$12 10-19 22:58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +110 $106 97¢ $107 +$1 11-04 21:44
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +130 $109 78¢ $102 -$7 11-04 19:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 11-04 13:12
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 11-04 17:42
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $0 11-04 17:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +100 $93 98¢ $98 +$4 11-04 13:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $84 95¢ $95 +$11 11-05 01:56
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $87 95¢ $95 +$8 11-05 02:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +100 $87 94¢ $94 +$7 11-04 17:41
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$4 10-14 20:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +100 $71 80¢ $80 +$9 11-04 17:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 44¢ $44 -$7 11-04 13:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 11-02 23:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +50 $33 68¢ $34 +$1 11-04 23:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +50 $30 62¢ $31 +$1 11-05 00:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +30 $28 100¢ $30 +$2 11-01 20:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 10-31 20:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +40 $27 70¢ $28 +$1 11-04 19:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,361 $18 2¢ $21 +$3 11-05 08:41
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$1 11-04 20:22
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes — +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 11-04 20:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +25 $16 54¢ $13 -$3 11-04 18:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 $0 11-04 23:59
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes +5 $14 32¢ $2 -$13 11-04 22:56
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +5 $1 32¢ $2 +$0 11-04 22:11