Offensive-Connection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$169

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-03 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$123

Politics

47% 100% +$5

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+200	$144	84¢	$169	+$25	06-01 22:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	57	$970	1,190	490	+700	open	—	05-31 22:04
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	12	$957	779	279	+500	Mumbai Indians	+$55	05-04 17:39
Nothing Ever Happens: May	7	$818	520	520	+0	open	—	05-13 09:36
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	12	$785	800	800	+0	open	—	05-29 18:27
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	15	$721	460	460	+0	open	—	06-01 23:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$661	800	0	+800	open	—	05-07 12:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	7	$564	600	0	+600	open	—	06-03 22:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$517	550	0	+550	open	—	02-07 13:23
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	37	$444	700	100	+600	open	—	06-02 20:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$435	500	0	+500	open	—	05-28 18:30
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$402	410	0	+410	open	—	02-05 09:32
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	02-02 13:18
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$384	400	0	+400	open	—	02-14 15:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$375	500	0	+500	open	—	02-09 17:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$340	400	0	+400	open	—	06-03 20:50
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$286	400	0	+400	open	—	04-08 17:44
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	2	$240	250	0	+250	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$10	05-06 16:48
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$236	250	0	+250	open	—	05-13 11:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$216	240	0	+240	open	—	04-24 20:41
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$207	120	120	+0	open	—	04-23 08:37
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$196	400	0	+400	open	—	03-04 13:30
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	2	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 20:15
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$183	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 00:03
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	6	$183	245	242	+3	open	—	04-24 19:41
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	6	$179	200	0	+200	open	—	02-15 22:25
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 14	1	$175	188	0	+188	open	—	02-14 09:57
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$168	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 13:19
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$148	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	06-01 22:13
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	9	$142	200	0	+200	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$58	05-13 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 22:56:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2335ca…
06-03 21:15:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x6e3e92…
06-03 21:02:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x262ac4…
06-03 20:50:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0xdbe73c…
06-03 20:50:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xa11439…
06-03 20:49:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc7acf2…
06-03 20:09:52	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf7d635…
06-03 19:47:36	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x2df286…
06-03 18:59:52	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xd221bc…
06-02 20:34:27	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf9e633…
06-02 20:34:11	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x22af6a…
06-02 20:33:40	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd01b5a…
06-02 20:32:59	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x380967…
06-02 20:32:33	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xcf2f91…
06-02 20:32:33	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xbb2976…
06-02 20:32:33	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6c5cbf…
06-02 20:32:28	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf34338…
06-02 20:32:28	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x25a1bb…
06-02 20:31:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc6f0b1…
06-02 20:30:57	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x55deed…
06-02 20:29:36	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaf3044…
06-02 20:11:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x0fd325…
06-02 20:08:52	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0e1cbc…
06-02 20:07:53	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2d4b15…
06-02 20:07:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x98d97c…
06-02 20:07:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa78c7b…
06-02 20:07:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x1fdd6a…
06-02 20:07:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4a67bb…
06-02 20:07:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x495615…
06-02 20:07:40	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xeb96cf…
06-02 20:05:50	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0x81391b…
06-02 20:05:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x306d1c…
06-02 19:55:31	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x165f4a…
06-02 19:31:55	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3513d0…
06-02 19:31:48	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x00c0de…
06-02 19:31:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x41a888…
06-02 19:22:35	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xfb0e89…
06-02 19:18:37	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0xddfab5…
06-02 19:18:35	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88b81f…
06-02 19:18:35	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0e5e49…
06-02 19:17:58	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbed426…
06-02 19:03:37	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x67d4f4…
06-02 19:00:34	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xffb1e5…
06-02 18:59:06	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x55024e…
06-02 18:55:34	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x81af71…
06-02 18:53:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xf36a3c…
06-01 23:02:03	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	460	83¢	$382	0x671fef…
06-01 22:49:48	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0xb4d0b9…
06-01 22:49:41	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6805df…
06-01 22:46:35	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x707ec6…
06-01 22:46:21	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x216b57…
06-01 22:44:45	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf50539…
06-01 22:38:34	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xf0f575…
06-01 22:38:30	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xbd2277…
06-01 22:38:25	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd6132f…
06-01 22:38:25	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7cf005…
06-01 22:36:45	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbe9bff…
06-01 22:35:28	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb2e30d…
06-01 22:34:43	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4d484f…
06-01 22:23:33	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x71e6c9…
06-01 22:22:44	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x85ef66…
06-01 22:13:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x3d65cf…
06-01 22:13:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x0ac1f0…
06-01 19:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x04dcf4…
06-01 18:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xf4f9b3…
05-31 22:04:38	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xa11506…
05-31 22:04:38	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	36	70¢	$26	0x563a15…
05-31 22:04:36	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xaa24b1…
05-31 22:04:36	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x9f54b2…
05-31 22:03:05	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc985f9…
05-31 22:01:58	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb3b615…
05-31 22:01:53	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xbdfcbe…
05-31 22:01:53	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x244050…
05-31 21:57:31	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x98f264…
05-31 21:56:12	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf96f22…
05-31 21:53:15	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	400	40¢	$160	0x8e5ed5…
05-31 21:48:56	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x3ea4bb…
05-31 21:48:56	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1f07f6…
05-31 21:47:04	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7533de…
05-31 21:47:02	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x984d23…
05-31 21:46:55	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x999d05…
05-31 21:46:55	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	44	32¢	$14	0x999d05…
05-31 21:46:43	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x886443…
05-31 21:44:32	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x0b38fa…
05-31 21:44:14	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7a5df0…
05-31 21:44:13	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x51f42e…
05-31 21:21:19	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x139fbf…
05-31 21:17:49	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	68	75¢	$51	0x962aef…
05-31 21:17:33	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x500417…
05-31 21:16:49	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x87ff1d…
05-31 21:07:08	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x5c6c71…
05-31 21:01:32	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x87624c…
05-31 21:01:31	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa69a3c…
05-31 21:01:25	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xe44473…
05-31 20:55:11	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7b0fc9…
05-31 20:55:11	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x086e03…
05-31 20:55:04	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x014872…
05-31 20:45:00	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7cdaf6…
05-31 20:44:55	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xe752ba…
05-31 19:34:39	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3f05af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$264.4K	4,383	06-09 13:39
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	30	$21.8K	350	06-08 20:16
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	28	$11.7M	19,185	06-10 02:52
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	26	$2.88K	666	06-04 12:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	24	$15.6K	1,534	05-30 02:28
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	23	$243.7K	753	06-09 16:46
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	23	$65.0K	5,592	05-31 20:52
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	23	$10.2K	554	06-09 18:22