Subdued-Spear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,961

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-17 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+7	$3	55¢	$4	+$0	07-17 10:39
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No		+7	$5	41¢	$3	$-2	07-17 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777042500	9	$151	103	101	+2	open	—	04-24 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$135	105	105	+0	open	—	04-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$134	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 11:50
btc updown 5m 1777047600	2	$116	108	102	+7	open	—	04-24 16:25
btc updown 5m 1776933300	1	$110	271	0	+271	open	—	04-23 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$107	81	77	+4	open	—	04-25 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776933000	1	$100	232	0	+232	open	—	04-23 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$91	83	82	+2	open	—	04-25 14:05
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$89	68	68	+0	open	—	05-15 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	05-14 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$87	54	53	+1	open	—	04-25 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	05-14 19:54
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$78	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$78	53	53	+0	open	—	04-25 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$78	54	54	+0	open	—	04-25 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$78	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$70	45	45	+0	open	—	04-25 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	04-25 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$66	56	53	+3	open	—	04-25 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$65	46	46	-0	open	—	04-25 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$64	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$62	50	48	+2	open	—	04-25 11:29
btc updown 5m 1777044600	2	$60	42	40	+2	open	—	04-24 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$59	80	77	+4	open	—	04-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$58	80	78	+3	open	—	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$58	49	47	+2	open	—	04-25 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$57	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$56	42	42	+0	open	—	05-15 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$54	48	45	+3	open	—	04-25 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$54	46	44	+3	open	—	04-27 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 10:39:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x9f62d8…
07-17 10:39:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd45351…
07-15 12:56:22	xrp updown 5m 1784120100	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdb9187…
07-15 12:11:35	btc updown 5m 1784117400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8df76e…
05-22 03:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xde8ea6…
05-22 03:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x98d5b2…
05-22 03:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x851bfa…
05-22 02:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa8b9a2…
05-22 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc9b6a3…
05-22 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcee2bd…
05-22 02:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7dda74…
05-22 01:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7688eb…
05-22 01:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x79b79f…
05-22 01:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x036b40…
05-22 00:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x575bbd…
05-22 00:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa18a7b…
05-22 00:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc837d3…
05-21 23:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5a7fcc…
05-21 23:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6d565d…
05-21 23:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbcc454…
05-21 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x729f63…
05-21 22:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6095ac…
05-21 22:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x17f0b4…
05-21 22:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe3e823…
05-21 22:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x79d996…
05-21 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf416a8…
05-21 21:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb9c3de…
05-21 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b0914…
05-21 20:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf68dde…
05-21 20:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6262ca…
05-21 20:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc2efda…
05-21 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5cd4bd…
05-21 19:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1f2ea5…
05-21 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x10b065…
05-21 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xed672e…
05-21 18:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x16d3ce…
05-21 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x76158b…
05-21 12:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2cc482…
05-21 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2b523e…
05-21 12:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7071b9…
05-21 11:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe16710…
05-21 11:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xea9ed0…
05-21 10:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x171f53…
05-21 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x81ff29…
05-21 10:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5b1ddd…
05-21 09:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2aa74a…
05-21 08:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa817cc…
05-21 08:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa760d8…
05-21 08:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x49e6b0…
05-21 08:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x554088…
05-21 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd78427…
05-21 07:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb00938…
05-21 07:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa8dd4b…
05-21 07:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x9a1d68…
05-21 07:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe133b8…
05-21 07:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x991200…
05-21 07:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x22e69f…
05-21 06:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec24fb…
05-21 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x19d986…
05-21 05:46:33	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x919bd4…
05-21 05:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5cce90…
05-21 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7418ba…
05-21 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x314ac8…
05-21 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc69777…
05-21 05:16:09	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x23cc61…
05-21 04:46:19	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x43938b…
05-21 04:46:10	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xdf971f…
05-21 04:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbfc7fe…
05-21 04:41:37	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa2b0ae…
05-21 04:11:19	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf86d58…
05-21 03:44:59	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f3217…
05-21 03:41:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb88f71…
05-21 03:41:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9ba481…
05-21 03:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x37d894…
05-21 03:11:19	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb96824…
05-21 03:11:11	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xbed89b…
05-21 03:01:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x31224d…
05-21 02:41:27	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x525384…
05-21 02:41:10	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd0287f…
05-21 02:31:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe44772…
05-21 02:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x944d72…
05-21 01:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x22a2ee…
05-21 00:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5fabd3…
05-21 00:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbc9130…
05-21 00:11:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4d2739…
05-20 23:35:01	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd7a84d…
05-20 23:31:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x61e2ce…
05-20 23:11:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x39df15…
05-20 22:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6f5ff1…
05-20 19:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc2e3be…
05-20 19:51:38	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7d4ea9…
05-20 17:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xda3370…
05-20 16:51:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x68ba44…
05-20 16:41:11	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcdc01f…
05-20 16:11:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x403c50…
05-20 16:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xca1863…
05-20 15:36:55	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe616ed…
05-20 04:31:31	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5f776a…
05-20 04:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xbd9d90…
05-20 04:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2a8b8b…