Subdued-Spear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,109

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 08-07 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777042500	9	$151	103	101	+2	open	—	04-24 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$135	105	105	+0	open	—	04-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$134	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 11:50
btc updown 5m 1777047600	2	$116	108	102	+7	open	—	04-24 16:25
btc updown 5m 1776933300	1	$110	271	0	+271	open	—	04-23 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$107	81	77	+4	open	—	04-25 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776933000	1	$100	232	0	+232	open	—	04-23 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$91	83	82	+2	open	—	04-25 14:05
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$89	68	68	+0	open	—	05-15 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	05-14 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$87	54	53	+1	open	—	04-25 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	05-14 19:54
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$78	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$78	53	53	+0	open	—	04-25 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$78	54	54	+0	open	—	04-25 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$78	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$70	45	45	+0	open	—	04-25 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	04-25 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$66	56	53	+3	open	—	04-25 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$65	46	46	-0	open	—	04-25 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$64	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$62	50	48	+2	open	—	04-25 11:29
btc updown 5m 1777044600	2	$60	42	40	+2	open	—	04-24 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$59	80	77	+4	open	—	04-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$58	80	78	+3	open	—	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$58	49	47	+2	open	—	04-25 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$57	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$56	42	42	+0	open	—	05-15 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$54	48	45	+3	open	—	04-25 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$54	46	44	+3	open	—	04-27 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 22:05:31	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x0605dd…
08-07 22:05:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb4f804…
08-06 18:48:20	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7e39e5…
08-06 12:52:41	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc6b2a7…
08-05 23:33:59	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x5af582…
08-05 16:07:23	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x296c4b…
08-04 09:28:09	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfe1658…
08-04 09:28:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb2be7a…
08-04 09:28:03	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf29f4e…
08-04 09:26:57	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb348f4…
08-04 09:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc0da1b…
08-04 09:26:53	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x35118b…
08-04 09:26:48	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdfdb6d…
08-04 09:26:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xab10fa…
08-04 09:25:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdef240…
08-04 09:25:38	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd043dc…
08-04 02:16:41	sol updown 5m 1785809700	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x39c7ec…
08-04 02:16:20	eth updown 5m 1785809700	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xef4509…
08-04 02:13:11	eth updown 5m 1785809400	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xea66cd…
08-04 02:11:36	sol updown 5m 1785809400	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xd1bfef…
08-04 02:11:29	btc updown 5m 1785809400	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4fe9c5…
08-04 02:11:23	doge updown 5m 1785809400	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf5e945…
08-04 02:11:15	eth updown 5m 1785809400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe767a0…
08-04 02:06:54	xrp updown 5m 1785809100	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa6b4d8…
08-04 02:06:21	doge updown 5m 1785809100	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4fc5c8…
08-04 02:00:56	xrp updown 5m 1785808500	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0c3c1d…
08-04 01:56:30	xrp updown 5m 1785808500	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x67d434…
08-04 01:54:42	btc updown 5m 1785808200	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8aba76…
08-04 01:51:27	btc updown 5m 1785808200	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x650054…
08-04 01:27:05	doge updown 5m 1785806700	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa36be0…
08-04 01:26:11	doge updown 5m 1785806700	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xca6aa1…
08-04 00:51:23	sol updown 5m 1785804600	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x821a49…
08-04 00:46:11	eth updown 5m 1785804300	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8f79a5…
08-04 00:44:47	eth updown 5m 1785804000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x1b1b18…
08-04 00:41:18	xrp updown 5m 1785804000	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x1bc78e…
08-04 00:41:11	eth updown 5m 1785804000	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb84de8…
08-04 00:36:39	doge updown 5m 1785803700	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xa6c034…
08-04 00:36:11	xrp updown 5m 1785803700	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x24bad1…
08-04 00:33:05	sol updown 5m 1785803400	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x3334db…
08-04 00:31:21	sol updown 5m 1785803400	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xcc1644…
08-04 00:26:32	sol updown 5m 1785803100	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0163f7…
08-04 00:26:20	btc updown 5m 1785803100	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x70ea72…
08-04 00:16:23	eth updown 5m 1785802500	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc32870…
08-04 00:16:09	doge updown 5m 1785802500	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x88ffe4…
08-04 00:15:27	xrp updown 5m 1785802200	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x993ea6…
08-04 00:11:45	eth updown 5m 1785802200	Up	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x2979a1…
08-04 00:11:36	sol updown 5m 1785802200	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xee2604…
08-04 00:11:20	xrp updown 5m 1785802200	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc22a2d…
08-04 00:11:05	doge updown 5m 1785801900	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xcaabea…
08-04 00:06:51	doge updown 5m 1785801900	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3b8e74…
08-03 23:51:30	xrp updown 5m 1785801000	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x72f29f…
08-03 23:51:18	doge updown 5m 1785801000	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb2ac93…
08-03 23:26:56	doge updown 5m 1785799500	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb9216c…
08-03 23:26:45	eth updown 5m 1785799500	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5439c8…
08-03 23:11:54	xrp updown 5m 1785798600	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xddc79f…
08-03 23:11:21	eth updown 5m 1785798600	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0c27f2…
08-03 22:31:42	doge updown 5m 1785796200	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd41f54…
08-03 22:27:02	xrp updown 5m 1785795900	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x0ca2e1…
08-03 22:26:32	sol updown 5m 1785795900	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xf920f6…
08-03 22:01:33	sol updown 5m 1785794400	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x0e8f93…
08-03 21:46:32	btc updown 5m 1785793500	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xced3a0…
08-03 21:46:20	xrp updown 5m 1785793500	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x4423ba…
08-03 21:46:09	doge updown 5m 1785793500	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x05b734…
08-03 21:41:24	sol updown 5m 1785793200	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xdfc046…
08-03 21:16:20	sol updown 5m 1785791700	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2be2cb…
08-03 21:01:29	xrp updown 5m 1785790800	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3cf099…
08-03 20:51:36	eth updown 5m 1785790200	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xade315…
08-03 20:46:56	sol updown 5m 1785789900	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x662026…
08-03 20:46:32	doge updown 5m 1785789900	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x75bcb0…
08-03 20:18:47	btc updown 5m 1785788100	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3273e2…
08-03 20:16:33	btc updown 5m 1785788100	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x59a96c…
08-03 19:46:42	eth updown 5m 1785786300	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf77432…
08-03 19:46:30	sol updown 5m 1785786300	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xb7de8a…
08-03 19:46:15	doge updown 5m 1785786300	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa1f94c…
08-03 19:41:44	xrp updown 5m 1785786000	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x4c8615…
08-03 19:26:45	sol updown 5m 1785785100	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x445b5b…
08-03 19:26:32	xrp updown 5m 1785785100	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x9fd6b5…
08-03 19:26:20	doge updown 5m 1785785100	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x104387…
08-03 18:41:09	doge updown 5m 1785782400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbea23b…
08-03 18:36:45	xrp updown 5m 1785782100	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa6f615…
08-03 18:26:44	sol updown 5m 1785781500	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc19dca…
08-03 18:14:39	xrp updown 5m 1785780600	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x9d6f0a…
08-03 18:14:05	eth updown 5m 1785780600	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1eddec…
08-03 18:11:21	eth updown 5m 1785780600	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x620750…
08-03 18:11:11	xrp updown 5m 1785780600	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x86c088…
08-03 18:10:53	doge updown 5m 1785780300	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb0ca4…
08-03 18:06:21	doge updown 5m 1785780300	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x21559f…
08-03 17:31:20	doge updown 5m 1785778200	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xb3dfa1…
08-03 17:16:45	xrp updown 5m 1785777300	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x481b70…
08-03 16:41:15	xrp updown 5m 1785775200	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0c0b32…
08-03 16:36:39	btc updown 5m 1785774900	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x14fe06…
08-03 16:14:42	btc updown 5m 1785773400	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x339f9f…
08-03 16:11:39	btc updown 5m 1785773400	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x74b869…
08-03 15:26:35	btc updown 5m 1785770700	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb83bbd…
08-03 15:26:35	sol updown 5m 1785770700	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7e5df6…
08-03 14:36:33	doge updown 5m 1785767700	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x2ae3b0…
08-03 14:06:35	xrp updown 5m 1785765900	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc11507…
08-03 13:46:32	sol updown 5m 1785764700	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5f3dbf…
08-03 13:11:08	btc updown 5m 1785762300	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x51ca40…
08-03 13:06:47	btc updown 5m 1785762300	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf1f2df…