Subdued-Spear 0x3ea8b0…426256
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$788
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
1,399
Trades
2,781
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$49
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-29 11:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 38% -$764
Politics
7% 57% +$46
Other
6% 68% -$81
Sports
3% 64% +$11
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-15 15:11
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-03 00:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-09 15:39
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-08 16:07
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-03 07:36
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-06 14:02
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $0 08-23 14:31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $0 10-03 00:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 10-04 21:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $0 10-10 15:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:25
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 10-29 11:22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$0 10-29 11:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 78¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:24
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2 $2 78¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:25
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +2 $2 77¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:24
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 76¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2 $2 76¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:23
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:23
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:23
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:19
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:20
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-29 11:20
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 65¢ $1 $0 10-29 11:22
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 65¢ $1 $0 10-29 11:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 10-16 14:21
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +2 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 09-19 04:40