Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$279
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
5,435
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-25 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
37% 0% $-3
Tech
12%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 868 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +102 $50 99¢ $101 +$51 06-19 10:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +91 $49 70¢ $63 +$15 06-20 00:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +134 $47 46¢ $62 +$15 06-19 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +95 $50 56¢ $53 +$3 06-20 21:12
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +99 $48 50¢ $49 +$1 06-19 17:54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +56 $40 80¢ $44 +$5 06-21 02:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +61 $28 70¢ $43 +$15 06-23 12:51
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +54 $25 77¢ $42 +$16 06-21 01:30
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +44 $10 93¢ $41 +$31 06-16 05:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $30 67¢ $37 +$7 06-20 13:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +56 $30 66¢ $37 +$7 06-19 12:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +48 $30 76¢ $36 +$6 06-23 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +77 $5 46¢ $35 +$30 06-23 10:24
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +34 $24 99¢ $33 +$9 06-19 14:20
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +66 $29 50¢ $33 +$3 06-23 21:02
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +36 $26 86¢ $31 +$5 06-20 20:39
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +34 $8 92¢ $31 +$23 06-12 09:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +35 $24 82¢ $29 +$5 06-23 10:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +36 $23 77¢ $27 +$4 06-23 19:16
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +34 $24 77¢ $26 +$2 06-20 12:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +34 $20 64¢ $22 +$2 06-23 18:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +27 $17 83¢ $22 +$5 06-23 21:01
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +34 $24 66¢ $22 $-2 06-20 01:07
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +56 $10 39¢ $22 +$12 06-12 20:38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +27 $15 69¢ $18 +$3 06-23 09:32
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -20 $-17 90¢ $-17 $-1 06-22 08:23
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +49 $17 36¢ $17 +$1 06-24 18:40
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +25 $15 66¢ $17 +$2 06-23 08:09
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +21 $14 78¢ $16 +$2 06-20 19:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +23 $12 63¢ $14 +$3 06-23 18:49