Realized P&L
-$826
Unrealized P&L
+$450
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
764
Trades
6,391
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-25 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
47% 36% -$662
Politics
37% 43% +$13
Tech
11% 46% +$13
Sports
4% 28% -$122
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$69
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +142 $50 96¢ $136 +$86 06-19 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +95 $50 88¢ $83 +$33 06-20 21:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +94 $50 86¢ $81 +$31 06-20 00:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +81 $38 92¢ $75 +$37 06-23 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +81 $5 90¢ $72 +$67 06-23 10:24
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +74 $30 72¢ $54 +$24 06-14 22:33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +56 $30 92¢ $51 +$21 06-19 12:50
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $30 84¢ $47 +$17 06-20 13:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +48 $30 83¢ $40 +$10 06-23 09:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +56 $40 66¢ $37 -$3 06-21 02:12
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +40 $24 90¢ $36 +$12 06-23 12:47
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +34 $24 95¢ $32 +$8 06-20 12:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +34 $24 94¢ $31 +$7 06-20 01:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +35 $24 87¢ $30 +$6 06-23 10:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +34 $20 88¢ $30 +$10 06-23 18:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +31 $22 96¢ $30 +$8 06-23 16:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +36 $23 82¢ $29 +$6 06-23 19:16
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +27 $17 95¢ $25 +$8 06-23 21:01
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +28 $7 80¢ $23 +$16 06-11 14:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +28 $14 81¢ $22 +$9 06-23 18:49
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +21 $14 92¢ $19 +$5 06-20 19:31
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +16 $2 96¢ $15 +$14 06-24 01:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +17 $12 92¢ $15 +$3 06-19 16:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +17 $12 90¢ $15 +$3 06-20 19:28
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $12 82¢ $15 +$3 06-20 02:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 94¢ $15 +$3 06-23 12:26
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +15 $12 93¢ $14 +$2 06-20 04:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +15 $12 90¢ $14 +$2 06-23 08:14
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +16 $12 86¢ $14 +$2 06-25 05:18
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +15 $12 87¢ $13 +$1 06-20 12:15