Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
5,435
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$901
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-25 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
37% 0% $-3
Tech
12%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 868 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +102 $50 62¢ $64 +$14 06-19 10:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +91 $49 60¢ $54 +$6 06-20 00:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +95 $50 52¢ $50 $-0 06-20 21:12
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +99 $48 48¢ $48 +$0 06-19 17:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +134 $47 31¢ $41 $-6 06-19 11:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +56 $40 74¢ $41 +$1 06-21 02:12
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +56 $10 61¢ $34 +$24 06-12 20:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +61 $28 56¢ $34 +$6 06-23 12:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $30 58¢ $32 +$2 06-20 13:03
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +77 $30 42¢ $32 +$2 06-19 00:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +48 $30 66¢ $32 +$2 06-23 09:17
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +66 $29 48¢ $32 +$2 06-23 21:02
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +54 $25 57¢ $31 +$5 06-21 01:30
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +34 $24 84¢ $28 +$4 06-19 14:20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +56 $30 50¢ $28 $-2 06-19 12:50
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +36 $26 76¢ $28 +$2 06-20 20:39
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +29 $18 96¢ $27 +$9 06-23 10:22
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -26 $-29 99¢ $-26 +$3 06-22 10:36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +36 $23 72¢ $25 +$2 06-23 19:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +35 $24 70¢ $24 +$0 06-23 10:11
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No -23 $-75 100¢ $-23 +$52 06-22 08:35
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +34 $24 66¢ $22 $-2 06-20 12:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +34 $20 61¢ $21 +$1 06-23 18:15
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +82 $27 26¢ $21 $-6 06-23 19:06
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +27 $17 74¢ $20 +$3 06-23 21:01
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +25 $15 73¢ $18 +$3 06-23 08:09
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? No +26 $15 69¢ $18 +$3 06-23 18:51
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +21 $14 77¢ $16 +$1 06-20 19:31
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +49 $17 32¢ $15 $-1 06-24 18:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +27 $15 57¢ $15 +$0 06-23 09:32