Realized P&L (90d)
-$54
Unrealized P&L
+$522
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
0
6,052 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$26.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-25 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
47% 36% -$668
Politics
37% 43% +$41
Tech
11% 45% +$4
Sports
4% 28% -$122
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$69
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +142 $50 96¢ $136 +$86 06-19 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +95 $50 92¢ $87 +$37 06-20 21:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +94 $50 92¢ $87 +$37 06-20 00:46
will the united states have an ebola case in 2026 No +85 $50 94¢ $80 +$30 06-20 22:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +81 $38 96¢ $78 +$40 06-23 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +81 $5 92¢ $75 +$69 06-23 10:24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +56 $30 88¢ $49 +$19 06-19 12:50
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $30 86¢ $48 +$18 06-20 13:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +48 $30 91¢ $43 +$13 06-23 09:17
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No — +44 $10 92¢ $41 +$31 06-16 05:51
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +74 $30 52¢ $39 +$9 06-14 22:33
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +40 $24 92¢ $37 +$13 06-23 12:47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +56 $40 60¢ $33 -$7 06-21 02:12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +34 $24 97¢ $33 +$9 06-20 12:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +34 $24 96¢ $32 +$8 06-20 01:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +35 $24 92¢ $32 +$8 06-23 10:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +34 $20 92¢ $31 +$12 06-23 18:15
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +31 $22 98¢ $31 +$9 06-23 16:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +36 $23 84¢ $30 +$6 06-23 19:16
will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026 No +33 $13 78¢ $26 +$13 06-23 01:54
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +27 $17 95¢ $25 +$8 06-23 21:01
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +28 $7 88¢ $25 +$18 06-11 14:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +28 $14 82¢ $23 +$9 06-23 18:49
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 No +25 $15 84¢ $21 +$6 06-20 09:43
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +70 $15 28¢ $20 +$4 06-21 00:12
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +21 $14 90¢ $19 +$4 06-20 19:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +17 $12 92¢ $15 +$3 06-19 16:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +17 $12 91¢ $15 +$3 06-20 19:28
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $12 84¢ $15 +$3 06-20 02:53
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 No +16 $12 93¢ $15 +$3 06-19 22:29