Realized P&L (7d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$434
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
0
6,391 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$28.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-25 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
47% 36% -$647
Politics
37% 42% +$11
Tech
11% 45% +$4
Sports
4% 28% -$122
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$69
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +142 $50 94¢ $134 +$84 06-19 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +95 $50 92¢ $87 +$37 06-20 21:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +94 $50 90¢ $84 +$34 06-20 00:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +81 $38 96¢ $78 +$40 06-23 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +81 $5 88¢ $71 +$66 06-23 10:24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +56 $30 86¢ $48 +$18 06-19 12:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +48 $30 91¢ $43 +$13 06-23 09:17
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +74 $30 57¢ $43 +$13 06-14 22:33
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $30 77¢ $42 +$12 06-20 13:03
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +40 $24 86¢ $35 +$11 06-23 12:47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +56 $40 62¢ $34 -$5 06-21 02:12
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +34 $24 96¢ $32 +$8 06-20 01:07
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +34 $24 94¢ $32 +$8 06-20 12:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +34 $20 90¢ $31 +$11 06-23 18:15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +35 $24 88¢ $30 +$6 06-23 10:11
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +31 $22 97¢ $30 +$8 06-23 16:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +36 $23 80¢ $29 +$5 06-23 19:16
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +27 $17 96¢ $26 +$9 06-23 21:01
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +28 $7 84¢ $24 +$17 06-11 14:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +28 $14 84¢ $23 +$9 06-23 18:49
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +21 $14 90¢ $19 +$4 06-20 19:31
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 No +25 $15 70¢ $17 +$2 06-20 09:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $12 89¢ $16 +$4 06-20 02:53
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +16 $12 98¢ $15 +$3 06-25 05:18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +17 $12 91¢ $15 +$3 06-20 19:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +17 $12 90¢ $15 +$3 06-19 16:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 94¢ $15 +$3 06-23 12:26
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +15 $12 94¢ $14 +$2 06-20 04:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +15 $12 92¢ $14 +$2 06-23 08:14
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +15 $12 90¢ $14 +$2 06-20 12:15