Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
655
Trades
33,831
lifetime
Volume
$354.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$263
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-09 11:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 50% +$303
Other
21% 34% $-539
Sports
14% 67% +$135
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +209 $58 69¢ $144 +$86 06-15 23:02
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -112 $-46 61¢ $-68 $-22 06-01 23:37
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No -28 $-25 87¢ $-24 +$1 06-27 11:09
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 74.5 +16 $11 91¢ $15 +$4 06-25 04:57
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $9 $7 $-2 06-24 15:48
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +4 $-14 99¢ $4 +$18 06-27 17:21
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-02 23:38
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-24 00:04
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-17 16¢ $0 +$17 06-29 21:53
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +2 $-1 $0 +$1 06-30 00:09
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +0 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 01:02