Cloudy-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

6,099

lifetime

Volume

$3.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$614

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 33% +$1,396

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	50	$70.1K	50,201	50,201	+0	open	—	05-27 19:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	50	$53.2K	47,380	44,797	+2,584	open	—	07-06 21:02
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	39	$49.1K	35,922	35,922	+0	open	—	01-03 16:45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	25	$40.8K	24,119	24,119	+0	open	—	05-19 19:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	53	$39.9K	34,308	29,308	+5,000	open	—	03-02 20:06
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 bri	23	$37.9K	23,187	23,122	+65	open	—	04-18 18:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	45	$35.4K	30,671	25,660	+5,011	open	—	04-07 09:30
arg riv boc 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	54	$32.1K	20,604	20,589	+15	open	—	04-19 22:09
epl bur mun 2026 01 07 mun	13	$29.2K	18,845	18,845	+0	open	—	01-07 22:11
atp royer rodiono 2026 04 15	26	$29.1K	23,369	19,916	+3,454	open	—	04-15 19:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$27.7K	22,446	22,446	+0	open	—	02-28 07:50
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	75	$26.3K	20,567	20,622	-55	open	—	03-17 07:28
atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02	7	$26.2K	26,762	21,429	+5,333	open	—	07-02 20:10
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	25	$25.8K	15,745	15,745	+0	open	—	06-21 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$25.8K	17,764	17,764	+0	open	—	04-22 20:33
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	58	$24.6K	19,931	14,105	+5,826	open	—	07-25 10:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$24.4K	45,222	45,222	+0	open	—	04-04 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	29	$24.3K	26,345	28,359	-2,014	open	—	01-26 01:39
atp rocha sakamot 2026 04 16	22	$23.6K	14,745	14,745	+0	open	—	04-16 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	22	$23.2K	11,838	14,723	-2,886	open	—	05-15 15:35
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima	5	$23.1K	15,114	15,114	+0	open	—	05-28 21:24
spl nsr qad 2026 01 08 qad	105	$22.8K	15,500	15,500	+0	open	—	01-08 19:34
will gold close between 4300 and 4400 at the end of 2025 774 377	1	$22.3K	0	22,334	-22,334	open	—	01-01 10:32
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	8	$22.2K	24,621	20,044	+4,577	open	—	04-18 12:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	41	$21.6K	18,050	18,050	+0	open	—	04-20 14:58
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	58	$20.9K	17,007	17,007	+0	open	—	01-21 20:32
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	10	$20.6K	18,313	18,313	+0	open	—	07-07 21:54
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	68	$20.2K	27,103	7,224	+19,879	open	—	03-01 20:45
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	19	$18.8K	13,133	13,133	+0	open	—	07-17 12:02
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	9	$18.7K	15,541	8,701	+6,840	open	—	05-29 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:02:06	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	1,546	65¢	$1,000	0xae298e…
08-10 19:01:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	1,659	60¢	$1,000	0x4728fc…
08-10 18:56:07	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	SELL	467	53¢	$248	0xa17b31…
08-10 18:46:48	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x071db1…
08-10 16:17:04	atp cecchin hardt 2026 08 10	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xfcfbb0…
08-10 15:57:42	atp cretu moelle 2026 08 10	Cezar Cretu	BUY	1,053	12¢	$125	0x39dd78…
08-10 13:28:06	atp sultano binda 2026 08 10	Alexandr Binda	BUY	521	24¢	$125	0xc593ab…
08-10 12:27:25	atp cretu moelle 2026 08 10	Marvin Moeller	BUY	1,371	62¢	$850	0x7c0a96…
08-10 12:26:22	atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	Lucio Ratti	SELL	1,567	100¢	$1,565	0xbe454c…
08-10 11:27:15	atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	Tai Sach	BUY	833	15¢	$125	0x69233e…
08-10 11:20:52	atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	Lucio Ratti	BUY	942	69¢	$650	0xe10746…
08-10 10:56:57	atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	Lucio Ratti	BUY	625	64¢	$400	0x1138c4…
08-10 10:51:52	atp matsuda matsuok 2026 08 10	Hayato Matsuoka	SELL	1,511	100¢	$1,509	0x8344e0…
08-10 09:16:19	atp matsuda matsuok 2026 08 10	Hayato Matsuoka	BUY	1,511	73¢	$1,100	0x80e6a9…
08-10 06:39:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x7e48f6…
08-10 06:10:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	844	33¢	$278	0xe8a044…
08-10 06:03:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	153	76¢	$116	0xa700c9…
08-10 06:01:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,197	75¢	$901	0xd35205…
08-10 05:55:12	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	892	56¢	$500	0x2e8fbd…
08-10 05:54:15	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	4,260	27¢	$1,150	0x982d9d…
08-10 05:36:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0x8d34b5…
08-10 04:49:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	139	33¢	$46	0xe5bad8…
08-10 04:35:43	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0x069b54…
08-10 04:35:28	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xb29543…
08-09 22:19:27	atp fonseca shelton 2026 08 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	1,461	65¢	$950	0x570d51…
08-09 21:34:31	atp fonseca shelton 2026 08 10	Ben Shelton	BUY	223	56¢	$125	0x3fd625…
08-09 21:32:21	atp fonseca shelton 2026 08 10	Ben Shelton	BUY	982	56¢	$550	0x0a6569…
08-09 20:59:33	por mor scb 2026 08 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xa44f35…
08-09 20:55:12	por ben acv 2026 08 09 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x60f121…
08-09 18:22:22	aut fak ask 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xe81f9d…
08-09 17:29:57	atp ilagan butvila 2026 08 09	Andre Ilagan	BUY	425	21¢	$89	0x94a1da…
08-09 17:25:25	atp grieksp aguilar 2026 08 10	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	690	18¢	$124	0x3f0e9f…
08-09 15:45:49	atp piraino nestero 2026 08 09	Petr Nesterov	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0x0c444f…
08-09 15:40:51	ere zwo aja 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,449	100¢	$1,448	0x1c29f3…
08-09 15:40:25	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	2,356	44¢	$1,037	0x7ebee9…
08-09 15:33:55	atp piraino nestero 2026 08 09	Gabriele Piraino	BUY	1,618	62¢	$1,000	0x23ea2c…
08-09 15:16:31	scop ran hib 2026 08 09 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xbe0e26…
08-09 14:43:00	ukr1 ver dyn 2026 08 09 spread away 1pt5	RNK Veres Rivne	BUY	1,140	57¢	$650	0xa5d4e6…
08-09 14:24:31	ere zwo aja 2026 08 09 spread away 1pt5	PEC Zwolle	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x9c46db…
08-09 14:19:00	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Tom Gentzsch	SELL	1,977	100¢	$1,975	0xdfc74c…
08-09 13:33:16	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x580b9a…
08-09 13:20:36	will nvda reach 248 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,340	75¢	$1,000	0x404eb5…
08-09 13:19:48	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	No	BUY	776	56¢	$437	0x2c3145…
08-09 13:18:19	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Jerome Kym	BUY	306	26¢	$80	0xcf8b79…
08-09 13:15:03	ere zwo aja 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x219e57…
08-09 12:55:51	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Jerome Kym	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0x96e047…
08-09 12:47:12	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	656	61¢	$400	0x3b48fb…
08-09 12:44:21	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	255	49¢	$125	0xe37153…
08-09 09:29:51	jap fct1 kaw 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,528	72¢	$1,100	0xa0064a…
08-09 06:16:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	46¢	$1,150	0x2ac3cc…
08-09 06:04:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	145	61¢	$88	0x61b892…
08-09 06:02:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	No	BUY	744	69¢	$511	0x929b5e…
08-09 06:02:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdd3b6b…
08-09 06:01:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf8fcef…
08-09 05:29:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	845	61¢	$515	0x53e965…
08-09 05:23:00	atp gentzsc kym 2026 08 09	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	767	43¢	$329	0x92385d…
08-09 04:43:37	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	900	56¢	$500	0x8925bf…
08-08 21:50:07	atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	Arthur Rinderknech	SELL	4,334	45¢	$1,950	0x852177…
08-08 21:48:07	atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	3,077	65¢	$2,000	0x1d9b45…
08-08 20:47:36	atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	403	23¢	$95	0x31fc77…
08-08 20:45:30	atp butvila lajovic 2026 08 08	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	771	45¢	$350	0x6fd0b7…
08-08 20:44:01	atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	854	19¢	$162	0x665f9f…
08-08 18:57:28	atp borges darderi 2026 08 08	Luciano Darderi	SELL	2,679	88¢	$2,357	0xdf7380…
08-08 18:54:39	atp borges darderi 2026 08 08	Luciano Darderi	BUY	2,679	56¢	$1,500	0xfae903…
08-08 18:44:45	atp borges darderi 2026 08 08	Nuno Borges	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xb869fa…
08-08 17:38:16	atp rinderk nakashi 2026 08 08	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	3,636	66¢	$2,400	0x44ac4e…
08-08 14:47:36	atp gentzsc piros 2026 08 08	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	2,765	65¢	$1,797	0x621051…
08-08 14:46:48	clf juv int 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	Juventus Turin	SELL	1,348	99¢	$1,334	0xcf2bf5…
08-08 13:59:58	atp gentzsc piros 2026 08 08	Zsombor Piros	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0x07d659…
08-08 13:58:04	atp ghibaud simakin 2026 08 08	Antoine Ghibaudo	BUY	628	20¢	$125	0xc0063e…
08-08 13:31:54	nor vif bog 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	1,528	72¢	$1,100	0xc86161…
08-08 13:25:40	atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	Joel Schwaerzler	SELL	3,776	93¢	$3,512	0x9a38f3…
08-08 12:42:30	atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	3,776	53¢	$2,000	0x5e181e…
08-08 12:39:57	clf juv int 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0xc81110…
08-08 12:02:52	atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	Mathys Erhard	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x3879ba…
08-08 12:01:42	clf juv int 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	Juventus Turin	BUY	1,338	74¢	$990	0x1f0585…
08-08 11:47:49	clf juv int 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	Juventus Turin	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc0e545…
08-08 09:49:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	3,178	39¢	$1,240	0xf8305f…
08-08 09:43:39	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	256	39¢	$100	0xf4ef26…
08-08 09:39:12	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x00d14f…
08-08 09:03:49	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x1342f1…
08-08 08:41:36	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x527666…
08-08 08:29:42	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x073050…
08-08 08:26:25	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	407	59¢	$240	0x49f17f…
08-08 08:24:01	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x430330…
08-08 08:16:31	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	197	59¢	$116	0x540d67…
08-08 08:16:09	atp guerrie glinka 2026 08 08	Andrea Guerrieri	SELL	641	59¢	$378	0x1fdabe…
08-08 07:39:21	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	106	90¢	$95	0x8ed87a…
08-08 07:39:18	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	304	90¢	$273	0x4adb4c…
08-08 07:39:00	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0xdd209d…
08-08 07:39:00	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x11f95e…
08-08 07:38:58	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x2953e2…
08-08 07:38:57	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xd87590…
08-08 07:38:40	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbcfe1f…
08-08 07:38:39	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x2887ff…
08-08 07:12:00	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0xcfcc3a…
08-08 07:00:45	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	237	63¢	$149	0x0d9808…
08-08 07:00:43	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	898	63¢	$566	0x9e6a42…
08-08 07:00:42	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xf25a98…
08-08 07:00:30	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4c497f…