Irresponsible-Barracks 0xc37e45…1d9e64
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Realized P&L
+$306
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
230
Trades
5,571
lifetime
Volume
$81.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$808
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-29 01:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Sports
52% 61% +$530
Other
29% 49% $-527
Politics
19% 100% +$304
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -338 $-321 100¢ $-338 $-16 06-15 11:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -142 $-133 100¢ $-142 $-9 06-15 12:00
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -71 $-71 100¢ $-71 $-0 06-29 01:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -55 $-54 100¢ $-55 $-1 06-15 12:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -94 $-62 50¢ $-47 +$16 05-29 23:14
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Under +47 $26 100¢ $47 +$20 05-31 22:59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -29 $-24 84¢ $-24 $-0 06-29 01:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -30 $-21 70¢ $-21 +$0 06-29 01:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -15 $45 100¢ $-15 $-60 06-19 10:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-14 80¢ $-14 $-0 06-29 01:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -42 $-8 20¢ $-8 $-0 06-29 01:01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-29 01:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-29 01:02
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 01:02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-29 01:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 01:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -0 $-7 88¢ $-0 +$6 06-29 01:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 06-29 01:02