Scaly-Surge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$522

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,611

lifetime

Volume

$428.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

35% 86% +$109

Other

28% 68% +$451

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-38

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	113	$64.7K	33,020	32,281	+739	open	—	07-17 05:56
cs2 fokus bcg 2026 04 07	16	$7.7K	7,658	1,095	+6,563	open	—	04-07 12:33
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	100	$7.7K	5,700	4,600	+1,100	open	—	04-12 16:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	116	$6.8K	5,291	3,622	+1,669	open	—	04-12 17:02
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	87	$6.4K	4,402	3,349	+1,052	open	—	04-12 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	85	$6.3K	5,103	4,574	+530	open	—	05-29 16:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	42	$6.2K	5,344	5,164	+180	open	—	04-07 23:02
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	30	$5.9K	4,801	2,000	+2,801	open	—	02-20 08:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	36	$5.3K	4,000	4,200	-200	open	—	04-03 22:25
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	6	$5.0K	5,050	50	+5,000	open	—	07-12 03:51
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	56	$4.6K	3,036	2,625	+411	open	—	04-12 17:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	51	$4.2K	3,500	2,700	+800	open	—	04-12 17:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	41	$4.0K	3,330	1,930	+1,400	open	—	03-12 13:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	34	$4.0K	2,500	2,228	+272	open	—	03-29 12:00
will norway win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	41	$3.9K	3,035	2,035	+1,000	open	—	02-19 20:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	40	$3.8K	2,500	2,600	-100	open	—	04-03 22:11
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	42	$3.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-08 09:05
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	30	$3.8K	2,250	2,400	-150	open	—	05-01 02:24
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	30	$3.7K	2,600	2,705	-105	open	—	03-31 23:08
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	30	$3.7K	1,700	2,500	-800	open	—	04-01 12:17
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	22	$3.7K	2,840	2,930	-90	open	—	04-01 11:21
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	24	$3.4K	1,594	2,099	-505	open	—	02-22 05:19
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	103	$3.2K	6,015	6,098	-83	open	—	03-24 20:00
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	63	$3.1K	2,925	1,769	+1,156	open	—	04-12 11:28
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	46	$3.1K	2,644	2,744	-100	open	—	03-16 02:15
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	19	$3.0K	1,700	2,400	-700	open	—	03-05 23:00
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	17	$2.9K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-14 20:47
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$2.9K	5,139	1,813	+3,326	open	—	04-12 17:12
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	43	$2.8K	2,971	2,219	+752	open	—	04-01 19:50
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	66	$2.8K	2,595	2,503	+92	open	—	04-14 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:37:55	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	73	56¢	$41	0x43f32e…
08-10 21:37:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x5fd9d1…
08-10 21:33:03	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	SELL	147	5¢	$7	0x94f4f1…
08-10 19:47:03	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0x35e219…
08-10 19:11:12	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xc87125…
08-10 10:50:55	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0xdcf76b…
08-09 06:24:57	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x60310f…
08-08 21:04:54	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x09c3f7…
08-07 19:40:45	StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xefa0bf…
08-07 18:27:49	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	17¢	$15	0xd0b841…
08-05 09:33:27	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xf46af8…
08-05 08:47:47	Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xe2994d…
08-04 00:26:57	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x65ebf4…
08-03 11:36:15	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	93	49¢	$46	0xcd7598…
08-03 11:34:56	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x61ac89…
08-03 10:54:15	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0xe7db13…
08-03 07:53:42	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9334ed…
08-02 19:50:57	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	86¢	$190	0xc102f2…
08-02 18:23:20	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb73695…
08-02 18:19:29	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x88e184…
08-02 06:41:15	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0xb78014…
08-02 06:37:21	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$27	0xb5e705…
08-02 06:36:27	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x0834a7…
08-02 06:36:21	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xf6a1da…
08-02 03:07:12	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x205ed3…
08-02 03:07:08	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0x996a45…
08-01 22:12:53	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x54fe82…
08-01 22:05:38	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x4ee21e…
08-01 14:07:57	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xd35085…
08-01 13:46:42	Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x71de2e…
08-01 07:07:11	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x9aaf95…
07-31 21:48:42	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x19e5a9…
07-31 21:22:50	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3eb7ef…
07-31 19:17:39	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	97	56¢	$54	0xfa13fb…
07-31 18:57:12	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xa60357…
07-31 17:33:32	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x1e0f57…
07-31 17:27:47	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xf22680…
07-31 16:58:51	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	72¢	$69	0x797ea6…
07-31 16:35:44	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xa86cb5…
07-31 16:11:47	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xecbfd5…
07-31 15:57:17	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd2b7fc…
07-31 15:55:39	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xd04b39…
07-31 15:19:14	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	52	22¢	$11	0x73e676…
07-31 14:46:18	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x0877c4…
07-31 14:43:54	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xfad0db…
07-31 14:14:42	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x4497e2…
07-31 14:11:02	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x7c6f2a…
07-31 14:08:36	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb2d9fd…
07-31 14:07:11	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	98	64¢	$63	0x955205…
07-31 14:04:42	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x4a9530…
07-31 14:01:08	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1e9619…
07-31 13:52:57	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	57	69¢	$40	0x1baec6…
07-31 13:51:29	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x7b702d…
07-31 13:50:15	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	69¢	$24	0x76acac…
07-31 13:49:15	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	69¢	$59	0x7b19c9…
07-31 13:38:35	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x746e46…
07-31 13:07:14	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x90ff5e…
07-31 13:03:03	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xcc5067…
07-31 13:02:56	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xd49dc0…
07-31 12:56:38	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x79171a…
07-31 12:50:57	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf086fd…
07-31 12:50:47	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xa0eb90…
07-31 06:16:14	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcb4337…
07-31 06:05:30	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfce1ba…
07-31 05:23:06	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6245dc…
07-31 04:33:56	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x1df36f…
07-31 04:27:26	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xbcc919…
07-31 03:56:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x3ecd03…
07-31 03:13:17	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0xc1cfdd…
07-30 22:15:56	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xaf0080…
07-30 20:01:06	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa792b1…
07-30 19:57:51	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	97	42¢	$41	0x214deb…
07-30 18:17:39	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x80d0c4…
07-30 16:50:29	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x0ece7e…
07-30 16:50:21	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe88664…
07-30 16:50:06	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x0d01e0…
07-30 16:47:48	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xd12653…
07-30 14:28:12	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xf383d9…
07-30 14:25:17	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x8a64b4…
07-30 14:21:27	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x856298…
07-30 14:20:03	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0e1639…
07-30 13:52:33	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x8a3867…
07-30 13:07:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x157d3e…
07-30 13:07:05	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0xeabc99…
07-30 12:36:03	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	58	74¢	$43	0x0a85d3…
07-30 12:27:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xdc2d6c…
07-30 12:09:48	grvt fdv above 350m one day after launch	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xac64c7…
07-30 12:01:20	grvt fdv above 350m one day after launch	No	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0xb5acd4…
07-30 12:00:47	grvt fdv above 350m one day after launch	No	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x3ce6dd…
07-30 11:25:08	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x0d4685…
07-30 10:42:53	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x1fc8d4…
07-30 03:41:36	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xa30b18…
07-30 03:02:57	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xf23f71…
07-30 01:19:45	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x3cd096…
07-30 01:07:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0xcad8fa…
07-30 01:03:18	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x26021e…
07-30 00:53:15	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xf26cfc…
07-30 00:39:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0x9ff7ce…
07-30 00:38:18	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	55	77¢	$43	0xd0c67b…
07-30 00:18:09	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x381886…