Puzzled-Internet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$714

Unrealized P&L

-$370

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

14,795

lifetime

Volume

$1.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$778

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-08 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 83% $-714

Other

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,907	$1,114	40¢	$753	$-361	06-03 00:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$34	24¢	$24	$-9	06-03 00:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	106	$26.7K	31,532	1,000	+30,532	open	—	05-14 01:00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	146	$26.6K	27,605	5,000	+22,605	open	—	04-29 13:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	24	$13.9K	10,289	5,500	+4,789	open	—	03-31 15:24
btc updown 15m 1770366600	131	$13.1K	13,621	0	+13,621	open	—	02-06 08:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$11.5K	10,659	1,000	+9,659	open	—	03-14 17:40
btc updown 15m 1770313500	20	$10.8K	11,972	0	+11,972	open	—	02-05 17:58
btc updown 15m 1770309900	64	$10.6K	10,692	0	+10,692	open	—	02-05 16:56
btc updown 15m 1770276600	45	$10.5K	11,028	0	+11,028	open	—	02-05 07:43
btc updown 15m 1770305400	49	$10.5K	10,593	0	+10,593	open	—	02-05 15:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	14	$10.4K	10,993	200	+10,793	open	—	03-31 14:44
btc updown 15m 1770308100	45	$10.3K	10,414	0	+10,414	open	—	02-05 16:26
bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	24	$10.1K	5,073	5,073	+0	open	—	02-19 14:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	16	$9.2K	10,382	0	+10,382	open	—	06-08 09:55
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	9	$8.9K	9,079	0	+9,079	open	—	02-24 17:16
btc updown 15m 1770310800	33	$8.9K	9,975	0	+9,975	open	—	02-05 17:10
btc updown 15m 1770278400	91	$8.6K	8,593	148	+8,445	open	—	02-05 08:15
btc updown 15m 1770363000	90	$8.4K	8,627	0	+8,627	open	—	02-06 07:44
btc updown 15m 1770363900	25	$8.0K	8,435	0	+8,435	open	—	02-06 07:58
btc updown 5m 1773690300	7	$7.8K	7,775	0	+7,775	open	—	03-16 19:49
btc updown 15m 1770304500	35	$7.8K	8,200	0	+8,200	open	—	02-05 15:28
btc updown 15m 1770372000	55	$6.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	02-06 10:14
btc updown 15m 1770603300	1	$6.8K	6,840	0	+6,840	open	—	02-09 02:30
btc updown 5m 1773009900	18	$6.7K	6,705	0	+6,705	open	—	03-08 22:49
btc updown 5m 1772595000	1	$6.6K	6,687	0	+6,687	open	—	03-04 03:33
btc updown 15m 1770576300	14	$6.6K	6,685	0	+6,685	open	—	02-08 18:59
btc updown 15m 1770995700	86	$6.5K	7,812	0	+7,812	open	—	02-13 15:27
btc updown 5m 1772561400	58	$6.5K	6,574	0	+6,574	open	—	03-03 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	26	$6.4K	6,460	0	+6,460	open	—	03-11 13:53
btc updown 15m 1770652800	46	$6.4K	6,524	0	+6,524	open	—	02-09 16:11
btc updown 5m 1772562000	57	$6.4K	6,442	0	+6,442	open	—	03-03 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:34:36	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xe74351…
06-09 23:34:33	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x699ee0…
06-08 17:32:24	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x074275…
06-08 17:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4b7f6c…
06-08 17:32:01	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc5291a…
06-08 17:32:01	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc3fcde…
06-08 09:55:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xabe757…
06-08 04:18:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc2daaa…
06-08 04:18:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	2,838	86¢	$2,440	0xaa370d…
06-04 02:04:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2,083	52¢	$1,086	0x7d969a…
06-04 01:42:12	btc updown 5m 1780537200	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x1824cc…
06-04 01:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780535100	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x7d6346…
06-03 00:09:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8d3877…
06-03 00:07:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xcd3709…
06-03 00:06:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xa5f4ca…
06-03 00:06:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1183b0…
06-03 00:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbe6752…
06-03 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa51381…
06-03 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa1e4a5…
06-02 23:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xedf970…
06-02 23:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x8829ef…
06-02 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xd35ddb…
06-02 23:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x004623…
06-02 23:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6033fd…
06-02 23:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2cbdb7…
06-02 23:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa3fb55…
06-02 23:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7116d5…
06-02 23:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x389334…
06-02 23:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1a7d06…
06-02 23:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0xd13c65…
06-02 23:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x40ce8d…
06-02 23:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf82512…
06-02 23:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xe93302…
06-02 23:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0cc8ff…
06-02 23:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x9e268b…
06-02 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xcbd55d…
06-02 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x78b0d1…
06-02 23:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xbebec7…
06-02 23:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x456868…
06-02 23:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x353bb9…
06-02 23:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a12f1…
06-02 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x535933…
06-02 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x064a5b…
06-02 23:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5f4e69…
06-02 23:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0a8af7…
06-02 23:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x95b6e3…
06-02 23:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xee035b…
06-02 23:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x5182a1…
06-02 23:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x72f18f…
06-02 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x74e9d1…
06-02 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3a7f32…
06-02 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0e759d…
06-02 21:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xde2afb…
06-02 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf7cc64…
06-02 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe99108…
06-02 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x697edb…
06-02 15:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x574aee…
06-02 15:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x474a4a…
06-02 15:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd9133f…
06-02 15:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x92e268…
06-02 15:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x45dbde…
06-02 15:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x767099…
06-02 15:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x43b26a…
06-02 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2c6f70…
06-02 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa9cd51…
06-02 14:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x89dca4…
06-02 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x914aeb…
06-02 14:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x44d792…
06-02 14:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfb9b22…
06-02 14:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4bf49c…
06-02 14:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe93902…
06-02 14:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9e1fcb…
06-02 14:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xee9c12…
06-02 14:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf37045…
06-02 14:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x814a46…
06-02 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4ffd39…
06-02 14:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xee2862…
06-02 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x543327…
06-02 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x245d03…
06-02 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x63702c…
06-02 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc465a7…
06-02 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x91b872…
06-02 14:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8e329f…
06-02 14:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc3bac7…
06-02 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x808ffc…
06-02 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe96124…
06-02 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x90aa49…
06-02 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8d4775…
06-02 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x66b20d…
06-02 12:25:11	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	No	BUY	4,364	90¢	$3,928	0x9aa2b6…
06-02 11:01:11	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe45905…
06-02 00:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xaa33be…
06-02 00:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5dbafb…
06-02 00:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x08aac1…
06-02 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xef37b1…
06-02 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc9c8ac…
06-02 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8ce32e…
06-02 00:25:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0x6cee7d…
06-02 00:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,679	60¢	$1,000	0x84005d…
06-02 00:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1bc2cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	817	$352.1K	59,275	03-23 03:11
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	800	$116.5K	17,601	05-14 18:34
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	800	$18.3K	2,162	04-30 14:40
(anonymous) 0x9cc5…c565	798	$23.1K	4,064	04-08 15:13
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	796	$875.4K	89,353	04-10 14:46
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	789	$57.5K	6,952	06-09 23:30
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	779	$360.6K	49,418	03-23 03:11
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	778	$5.17K	5,891	06-09 23:34