Pessimistic-Abdomen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$93.1K

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

1,028

Trades

33,514

lifetime

Volume

$21.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$633

Open exposure

$143.7K

19 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 80% +$28,230

Other

19% 70% +$17,893

Sports

5% 57% +$32,296

Politics

0% 50% -$433

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1,944

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+280,297	$141,027	12¢	$35.0K	-$105,990	10-19 08:23
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	+59,228	$26,719	55¢	$32.3K	+$5,560	10-16 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+12,425	$9,083	94¢	$11.6K	+$2,534	10-24 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+11,063	$9,624	98¢	$10.8K	+$1,168	10-24 14:27
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+12,077	$11,002	87¢	$10.5K	-$477	10-23 06:58
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	+10,960	$8,489	94¢	$10.2K	+$1,758	10-27 17:18
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-9,300	-$9,261	100¢	$-9291	-$29	06-19 05:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	+11,024	$7,809	80¢	$8.8K	+$955	10-28 00:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	+7,510	$6,539	100¢	$7.5K	+$938	10-28 03:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	+5,213	$4,863	98¢	$5.1K	+$264	10-22 06:10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,476	$1,216	27¢	$939	-$278	10-11 11:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	-793	-$804	99¢	$-782	+$22	10-17 20:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	+248	$226	100¢	$248	+$22	10-05 07:58
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	+238	$173	99¢	$237	+$64	10-16 03:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	+199	-$35	99¢	$198	+$233	10-25 06:03
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	+72	$65	100¢	$72	+$7	10-20 08:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	+68	$25	100¢	$68	+$43	10-06 19:53
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+50	$10	71¢	$36	+$26	10-22 15:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	+0	-$120	100¢	$0	+$120	10-15 16:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	648	$520.8K	336,249	336,249	+0	No	+$4,579	03-30 12:16
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1,277	$460.9K	418,771	418,770	+1	Yes	+$5,142	03-29 22:44
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	409	$375.9K	322,406	322,406	+0	No	+$2,694	03-30 12:38
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	488	$333.0K	262,327	255,081	+7,246	Yes	+$6,351	03-17 00:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	381	$330.3K	204,574	204,253	+321	No	+$2,577	04-27 15:55
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	817	$316.9K	368,175	333,409	+34,766	No	-$340	01-28 18:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	354	$291.2K	160,263	158,089	+2,174	No	+$1,673	02-28 12:03
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	426	$222.7K	167,037	167,037	+0	No	-$7,144	07-01 00:03
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	250	$215.5K	120,445	121,445	-1,000	No	-$953	02-28 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	835	$195.2K	229,464	229,464	+0	No	+$2,918	04-27 17:57
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	543	$186.5K	209,410	211,719	-2,308	Yes	-$3,690	01-29 16:13
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	345	$182.3K	142,529	140,218	+2,311	Yes	+$3,834	01-13 20:37
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	239	$180.7K	95,106	95,106	+0	No	+$524	02-01 01:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	202	$179.6K	101,118	101,114	+4	No	+$1,275	06-30 21:00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	169	$176.2K	114,251	113,182	+1,070	Yes	-$257	04-14 12:02
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	228	$168.9K	86,910	86,666	+243	No	+$564	01-31 22:31
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	250	$166.3K	102,817	104,933	-2,116	Yes	-$1,994	01-31 05:45
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	92	$163.3K	95,371	95,371	+0	No	-$8,148	03-01 23:11
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	429	$155.9K	152,999	152,999	+0	No	+$5,722	03-29 22:43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	107	$143.6K	127,217	127,211	+6	No	-$2,792	04-20 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	171	$142.7K	99,958	99,958	+0	No	+$1,681	04-28 04:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	47	$141.0K	280,297	0	+280,297	open	—	10-19 08:23
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	969	$140.8K	75,527	75,527	+0	No	+$762	03-02 01:20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	33	$136.9K	111,931	111,931	+0	No	+$124	04-05 17:14
will ethereum dip to 2100 in october 2026	63	$134.6K	82,865	71,906	+10,960	open	—	10-27 17:18
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	182	$134.5K	78,964	78,964	+0	No	+$822	02-20 18:13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$127.1K	130,002	0	+130,002	No	+$2,860	05-15 12:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	173	$126.2K	75,675	75,675	+0	No	+$389	03-27 21:43
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	133	$123.0K	67,063	66,807	+256	No	+$1,874	03-31 13:24
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	61	$122.5K	63,557	63,557	+0	No	+$309	02-01 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:45:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	6,645	100¢	$6,625	0xd85b16…
10-28 00:58:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	717	75¢	$538	0x7eb78e…
10-28 00:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x3707f9…
10-28 00:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	249	77¢	$192	0x32b70d…
10-27 23:23:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	77	77¢	$59	0x3dfe7a…
10-27 23:07:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$25	0x13aebb…
10-27 22:35:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	141	77¢	$109	0xad5280…
10-27 22:08:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x8e6849…
10-27 22:04:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x05d737…
10-27 21:59:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x416bfd…
10-27 21:53:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc39300…
10-27 21:44:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	122	80¢	$98	0x26cee4…
10-27 21:42:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x5e733f…
10-27 21:34:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,768	82¢	$1,450	0xf7b33b…
10-27 21:31:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x489977…
10-27 21:31:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	95	79¢	$75	0x2fe1bd…
10-27 18:52:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xd518d4…
10-27 18:28:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	14,500	73¢	$10,585	0xe330a7…
10-27 17:18:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	813	91¢	$739	0x9f95f9…
10-27 11:47:27	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	SELL	108	15¢	$16	0xde07fc…
10-27 09:19:18	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	11,495	78¢	$9,003	0x353612…
10-27 07:42:24	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	BUY	509	12¢	$61	0xc3c13f…
10-27 06:20:30	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	1,054	94¢	$993	0x25e855…
10-27 03:11:42	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	SELL	8,600	100¢	$8,591	0xaf8026…
10-26 18:05:48	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	8,600	67¢	$5,762	0x35e71f…
10-25 17:58:48	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	800	91¢	$728	0xc587cb…
10-25 17:54:51	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	506	80¢	$405	0xe38c84…
10-25 15:42:20	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	15,000	81¢	$12,150	0x8134a9…
10-25 13:05:21	Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x36b68d…
10-25 13:05:20	Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xaa4e96…
10-25 13:05:20	Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x867444…
10-25 08:45:20	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0xe812b0…
10-25 08:43:39	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	144	19¢	$27	0x3d9683…
10-25 06:58:11	Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	57	68¢	$39	0x8bf969…
10-25 06:03:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x7414df…
10-25 06:00:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x39ca13…
10-25 05:56:32	Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xf62f99…
10-25 05:44:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x8adf98…
10-25 05:42:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xf63402…
10-25 05:40:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x825663…
10-24 21:07:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	137	56¢	$77	0x559abd…
10-24 20:46:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	137	56¢	$77	0xaf3b3d…
10-24 18:04:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	3,732	44¢	$1,642	0x0273d9…
10-24 17:44:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x22a65d…
10-24 17:44:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x2f749d…
10-24 17:23:41	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	1,200	59¢	$708	0x67efe7…
10-24 17:18:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	238	99¢	$235	0x0d2a68…
10-24 17:14:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xd62462…
10-24 17:02:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x90cc19…
10-24 16:57:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	5,567	98¢	$5,472	0x41c52d…
10-24 16:50:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfd033b…
10-24 16:50:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x7021f4…
10-24 16:50:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xf13b57…
10-24 16:50:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0xbd8fa5…
10-24 16:48:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	138	52¢	$72	0xc7784e…
10-24 16:05:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xc04dc4…
10-24 16:05:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	79	54¢	$43	0xb21823…
10-24 16:02:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,121	52¢	$2,143	0x5016ec…
10-24 15:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	764	97¢	$742	0x41bb01…
10-24 15:47:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x217fb9…
10-24 15:46:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x60719f…
10-24 15:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	2,469	97¢	$2,402	0x7547ca…
10-24 15:25:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	8,000	68¢	$5,440	0x444e17…
10-24 15:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0xba1514…
10-24 15:16:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0xb083d8…
10-24 14:27:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	129	90¢	$116	0xd85c68…
10-24 14:19:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x68814f…
10-24 14:16:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xdd3051…
10-24 13:36:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,337	91¢	$1,216	0x905e91…
10-24 12:37:29	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x7651c7…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf517a6…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd10508…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	92	66¢	$61	0x91053e…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x81a0af…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x7b1c39…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x79936d…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	141	66¢	$93	0x6adccd…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6669af…
10-24 12:29:00	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x2fa71d…
10-24 12:15:17	Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x32dd8b…
10-24 11:41:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xe56724…
10-24 11:38:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x47295c…
10-24 11:37:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	5,023	98¢	$4,902	0x47ee88…
10-24 10:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	195	91¢	$177	0x791cc0…
10-24 10:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,932	91¢	$1,758	0x7756bf…
10-24 10:22:38	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdcab67…
10-24 07:09:59	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,495	79¢	$9,129	0x1aca3f…
10-24 06:44:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xacd506…
10-24 04:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x08544b…
10-24 02:41:45	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0x85084b…
10-24 01:53:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	587	88¢	$517	0xd7fc91…
10-23 22:57:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	71¢	$24	0x26be74…
10-23 22:54:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xabaac8…
10-23 21:33:26	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	95	86¢	$82	0xfcd5bb…
10-23 17:10:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	110	83¢	$92	0x2604f9…
10-23 16:43:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	4,527	82¢	$3,712	0x10b8d3…
10-23 15:47:27	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	5,065	77¢	$3,900	0x0e6b10…
10-23 11:42:50	Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xaa19fa…
10-23 11:42:42	Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xe0092d…
10-23 11:42:42	Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	1,635	64¢	$1,046	0xb6d1ed…