Narrow-Authorization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.40K

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

4,300

Trades

33,113

lifetime

Volume

$13.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$403

Open exposure

$58.2K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Sports

64% 54% -$2,459

Other

36% 61% +$72,918

Pop-Culture

0% 67% -$20

Politics

0% 0% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+22,706	$17,302	96¢	$21.7K	+$4,383	10-24 21:42
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+17,360	$11,380	96¢	$16.6K	+$5,216	10-27 23:27
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+231,885	$10,566	4¢	$10.2K	-$363	10-28 01:29
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+3,662	$1,721	71¢	$2.6K	+$881	10-27 00:45
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+48,450	$3,927	4¢	$2.2K	-$1,747	10-28 01:30
Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	+2,000	$1,520	88¢	$1.8K	+$250	10-28 01:41
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+4,487	$2,746	29¢	$1.3K	-$1,447	10-24 16:24
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+3,194	$2,122	29¢	$926	-$1,196	10-26 07:13
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+2,003	$339	34¢	$691	+$352	09-18 00:45
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+342	$177	71¢	$243	+$66	10-17 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	569	$345.8K	861,007	0	+861,007	Yes	+$204,814	06-14 03:16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,290	$304.6K	788,804	32,538	+756,267	No	-$28,743	06-14 03:25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,152	$261.8K	506,444	23,000	+483,444	No	-$123,633	05-31 02:42
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	9	$258.2K	271,948	0	+271,948	No	+$13,774	08-31 03:52
Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	3	$207.9K	210,735	0	+210,735	Miami (FL)	+$2,302	10-24 18:17
Portland State vs. Oregon	10	$195.7K	196,340	0	+196,340	Oregon	+$594	09-16 07:27
Florida A&M vs. Miami (FL)	32	$180.9K	181,742	0	+181,742	Miami (FL)	+$840	09-11 01:06
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	149	$175.5K	181,226	0	+181,226	Yes	+$5,721	06-23 07:58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	425	$160.7K	288,036	46,265	+241,771	No	+$60,431	05-31 01:16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	210	$148.7K	312,302	145	+312,157	Yes	+$60,166	05-31 02:46
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	3	$144.4K	169,207	0	+169,207	Atlanta Braves	+$2,176	09-02 20:50
nbasl orl cha 2026 07 09	18	$139.5K	147,678	6,000	+141,678	Charlotte Hornets	+$14,168	07-10 01:43
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	74	$131.9K	197,710	0	+197,710	No	+$3,467	10-16 03:08
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$124.6K	257,039	0	+257,039	No	-$4,639	07-19 19:32
Norfolk State vs. Virginia	151	$122.8K	123,669	0	+123,669	Virginia	+$827	09-12 01:34
Cowboys vs. Giants	5	$119.2K	120,539	0	+120,539	Giants	+$1,384	09-14 03:24
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	68	$111.6K	121,114	0	+121,114	No	+$9,479	07-14 01:24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	368	$108.0K	320,958	2,100	+318,858	No	-$106,324	07-14 20:49
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	504	$105.9K	177,178	6,106	+171,072	No	+$9,544	05-18 01:53
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$103.3K	109,837	0	+109,837	No	-$2,252	06-20 22:44
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	144	$101.3K	216,795	20,027	+196,768	No	+$22,145	05-24 04:47
Spread: KC (-5.5)	24	$99.8K	198,204	0	+198,204	IND	-$71,810	09-21 02:27
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$97.2K	97,629	0	+97,629	No	+$365	07-09 21:33
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	73	$96.9K	129,845	0	+129,845	San Jose State	+$19,782	10-04 06:51
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	64	$91.4K	177,800	0	+177,800	Yes	+$10,532	09-13 21:42
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	135	$87.1K	87,360	0	+87,360	Yes	+$235	06-21 05:41
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	19	$80.7K	80,849	0	+80,849	No	+$112	06-21 18:16
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	204	$80.5K	136,922	0	+136,922	Argentina	+$1,962	07-04 00:43
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$77.0K	257,060	0	+257,060	No	-$579	07-06 20:50
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	14	$73.8K	78,645	0	+78,645	No	+$824	09-12 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:41:47	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0xffa6eb…
10-28 01:30:00	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5,236	8¢	$400	0xc63c8f…
10-28 01:29:42	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x81ab9f…
10-28 01:04:14	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x2ed6d9…
10-28 00:27:05	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	American League	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x74dbd5…
10-27 23:27:15	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb27692…
10-27 23:25:33	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	16,476	4¢	$626	0x23a7b0…
10-27 21:16:03	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	4,704	4¢	$169	0x0fc996…
10-27 21:14:36	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	114,105	4¢	$4,108	0xf1240d…
10-27 21:13:57	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	37,460	4¢	$1,386	0x11241c…
10-27 21:13:54	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	30,957	4¢	$1,114	0x3feefe…
10-27 21:13:51	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x2a5c15…
10-27 21:13:39	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe50259…
10-27 21:11:21	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5,000	4¢	$175	0xcb83f1…
10-27 21:10:47	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	4,698	4¢	$188	0x9abf64…
10-27 20:47:57	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	4,904	3¢	$172	0x012f11…
10-27 20:43:09	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$400	0xa33302…
10-27 20:39:50	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	96	4¢	$3	0xe3322a…
10-27 20:39:48	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10,490	4¢	$409	0x1e5f65…
10-27 20:21:05	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3,495	4¢	$140	0xa31dd0…
10-27 20:18:45	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9a20d9…
10-27 20:18:30	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	490	4¢	$20	0x723846…
10-27 20:18:23	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,010	4¢	$40	0xe02b83…
10-27 20:02:05	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5,662	4¢	$232	0x1a360c…
10-27 20:01:14	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	4,574	4¢	$177	0x922338…
10-27 20:01:12	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5,584	4¢	$211	0x81af5d…
10-27 03:23:08	Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)	Nuggets	BUY	11,000	53¢	$5,830	0xa6c306…
10-27 03:19:47	Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)	Nuggets	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x9eb04b…
10-27 01:37:08	Will the Rays win the 2026 World Series 4-2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x369348…
10-27 01:36:39	MLB 2026: World Series Winning League	National League	BUY	420	91¢	$381	0xd70b4c…
10-27 01:27:02	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	1,402	80¢	$1,122	0xc81f0e…
10-27 01:09:27	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xc6cc90…
10-27 00:45:05	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	171	48¢	$82	0x849e08…
10-26 07:13:08	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xd0ccc7…
10-26 03:04:26	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	896	100¢	$895	0xdaf09d…
10-26 02:56:27	Pro Football: Undefeated Regular Season	No	BUY	241	98¢	$236	0x44d5c0…
10-26 01:50:29	Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	Pistons	BUY	532	82¢	$436	0x8b1625…
10-26 01:34:00	Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	Pistons	BUY	1,203	75¢	$902	0xa244e8…
10-26 01:30:15	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	3,114	52¢	$1,619	0xe89990…
10-26 01:16:27	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xc3ba34…
10-26 01:16:27	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	158	61¢	$96	0x7c675e…
10-26 01:16:27	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	199	61¢	$121	0x767056…
10-26 01:16:27	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x23d9d1…
10-26 01:16:27	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	22	61¢	$14	0x182b3c…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	77	61¢	$47	0xbc6de4…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	35	61¢	$22	0xa658b7…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x7cb8c1…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x5ff453…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x34b691…
10-26 01:16:26	Magic vs. Knicks	Magic	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x20fbb0…
10-26 01:00:27	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	12,000	76¢	$9,120	0x87c775…
10-26 00:53:12	Spread: Pistons (-16.5)	76ers	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x29ca4c…
10-26 00:11:30	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	493	68¢	$335	0xffbbd7…
10-26 00:07:20	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	3,337	59¢	$1,968	0x810bad…
10-26 00:06:59	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcc0667…
10-26 00:06:59	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	3,239	59¢	$1,911	0x7e3509…
10-26 00:05:56	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x48f87b…
10-26 00:05:56	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x217cae…
10-26 00:05:54	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd92804…
10-26 00:05:53	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5f85d9…
10-26 00:05:53	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x437b81…
10-26 00:05:51	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf7d1b6…
10-26 00:05:51	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	79	51¢	$41	0x8fa677…
10-26 00:05:51	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x3af163…
10-26 00:05:50	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	3,158	50¢	$1,579	0x0a5298…
10-25 23:01:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	360	46¢	$165	0xd6bfda…
10-25 23:01:20	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xef8fc8…
10-25 23:01:14	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x539626…
10-25 23:00:50	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x64101f…
10-25 23:00:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6aa7d2…
10-25 23:00:20	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xfa12b2…
10-25 22:59:53	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x9b0303…
10-25 22:59:08	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf41d0d…
10-25 22:57:41	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	69	46¢	$32	0xbae98d…
10-25 22:57:27	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa83902…
10-25 22:55:14	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	370	46¢	$170	0xd0634a…
10-25 22:54:51	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xdd0094…
10-25 22:54:39	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x632776…
10-25 22:53:59	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	504	46¢	$232	0xe15d0f…
10-25 22:53:54	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	687	46¢	$316	0x3f9d5d…
10-25 22:53:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x201137…
10-25 22:53:30	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x67bcac…
10-25 22:53:09	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x656133…
10-25 22:50:41	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	173	46¢	$80	0x116e6e…
10-25 22:49:33	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb43e72…
10-25 22:48:48	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb08112…
10-25 22:48:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9be835…
10-25 22:48:21	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x373163…
10-25 22:45:14	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0xe78ff7…
10-25 22:44:15	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0xf17c50…
10-25 22:31:59	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4d13cd…
10-25 22:31:23	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	75	46¢	$35	0x19b06a…
10-25 22:30:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x4a59e9…
10-25 22:30:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2d95e2…
10-25 22:24:54	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	2,223	98¢	$2,185	0x6e1da7…
10-25 22:23:30	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	266	98¢	$261	0xa8f9e3…
10-25 22:19:38	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcc7d80…
10-25 22:18:54	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x677979…
10-25 22:18:26	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0xd5e607…
10-25 22:14:42	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x33ecbe…