Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

130

Trades

2,036

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-06

last 08-28 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

49% 2% -$78

Politics

43% 2% -$66

Tech

5% 14% -$11

Sports

3% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No		+0	$1	100¢	$0	-$1	08-25 15:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	58	$876	803	803	+0	open	—	08-27 05:31
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	21	$445	288	288	+0	No	-$1	08-25 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	20	$384	300	300	+0	open	—	08-27 12:40
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	21	$380	300	300	+0	open	—	08-18 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	19	$346	221	221	+0	open	—	08-26 23:05
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	12	$341	200	200	+0	No	-$1	08-16 15:36
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	13	$302	177	177	+0	open	—	08-27 02:28
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	12	$301	180	180	+0	No	-$4	08-26 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	12	$288	160	160	+0	open	—	08-18 13:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	10	$285	160	160	+0	open	—	08-27 13:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$272	160	160	+0	open	—	08-26 15:43
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	9	$261	160	160	+0	No	-$4	08-27 17:15
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	16	$250	180	180	+0	Yes	-$2	08-25 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	24	$250	320	320	+0	open	—	08-26 17:49
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	14	$227	200	200	+0	open	—	08-26 17:28
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	17	$194	233	233	+0	open	—	08-25 15:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	11	$183	140	140	+0	open	—	08-26 19:16
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	9	$176	120	120	+0	No	-$4	08-21 17:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	16	$170	200	200	+0	open	—	08-28 04:55
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?	10	$163	160	160	+0	open	—	08-25 22:20
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	8	$152	120	120	+0	open	—	08-18 01:58
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?	5	$150	80	80	+0	open	—	08-15 18:08
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?	6	$150	80	80	+0	open	—	08-09 01:41
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	5	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	08-20 12:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	08-16 07:38
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?	5	$148	80	80	+0	open	—	08-13 21:32
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	08-22 06:04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?	5	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	08-14 22:59
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	5	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	08-25 15:47
will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	5	$139	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	08-14 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 06:52:21	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x134469…
08-28 06:31:12	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcbab73…
08-28 04:55:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xda0744…
08-28 04:55:25	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3364b2…
08-28 03:36:40	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x64e567…
08-28 03:36:34	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x096bc3…
08-28 00:26:34	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xcad234…
08-28 00:26:30	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x73bfaa…
08-28 00:00:06	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xad5ab4…
08-28 00:00:00	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf2f6d5…
08-27 19:32:37	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x82cf6b…
08-27 19:32:28	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x73a0e1…
08-27 18:16:31	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x41704d…
08-27 18:16:28	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xd2366d…
08-27 17:15:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xd7e8cc…
08-27 17:15:10	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x497858…
08-27 17:15:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	SELL	160	80¢	$128	0x8e86bf…
08-27 17:15:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x99e545…
08-27 17:15:04	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa8460a…
08-27 17:15:03	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd4b991…
08-27 13:45:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	80	86¢	$69	0x9121d5…
08-27 13:45:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xccb3ed…
08-27 12:44:58	Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0xaf8840…
08-27 12:44:55	Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6f84b5…
08-27 12:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	13¢	$10	0xe68ded…
08-27 12:40:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5f1674…
08-27 12:08:15	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9454aa…
08-27 12:08:12	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x252790…
08-27 10:47:58	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x018c47…
08-27 10:47:55	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x00ef31…
08-27 10:44:57	Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x47b612…
08-27 10:44:54	Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4acc21…
08-27 09:37:07	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xa86041…
08-27 09:37:01	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7f6e38…
08-27 08:30:55	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xaeb562…
08-27 08:30:51	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x90d78b…
08-27 08:03:13	Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x815770…
08-27 08:03:10	Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xbf277e…
08-27 07:27:54	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x867e1a…
08-27 07:27:48	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x89fd4a…
08-27 06:00:06	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x8fbcb5…
08-27 06:00:03	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xbef141…
08-27 05:31:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0d4ba8…
08-27 05:31:21	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2ac35a…
08-27 02:46:03	Will Ryan Blaney win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x7a48bd…
08-27 02:45:58	Will Ryan Blaney win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x38e4a1…
08-27 02:28:13	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	86¢	$49	0xf516d1…
08-27 02:28:10	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xea1dc1…
08-27 02:12:46	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x8c19ce…
08-27 02:12:43	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd97038…
08-27 00:37:01	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x20e023…
08-27 00:36:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x197cc0…
08-26 23:05:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0xf53bf7…
08-26 23:05:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb348db…
08-26 21:56:58	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb68bc0…
08-26 21:56:57	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1cbf41…
08-26 21:41:52	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x490235…
08-26 21:10:13	Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$38	0x3f8f70…
08-26 21:10:10	Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xc7134c…
08-26 20:06:04	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x5b69c6…
08-26 20:05:55	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x5bac36…
08-26 19:54:12	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe23215…
08-26 19:54:07	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb37b1c…
08-26 19:52:31	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xf5c532…
08-26 19:52:28	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7bd0d3…
08-26 19:48:36	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x864c0d…
08-26 19:48:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0d50ac…
08-26 19:28:03	Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x1a3001…
08-26 19:27:57	Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x608505…
08-26 19:16:52	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xbc1aa2…
08-26 19:16:46	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd6fa8a…
08-26 18:30:42	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x6b6886…
08-26 17:56:18	Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x5cf8b3…
08-26 17:49:18	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x6ac3f0…
08-26 17:49:16	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xaef7e6…
08-26 17:49:12	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xe77329…
08-26 17:49:12	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe7302f…
08-26 17:49:12	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0e9051…
08-26 17:32:40	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x04335d…
08-26 17:28:27	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb88cad…
08-26 17:28:24	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3f8f4b…
08-26 17:14:27	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9eb395…
08-26 17:06:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2fdfaa…
08-26 17:06:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x10a4a7…
08-26 16:44:36	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4aff02…
08-26 16:44:33	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x2df340…
08-26 16:01:45	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xe212dc…
08-26 16:01:42	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1392fa…
08-26 15:43:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x8aa715…
08-26 15:43:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe8cc4f…
08-26 15:08:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x7b34f3…
08-26 15:08:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb2256e…
08-26 14:55:31	Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x4f3185…
08-26 14:55:28	Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc34463…
08-26 14:35:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0x9f9212…
08-26 14:35:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa0a378…
08-26 14:28:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbb2109…
08-26 14:28:15	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x644cb3…
08-26 14:03:34	Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x32e5d6…
08-26 13:58:33	Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x316d0a…