Realized P&L
+$398
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
73
Trades
143
lifetime
Volume
$2.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$532
11 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 10-30 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
66% 55% +$219
Tech
17% 40% -$15
Politics
16% 80% +$73
Crypto
1% 100% +$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +113 $110 98¢ $111 +$1 10-30 17:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +110 $77 98¢ $108 +$31 10-30 15:44
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +139 $101 76¢ $106 +$5 08-25 08:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +59 $35 72¢ $42 +$7 09-21 07:27
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +57 $40 70¢ $40 +$0 10-28 23:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +72 $45 50¢ $36 -$9 10-30 13:08
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +28 $20 98¢ $28 +$8 09-17 09:05
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 10-06 14:32
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +38 $20 44¢ $16 -$4 07-30 10:05
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 No +19 $10 77¢ $15 +$5 09-25 10:20
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $10 8¢ $4 -$6 10-20 06:10