Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
69
Trades
8,998
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$61
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
55% 53% $-16
Politics
22% 80% +$4
Crypto
10% 78% +$2
Sports
7% 57% +$0
Tech
3% 50% $-1
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +26 $6 16¢ $4 $-2 07-03 00:23
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +43 $4 $4 +$1 07-03 09:41
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -58 $-8 $-4 +$4 06-06 20:49
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +23 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 06-23 01:55
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes +58 $3 $3 $-1 07-02 21:47
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -24 $-3 11¢ $-3 +$0 06-03 21:29
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +35 $4 $3 $-1 06-20 00:17
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -71 $-7 $-2 +$5 06-19 22:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-4 $-2 +$1 06-18 04:12
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +68 $7 $2 $-5 06-30 01:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$1 06-18 15:16
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +47 $7 $2 $-5 06-30 00:02
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 06-14 14:22
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $3 $2 $-1 06-28 09:23
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +36 $2 $2 +$0 06-28 01:46
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +21 $3 $2 $-1 07-03 05:39
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +19 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 07-02 08:42
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +44 $3 $2 $-2 06-28 03:54
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -31 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-20 01:14
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +69 $4 $1 $-2 06-22 08:24
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes +58 $3 $1 $-2 06-23 16:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? Yes -33 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-12 22:38
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +23 $3 $1 $-1 06-06 20:32
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-02 05:39
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +71 $7 $1 $-6 06-30 11:32
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +15 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 16:10
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +39 $4 $1 $-2 06-24 18:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-08 09:49
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +64 $4 $1 $-3 06-30 08:58
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +51 $3 $1 $-3 06-30 08:58