Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
70
Trades
9,816
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$78
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% $-16
Politics
22% 80% +$4
Crypto
10% 70% +$1
Sports
7% 57% +$0
Tech
3% 50% $-1
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Yes +88 $7 $6 $-1 07-07 23:37
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -24 $-3 22¢ $-5 $-2 06-03 21:29
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +54 $7 10¢ $5 $-2 07-20 20:07
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -71 $-7 $-4 +$3 06-19 22:57
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +73 $7 $4 $-3 07-20 14:57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes +24 $5 17¢ $4 $-1 07-13 10:52
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +11 $4 33¢ $4 +$0 07-23 15:53
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -58 $-8 $-3 +$4 06-06 20:49
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -55 $-2 $-3 $-1 07-08 18:04
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes +35 $1 $3 +$2 07-10 09:41
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? No -4 $-2 68¢ $-3 $-1 07-09 08:44
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +18 $4 15¢ $3 $-1 07-12 21:24
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-18 04:12
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +50 $4 $3 $-1 07-17 07:38
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +61 $3 $2 $-1 07-13 13:48
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? No +12 $4 16¢ $2 $-1 07-10 09:58
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +23 $3 $2 $-0 06-06 20:32
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +11 $-1 18¢ $2 +$3 07-20 05:31
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? Yes +30 $1 $2 +$0 07-19 01:46
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 $-2 07-21 15:36
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +38 $3 $2 $-2 07-22 18:42
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? Yes -11 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$1 07-15 00:45
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 14¢ $2 $-2 07-21 20:44
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $4 $2 $-2 07-21 01:57
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-3 $-1 +$1 06-14 14:22
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-02 05:39
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +42 $4 $1 $-2 06-24 23:23
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -31 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-20 01:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-08 09:49
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 07-18 18:50