Realized P&L
+$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
3,836
Trades
18,297
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
61% 66% +$570
Politics
21% 71% +$281
Crypto
8% 63% +$49
Tech
5% 70% +$76
Sports
3% 59% +$37
Pop-Culture
2% 70% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No -6 -$1 64¢ $-4 -$3 04-28 14:31
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:24
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +33 $2 7¢ $2 $0 10-25 23:30
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 08-23 17:30
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 -$1 74¢ $2 +$2 08-28 06:00
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 38¢ $2 +$0 10-10 06:20
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +10 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 10-23 21:24
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +25 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 10-20 14:26
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? No +3 $1 43¢ $1 +$1 10-12 16:59
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +60 -$11 2¢ $1 +$12 10-22 10:52
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +18 $3 4¢ $1 -$3 10-21 19:51
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +109 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 10-26 13:00
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$2 08-21 21:02
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 10-26 05:54
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -9 -$8 4¢ $-0 +$7 10-24 06:51
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 72¢ $0 +$1 10-26 08:41
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 09-22 23:25
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes -8 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 15:32
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$2 5¢ $0 +$2 08-06 18:02
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1 -$1 5¢ $0 +$1 07-25 15:42
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -3 $1 1¢ $-0 -$1 05-21 05:23
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -0 -$1 93¢ $-0 +$1 05-06 23:02
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +0 -$2 75¢ $0 +$2 06-21 08:25