Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
69
Trades
7,981
lifetime
Volume
$12.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$59
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
57% 53% $-16
Politics
21% 80% +$4
Crypto
9% 78% +$2
Sports
8% 57% +$0
Pop-Culture
3%
Tech
3% 50% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -58 $-8 $-4 +$4 06-06 20:49
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-3 $-3 $-0 05-29 12:52
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -24 $-3 13¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 21:29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 24¢ $3 +$0 06-06 04:34
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +39 $2 $3 +$0 06-10 06:30
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes +47 $3 $3 +$0 06-11 07:46
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +38 $2 $3 +$1 06-08 14:49
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 +$0 06-03 08:38
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +56 $4 $2 $-2 05-30 21:21
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +19 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 06-03 14:02
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 06-05 07:08
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +33 $2 $2 $-1 06-12 02:49
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +14 $3 14¢ $2 $-1 06-02 20:16
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +23 $3 $2 $-1 06-06 20:32
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes -17 $-1 10¢ $-2 $-1 06-02 05:39
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +44 $3 $2 $-1 06-09 22:00
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +40 $2 $2 $-1 06-10 23:55
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? Yes +29 $1 $2 +$1 06-01 06:18
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $2 14¢ $2 $-1 06-12 14:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? Yes -33 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-12 22:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? Yes +18 $2 $1 $-1 06-05 20:46
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +14 $3 11¢ $1 $-1 05-31 13:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-08 09:49
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? Yes +25 $2 $1 $-1 06-09 14:51
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes -42 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-03 14:47
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No +8 $3 17¢ $1 $-1 06-03 13:05
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes +23 $2 $1 $-1 06-11 22:16
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +12 $2 10¢ $1 $-0 06-10 22:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? Yes +5 $1 23¢ $1 $-0 05-31 09:38
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +17 $2 $1 $-1 06-11 20:35