Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3bea…fc9f3a Create alert
bot hot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
4,096
Trades
19,487
lifetime
Volume
$42.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$114
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Other
61% 66% +$586
Politics
21% 71% +$310
Crypto
8% 63% +$40
Tech
5% 71% +$83
Sports
3% 59% +$37
Pop-Culture
2% 67% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $7 21¢ $10 +$4 11-05 23:35
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by December 31? Yes +17 $4 28¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:09
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +50 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 10-28 10:22
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +21 $3 21¢ $4 +$1 11-05 16:04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$1 11-05 20:17
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +15 $4 29¢ $4 +$1 11-07 05:44
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +5 $2 90¢ $4 +$2 10-30 07:49
Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $4 41¢ $4 +$1 11-03 23:19
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? Yes +14 $5 28¢ $4 -$1 10-24 23:17
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October? Yes +13 $2 29¢ $4 +$2 11-06 10:28
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 48¢ $4 +$0 11-07 02:40
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +19 $3 18¢ $4 +$1 11-07 02:33
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027? Yes +24 $4 15¢ $4 +$0 11-05 01:51
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? Yes +17 $3 21¢ $4 +$1 11-06 20:04
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? Yes +29 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 11-06 08:42
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? Yes +25 $4 14¢ $4 +$0 11-06 01:52
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $4 8¢ $4 +$0 11-03 02:06
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? Yes +7 $3 46¢ $3 $0 10-30 08:52
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? Yes +17 $3 19¢ $3 $0 11-07 07:40
Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? No +4 $2 81¢ $3 +$1 11-04 07:55
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30? No +58 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-06 15:04
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +40 $12 8¢ $3 -$9 11-01 10:35
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 10-30 02:48
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +14 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 11-03 23:44
Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +10 $4 30¢ $3 $0 10-27 01:42
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? No +11 $3 26¢ $3 -$1 10-21 20:03
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? Yes +13 $4 24¢ $3 -$1 11-05 12:11
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? Yes +25 $3 12¢ $3 $0 11-06 00:44
Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +27 $3 11¢ $3 -$1 11-05 17:48
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +10 $4 30¢ $3 -$1 10-29 21:08