Realized P&L (7d)
+$27
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved (7d)
76
Trades (7d)
804
18,874 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.29K
$40.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$46
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
61% 66% +$563
Politics
21% 71% +$295
Crypto
8% 63% +$49
Tech
5% 70% +$76
Sports
3% 59% +$37
Pop-Culture
2% 70% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +100 $6 5¢ $5 -$1 10-30 18:54
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No -6 -$1 58¢ $-3 -$2 04-28 14:31
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +9 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-29 23:22
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +10 $4 30¢ $3 $0 10-29 21:08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +62 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 10-29 23:38
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +11 $4 27¢ $3 -$1 10-29 23:56
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +36 -$4 7¢ $3 +$6 10-29 16:29
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +27 $3 10¢ $3 -$1 10-30 00:50
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +25 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 10-20 14:26
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +36 $3 5¢ $2 -$2 10-15 23:18
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 76¢ $2 +$1 08-23 17:30
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +10 $4 20¢ $2 -$2 10-23 21:24
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 -$1 72¢ $2 +$2 08-28 06:00
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $0 10-30 15:41
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +6 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-29 21:55
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-29 21:45
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +33 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-25 23:30
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-30 07:35
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +18 $3 5¢ $1 -$3 10-21 19:51
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +3 -$1 25¢ $1 +$1 10-29 20:47
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -9 -$8 7¢ $-1 +$7 10-24 06:51
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +13 -$2 5¢ $1 +$2 10-29 13:46
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1 -$1 93¢ $1 +$2 08-21 21:02
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 10-26 05:54
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 10-26 08:41
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 09-22 23:25
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes -8 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 15:32
Will Solana reach $140 in October? Yes +50 $4 0¢ $0 -$3 10-16 00:32
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$2 5¢ $0 +$2 08-06 18:02
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +21 -$13 0¢ $0 +$13 10-27 21:44