Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$295
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
143
lifetime
Volume
$10.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$260
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-11 03:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
25%
Tech
9%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -163 $-124 100¢ $-162 $-38 05-29 19:27
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +556 $50 14¢ $75 +$25 05-29 19:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +137 $30 $12 $-18 06-02 00:00
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -350 $-373 $-9 +$364 06-11 03:38
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +88 $20 $1 $-19 05-29 19:29
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +126 $20 $1 $-19 06-11 03:37