Flawed-Instruction 0x911bb6…b0a7fe
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$138
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$9.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$533
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-02 00:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69% — —
Other
26% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +349 $100 63¢ $220 +$120 05-29 19:28
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -163 $-124 88¢ $-144 $-20 05-29 19:27
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +556 $50 9¢ $50 +$0 05-29 19:56
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +61 $30 80¢ $49 +$19 05-30 22:05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +137 $30 29¢ $39 +$9 06-02 00:00
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +88 $20 36¢ $31 +$11 05-29 19:29