Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
515
lifetime
Volume
$4.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$83
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-08 18:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 44% $-16
Crypto
26% 100% +$0
Other
23% 100% +$1
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 06-08 18:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-08 17:57
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +8 $8 95¢ $8 $-0 06-08 18:01
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $8 77¢ $7 $-1 06-08 18:15
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 06-02 17:57
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 $-0 06-01 14:04
Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +6 $6 86¢ $5 $-1 06-01 14:05
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $6 72¢ $5 $-1 06-01 14:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-01 14:16
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 06-01 14:26
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $-1 06-01 14:28
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +4 $4 87¢ $4 $-0 06-01 14:29
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +3 $3 87¢ $3 +$0 06-02 18:04
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-02 18:03