Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
559
lifetime
Volume
$6.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$56
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-30 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
40% 44% $-16
Other
38% 100% +$1
Crypto
21% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-20 17:03
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -8 $-7 98¢ $-8 $-0 06-26 13:53
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No -8 $-7 84¢ $-7 +$0 06-29 15:40
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-16 16:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 15:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 16:06
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-01 14:28
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 13:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 14:19
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 +$0 06-30 14:18