(anonymous) 0x1685b9…8118ec
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
57
lifetime
Volume
$376
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$30
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-24 18:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
40% — —
Politics
22% — —
Crypto
21% — —
Sports
10% — —
Other
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +220 $9 6¢ $13 +$4 06-21 06:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +143 $20 8¢ $12 $-8 06-08 22:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +89 $5 4¢ $3 $-2 06-08 22:51
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +110 $8 0¢ $1 $-7 06-08 22:58
Bill Gates charged by June 30? Yes +307 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-08 22:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +53 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-21 06:41
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +100 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-21 06:33
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Yes +32 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-08 23:30