Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,010
lifetime
Volume
$59.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$101
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-30 12:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96%
Politics
4%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 294 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No +43 $39 91¢ $39 +$0 06-28 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -23 $-23 100¢ $-23 $-0 06-24 15:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +88 $7 15¢ $13 +$6 06-30 16:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 06-16 08:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-7 80¢ $-7 $-0 06-25 14:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 60¢ $7 $-0 06-30 15:14
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +336 $12 $3 $-9 06-30 14:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 +$1 06-25 14:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -46 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-25 14:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +4 $7 $0 $-7 06-25 14:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $6 $0 $-6 06-25 14:52