Bulky-Input 0x79f7e1…16d24a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
154
lifetime
Volume
$998
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$87
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-02 17:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63% — —
Other
36% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +35 $14 32¢ $12 $-2 06-04 21:38
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +13 $10 80¢ $10 $-0 06-04 21:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 06-04 21:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$1 06-04 21:38
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? Yes +40 $8 16¢ $6 $-2 06-04 21:38
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $3 75¢ $5 +$2 06-04 21:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 06-04 21:38
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +7 $3 58¢ $4 +$1 06-04 21:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +6 $3 60¢ $4 +$0 06-04 21:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +4 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 06-04 21:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-04 21:38
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $2 69¢ $3 +$0 06-04 21:39
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 21:38
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-04 21:39
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 $-0 06-04 21:39
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$0 06-04 21:39
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$0 06-04 21:39
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 51¢ $1 $-0 06-04 21:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:39
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:39
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 49¢ $1 $-0 06-04 21:39
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +4 $3 23¢ $1 $-2 06-04 21:38
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $-0 06-04 21:39
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +41 $7 0¢ $0 $-7 06-30 10:08