Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
133
Trades
790
lifetime
Volume
$4.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$235
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-26 01:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
50% 58% -$69
Politics
49% 61% +$56
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +140 $117 82¢ $115 -$2 10-02 21:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +43 $37 83¢ $36 -$1 10-01 08:31
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +16 $3 88¢ $14 +$11 09-15 12:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +13 $10 80¢ $10 $0 06-04 21:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 92¢ $9 +$2 06-04 21:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 06-04 21:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +9 $4 88¢ $8 +$3 08-13 03:32
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 09-12 20:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $3 88¢ $6 +$3 06-04 21:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 06-04 21:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +6 $3 85¢ $5 +$2 06-04 21:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 10-14 16:27
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$0 06-04 21:38
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-04 21:39
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:39