| 07-10 18:35:37 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
47 |
87¢ |
$41 |
0xbd4411…
|
| 07-06 23:04:29 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
10¢ |
$10 |
0xd440a8…
|
| 07-06 17:22:20 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
354 |
89¢ |
$315 |
0x91b4ba…
|
| 07-06 00:46:43 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
46 |
89¢ |
$41 |
0x3e8a94…
|
| 07-02 23:47:26 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
12¢ |
$12 |
0x5776c0…
|
| 07-02 23:46:29 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
150 |
12¢ |
$18 |
0x392f0b…
|
| 07-02 23:43:53 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
400 |
89¢ |
$356 |
0xec522c…
|
| 07-01 19:50:31 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
548 |
0¢ |
$1 |
0x264ccc…
|
| 07-01 14:37:43 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
11 |
14¢ |
$2 |
0xfcccd5…
|
| 07-01 14:25:56 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
107 |
14¢ |
$15 |
0x576042…
|
| 07-01 12:28:28 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
BUY |
38 |
7¢ |
$3 |
0xc1682c…
|
| 07-01 12:28:11 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
BUY |
130 |
7¢ |
$9 |
0xdbbad5…
|
| 06-30 23:40:07 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636
|
No |
BUY |
432 |
5¢ |
$20 |
0x837bec…
|
| 06-30 22:31:26 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636
|
No |
BUY |
118 |
8¢ |
$10 |
0xee50cb…
|
| 06-30 18:29:52 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953
|
No |
SELL |
500 |
4¢ |
$18 |
0x21afa4…
|
| 06-30 17:54:16 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636
|
No |
BUY |
100 |
16¢ |
$16 |
0xe4fcdd…
|
| 06-30 17:52:43 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953
|
No |
SELL |
12 |
3¢ |
$0 |
0xd017b9…
|
| 06-30 17:50:23 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636
|
No |
BUY |
251 |
16¢ |
$39 |
0xab5c3e…
|
| 06-30 17:29:17 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
22 |
5¢ |
$1 |
0x1f39ee…
|
| 06-30 17:20:55 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
149 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x58a810…
|
| 06-30 17:20:52 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
28 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x1e0177…
|
| 06-30 17:20:49 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
29 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x213296…
|
| 06-30 17:17:01 |
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
24 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x80f945…
|
| 06-30 17:14:58 |
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x25361d…
|
| 06-30 17:14:41 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
1,142 |
0¢ |
$3 |
0x5f41f2…
|
| 06-30 17:14:34 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
295 |
0¢ |
$1 |
0xfb98b0…
|
| 06-30 11:21:22 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
88¢ |
$44 |
0xc862fb…
|
| 06-30 11:11:20 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
58 |
89¢ |
$52 |
0x31cd93…
|
| 06-29 19:32:14 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
186 |
81¢ |
$151 |
0xde57b3…
|
| 06-29 16:06:17 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
88¢ |
$44 |
0x39fbca…
|
| 06-29 16:02:40 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
16 |
80¢ |
$13 |
0x60bdef…
|
| 06-29 16:00:25 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
100 |
4¢ |
$4 |
0x399da2…
|
| 06-29 15:59:53 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
83 |
4¢ |
$3 |
0x61a28b…
|
| 06-29 15:56:11 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
80¢ |
$1 |
0xacb44f…
|
| 06-29 15:50:47 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
80¢ |
$1 |
0xa7e5be…
|
| 06-29 15:48:05 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
80¢ |
$1 |
0x6385d9…
|
| 06-29 15:03:37 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
77¢ |
$15 |
0xbc3a1a…
|
| 06-29 13:42:41 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
10 |
76¢ |
$8 |
0x7d1696…
|
| 06-29 12:18:20 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
10 |
76¢ |
$8 |
0xdc869e…
|
| 06-28 14:20:23 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
43 |
72¢ |
$31 |
0xe1bddc…
|
| 06-26 11:50:07 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
1,000 |
3¢ |
$34 |
0x45c936…
|
| 06-26 11:49:47 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
80 |
3¢ |
$3 |
0x27ae13…
|
| 06-26 11:49:41 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
45 |
3¢ |
$1 |
0xf7eebf…
|
| 06-26 11:49:35 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662
|
No |
BUY |
628 |
3¢ |
$21 |
0x2d7e76…
|
| 06-26 11:36:46 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
64 |
90¢ |
$58 |
0x0a0a32…
|
| 06-26 11:27:28 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774
|
No |
SELL |
200 |
66¢ |
$132 |
0xf82db2…
|
| 06-25 22:42:14 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
75 |
89¢ |
$67 |
0xfecc36…
|
| 06-24 09:46:02 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
315 |
89¢ |
$281 |
0x23f666…
|
| 06-24 09:42:34 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
104 |
89¢ |
$92 |
0xb40fa2…
|
| 06-24 06:52:43 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
89¢ |
$5 |
0x3deeb4…
|
| 06-24 06:51:56 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
700 |
85¢ |
$595 |
0xd3b708…
|
| 06-23 14:21:16 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
20¢ |
$1 |
0x4571b9…
|
| 06-23 14:20:34 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
18¢ |
$5 |
0x3ce71d…
|
| 06-23 14:18:26 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
168 |
4¢ |
$8 |
0x114ad4…
|
| 06-23 14:17:59 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1,627 |
5¢ |
$81 |
0x7ce301…
|
| 06-23 14:15:19 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
BUY |
991 |
8¢ |
$78 |
0x09d8ae…
|
| 06-23 14:05:31 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31
|
No |
BUY |
820 |
15¢ |
$122 |
0xc775ce…
|
| 06-23 10:33:19 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
30¢ |
$15 |
0xee4ff8…
|
| 06-23 10:31:34 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31
|
No |
BUY |
300 |
14¢ |
$42 |
0xafbe3b…
|
| 06-23 10:31:08 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31
|
No |
BUY |
300 |
18¢ |
$55 |
0xb80a0f…
|
| 06-23 10:30:35 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
30¢ |
$15 |
0x101e8f…
|
| 06-23 10:29:35 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31
|
No |
BUY |
151 |
30¢ |
$45 |
0xdb5c9e…
|
| 06-22 15:37:49 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
300 |
61¢ |
$183 |
0x43c859…
|
| 06-22 15:11:20 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
313 |
77¢ |
$241 |
0x791177…
|
| 06-22 15:10:40 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
887 |
78¢ |
$693 |
0xf858a9…
|
| 06-22 00:29:55 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
80¢ |
$8 |
0x9d273b…
|
| 06-21 19:57:02 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
200 |
52¢ |
$104 |
0x278b9b…
|
| 06-18 15:35:59 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
214 |
28¢ |
$60 |
0x020c5a…
|
| 06-18 15:35:53 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
18 |
28¢ |
$5 |
0x92bd27…
|
| 06-18 15:29:01 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
7 |
28¢ |
$2 |
0xcf4a44…
|
| 06-18 15:20:31 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
34 |
28¢ |
$10 |
0x4abe48…
|
| 06-18 15:19:58 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
11 |
28¢ |
$3 |
0x751aac…
|
| 06-18 15:18:02 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
47 |
28¢ |
$13 |
0x8af51a…
|
| 06-18 15:17:34 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
18 |
28¢ |
$5 |
0x9f9f3f…
|
| 06-18 15:16:31 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
4 |
28¢ |
$1 |
0x4cabec…
|
| 06-18 15:14:02 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
SELL |
1,147 |
28¢ |
$326 |
0xa0b212…
|
| 06-17 18:50:11 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
600 |
77¢ |
$460 |
0xc31fea…
|
| 06-16 09:51:18 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
BUY |
1,318 |
23¢ |
$303 |
0x738a85…
|
| 06-16 09:50:03 |
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345
|
No |
BUY |
451 |
22¢ |
$99 |
0xe9ccef…
|
| 06-16 00:27:25 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
643 |
76¢ |
$489 |
0xeeed96…
|
| 06-13 13:36:45 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
400 |
87¢ |
$348 |
0x139562…
|
| 06-13 12:23:57 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
402 |
88¢ |
$354 |
0x32d925…
|
| 06-13 12:22:58 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
105 |
89¢ |
$93 |
0x627bc1…
|
| 06-13 12:21:15 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
90¢ |
$8 |
0x1ed1fe…
|
| 05-18 16:59:40 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
|
Up |
BUY |
15 |
80¢ |
$12 |
0xb3a796…
|
| 05-18 16:59:15 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
|
Up |
BUY |
7 |
69¢ |
$5 |
0x2b59a7…
|
| 04-11 04:00:49 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
|
No |
SELL |
63 |
79¢ |
$50 |
0x2a94a6…
|
| 04-11 03:58:11 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
32 |
15¢ |
$5 |
0x560fb8…
|
| 04-11 03:57:59 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
SELL |
80 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0xcc4480…
|
| 04-08 01:33:23 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
30 |
6¢ |
$2 |
0x9caa03…
|
| 04-08 01:33:21 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
36 |
7¢ |
$3 |
0x69a1fe…
|
| 04-06 14:32:25 |
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election
|
Yes |
SELL |
57 |
8¢ |
$5 |
0x518d8c…
|
| 04-02 19:43:47 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
12 |
24¢ |
$3 |
0xd0e462…
|
| 04-02 13:24:25 |
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election
|
Yes |
BUY |
29 |
14¢ |
$4 |
0x7e0d06…
|
| 04-02 13:24:25 |
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election
|
Yes |
BUY |
22 |
14¢ |
$3 |
0x1f67f5…
|
| 04-02 13:18:45 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
5¢ |
$1 |
0x675410…
|
| 04-02 13:16:43 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
5¢ |
$1 |
0xd16416…
|
| 04-02 13:13:41 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
BUY |
25 |
5¢ |
$1 |
0xcf9de0…
|
| 04-02 13:11:35 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
BUY |
25 |
5¢ |
$1 |
0x93da2b…
|
| 04-02 13:09:35 |
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament
|
Yes |
BUY |
4 |
5¢ |
$0 |
0xfbb7b6…
|