Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
11
lifetime
Volume
$15
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-07 20:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
67%
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4 $1 84¢ $4 +$3 06-07 20:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +4 $3 74¢ $3 $-0 06-07 20:13
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 06-07 20:35
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-07 20:22
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? No +8 $1 $1 $-0 06-07 20:00