Realized P&L (90d)
+$311
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved (90d)
8
Trades (90d)
43
284 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$909
$1.85K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$115
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-27 12:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
81% 43% +$208
Tech
14% 35% +$13
Politics
4% 50% +$0
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +328 $62 19¢ $62 +$0 10-25 22:57
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +391 $59 4¢ $18 -$41 10-22 08:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $20 40¢ $16 -$4 08-21 23:03
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +172 $34 6¢ $11 -$23 06-01 11:33
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +352 $32 2¢ $6 -$26 10-15 10:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +30 $22 6¢ $2 -$20 10-11 22:58
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +70 $14 1¢ $1 -$14 10-18 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 10-11 14:25