Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
59
Trades
2,170
lifetime
Volume
$2.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-17 13:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 27% $-0
Other
22% 73% $-1
Politics
14% 80% +$2
Sports
7% 81% +$1
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 12¢ $5 +$2 07-05 04:53
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 12¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 20:17
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -37 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-16 18:38
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-4 $-3 +$1 07-17 13:32
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-24 18:04
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -9 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-04 17:31
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:04
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 08:27