Glittering-Elf 0xed89c0…87647b
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
1,041
Trades
2,755
lifetime
Volume
$2.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$39
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 09-05 05:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 40% -$67
Other
30% 66% +$24
Politics
14% 64% +$9
Sports
6% 43% +$1
Tech
1% 56% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 40% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes -6 $0 97¢ $-6 -$6 05-08 11:41
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -5 $0 88¢ $-4 -$4 05-05 02:28
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 22¢ $-4 -$3 04-29 21:40
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No -5 $0 68¢ $-3 -$3 04-29 14:28
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$5 8¢ $-3 +$1 06-01 20:17
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -5 $0 66¢ $-3 -$3 05-03 10:37
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$6 5¢ $-2 +$4 05-03 02:20
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 07-05 04:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 05-17 05:35
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -40 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 07:12
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 26¢ $-1 -$1 05-19 03:35
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-15 05:20
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 05-08 22:55
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 13¢ $-1 $0 05-11 23:31
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 05-12 08:37
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -10 $0 6¢ $-1 $0 05-27 11:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 9¢ $-1 $0 05-01 05:16
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 05-03 06:49
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 05-12 10:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-04 11:16
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 05-09 02:32
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 05-09 07:44
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 05-17 00:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 04-30 09:25
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +40 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-10 07:02
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 05-09 04:41
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 06:08
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-09 13:45
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 00:58
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-26 20:11