Glittering-Elf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,171

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-21 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 27% $-0

Other

22% 73% $-1

Politics

14% 80% +$2

Sports

7% 81% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	16	$70	63	63	+0	open	—	03-26 06:54
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	16	$61	219	219	+0	open	—	03-26 17:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$61	80	80	+0	open	—	03-26 17:52
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	17	$57	74	74	+0	open	—	03-26 08:36
btc updown 15m 1772653500	24	$54	110	0	+110	open	—	03-04 19:50
btc updown 15m 1772656200	25	$51	110	0	+110	open	—	03-04 20:44
btc updown 15m 1772655300	27	$47	95	0	+95	open	—	03-04 20:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$47	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 16:34
btc updown 5m 1772653500	26	$44	105	0	+105	open	—	03-04 19:50
btc updown 5m 1772655600	20	$44	87	0	+87	open	—	03-04 20:24
btc updown 5m 1772656500	21	$40	180	0	+180	open	—	03-04 20:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	10	$39	88	121	-34	open	—	03-26 08:36
btc updown 15m 1772652600	20	$33	102	0	+102	open	—	03-04 19:43
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	8	$33	243	243	+0	open	—	03-26 09:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-26 06:54
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$30	47	47	+0	open	—	03-26 17:06
btc updown 5m 1772653200	14	$28	65	0	+65	open	—	03-04 19:43
btc updown 15m 1772658000	10	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	03-04 21:10
btc updown 15m 1774073700	17	$22	80	79	+1	open	—	03-21 06:26
btc updown 5m 1772654400	9	$21	45	0	+45	open	—	03-04 20:04
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	7	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 03:35
dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 03 26	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	03-26 16:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	03-26 05:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 02:27
btc updown 5m 1772652600	9	$18	42	0	+42	open	—	03-04 19:35
btc updown 15m 1772657100	8	$18	46	0	+46	open	—	03-04 20:51
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	03-25 11:04
btc updown 15m 1772654400	9	$17	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 20:07
btc updown 15m 1772649000	6	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	03-04 18:43
btc updown 15m 1772651700	12	$14	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:09:27	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x9e7bfe…
07-17 13:32:18	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xee9822…
07-17 12:30:37	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x361784…
07-05 04:53:38	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xba03de…
07-02 19:22:10	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x9b02ee…
06-24 18:04:11	Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x1fbf41…
06-19 14:44:22	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x41f7f4…
06-19 08:18:37	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x154546…
06-18 12:11:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf66095…
06-16 18:38:04	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x4ced47…
06-12 17:43:30	Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4d6236…
06-12 17:42:07	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xb433bb…
06-12 03:59:54	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x811e25…
06-11 22:16:40	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xfc0f6b…
06-11 21:24:00	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xe5816f…
06-08 16:04:36	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x49bedb…
06-08 11:16:01	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x4d4710…
06-04 17:31:22	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xb57238…
06-01 20:17:10	Celonis IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x3eb3b0…
05-29 03:03:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x55da43…
05-28 08:27:32	Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x0f5278…
05-13 11:46:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x330b78…
05-11 19:50:38	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa576c3…
05-10 07:57:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xba2965…
05-09 17:05:37	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf9f30…
05-08 15:22:21	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x78c5cd…
05-08 11:18:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x79f5cd…
05-08 09:20:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x32f545…
05-08 03:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1fe66b…
05-07 06:39:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe4644e…
05-06 23:46:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe55097…
05-06 10:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x328827…
05-05 13:54:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd325b8…
05-05 02:20:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdc06ac…
05-04 07:10:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x73e005…
05-03 21:18:36	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9ef768…
05-03 04:35:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x6cf630…
05-03 02:11:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc279af…
05-03 01:21:52	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x67cfd9…
05-03 01:01:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6058b5…
05-03 00:12:18	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x386fb4…
05-02 06:50:58	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x057673…
05-01 19:11:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x51efcd…
05-01 16:49:18	Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3b8244…
05-01 10:34:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x07f616…
05-01 06:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x74725d…
04-30 23:13:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb83535…
04-30 23:07:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2facc6…
04-30 13:45:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xed9605…
04-30 07:47:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9dded0…
04-30 05:57:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x545d65…
04-30 05:47:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf72308…
04-30 03:46:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcf1da4…
04-30 03:45:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x68abd6…
04-27 17:11:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc4fd10…
04-27 14:46:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xaaa702…
04-27 13:26:06	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x264d4e…
04-27 09:52:28	Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x620cc2…
04-27 07:57:44	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x057fd9…
04-27 06:35:10	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xbfbeb7…
04-27 06:12:06	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x2d02d5…
04-25 20:48:06	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xfbb688…
04-25 17:53:06	Will Southampton win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xb1e423…
04-25 14:16:16	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xfc7c7d…
04-25 08:23:56	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x1015d5…
04-25 05:20:16	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xda9e2b…
04-25 01:05:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x525d1e…
04-25 00:26:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7294da…
04-24 20:59:52	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,250 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xae9b5e…
04-24 20:59:48	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa8912c…
04-24 19:00:04	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x0ea52d…
04-24 12:40:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x945548…
04-24 09:16:32	Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6d13c8…
04-23 19:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xab1366…
04-23 17:51:08	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x3a7bc8…
04-23 13:25:20	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd3c039…
04-23 10:31:54	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x421296…
04-23 09:14:14	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf82d22…
04-23 06:23:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6e4e77…
04-23 04:43:24	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xf54eb3…
04-23 01:45:16	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x563f2e…
04-22 22:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe4b280…
04-22 16:53:54	Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x571c9a…
04-22 14:23:34	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x85e191…
04-22 06:25:58	Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x906452…
04-22 05:48:36	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x771754…
04-22 02:25:44	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9b2693…
04-21 22:26:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x94a583…
04-21 20:24:48	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9321d0…
04-21 19:02:52	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,650 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf544ea…
04-21 16:00:44	Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x03b1e3…
04-21 00:45:24	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x77ff87…
04-20 00:52:14	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xadb13d…
04-19 14:51:36	Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb27ff3…
04-19 07:03:48	Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xac6f39…
04-18 23:13:00	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x77576a…
04-18 21:28:44	Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x11d5b2…
04-18 19:55:58	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x75c25e…
04-18 17:23:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa501bd…
04-18 15:47:32	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x427269…