Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$367
Trades
68
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$9,884
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-26 14:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $4 | $29 | $24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $110 | $110 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $18 | $53 | $34 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $46 | $46 |
| Median | 6 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $46 | $46 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 11 | $18 | $22 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +91 | $7 | $15 | 4 | 07-25 01:05 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-12 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +46 | $4 | $7 | 2 | 07-12 15:17 |
| Envious-Gap 0x6d5f…e1ad | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 09:35 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +26 | $23 | $97 | 9 | 07-26 10:44 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-26 11:04 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $8 | 9 | 07-26 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 01:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 14:49:16 | (anonymous) 0xd1da…3fd9 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x29247d… |
| 07-26 14:49:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x29247d… |
| 07-26 13:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x4e66…b63e | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x2c062f… |
| 07-26 13:53:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2c062f… |
| 07-26 12:19:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc85fc7… |
| 07-26 12:19:34 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…6e17 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc85fc7… |
| 07-26 11:04:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x66b88a… |
| 07-26 11:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x9888…ab28 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x66b88a… |
| 07-26 11:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x66b88a… |
| 07-26 10:44:54 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x10ff54… |
| 07-26 10:44:54 | (anonymous) 0xd1da…3fd9 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x10ff54… |
| 07-26 09:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xc6fd16… |
| 07-26 09:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x045c…dcd1 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xc6fd16… |
| 07-26 06:58:40 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xab877c… |
| 07-26 06:58:40 | (anonymous) 0x9888…ab28 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xab877c… |
| 07-26 06:36:36 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xef9b6f… |
| 07-26 06:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x4e66…b63e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xef9b6f… |
| 07-26 05:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x045c…dcd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x189bef… |
| 07-26 05:24:48 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x189bef… |
| 07-26 05:13:55 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7ea863… |
| 07-26 05:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…6e17 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7ea863… |
| 07-26 03:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xe189…dc52 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xefe51c… |
| 07-26 03:29:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xefe51c… |
| 07-25 23:23:16 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf04a0e… |
| 07-25 23:23:16 | (anonymous) 0xe189…dc52 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf04a0e… |
| 07-25 09:35:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbdd9c4… |
| 07-25 09:35:25 | Envious-Gap 0x6d5f…e1ad | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbdd9c4… |
| 07-25 01:05:57 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x68e9aa… |
| 07-25 01:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x68e9aa… |
| 07-25 01:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x68e9aa… |
| 07-25 01:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2c7109… |
| 07-25 01:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x2c7109… |
| 07-25 01:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x2c7109… |
| 07-24 02:44:18 | (anonymous) 0xbf4e…6c14 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x31f99a… |
| 07-24 02:44:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x31f99a… |
| 07-23 22:14:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe339ee… |
| 07-23 22:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xf6c0…03fb | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xe339ee… |
| 07-23 20:33:48 | (anonymous) 0xbf4e…6c14 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x741ea2… |
| 07-23 20:33:48 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x741ea2… |
| 07-23 13:53:49 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xda5064… |
| 07-23 13:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xf6c0…03fb | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xda5064… |
| 07-17 15:03:19 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x656602… |
| 07-17 15:03:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x656602… |
| 07-16 23:49:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b0ab6… |
| 07-16 23:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x7b0ab6… |
| 07-16 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd522f6… |
| 07-16 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd522f6… |
| 07-16 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd522f6… |
| 07-16 23:49:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xd522f6… |
| 07-12 15:17:02 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd232eb… |
| 07-12 15:17:02 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd232eb… |
| 07-12 14:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 43 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x4004ac… |
| 07-12 14:58:11 | Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | BUY | 43 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x4004ac… |
| 07-08 20:34:43 | Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x149f17… |
| 07-08 20:34:43 | Jovial-Healthcare 0xc394…2686 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x149f17… |
| 07-08 16:30:22 | Jovial-Healthcare 0xc394…2686 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x2c9960… |
| 07-08 16:30:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x2c9960… |
| 07-07 10:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x72917d… |
| 07-07 10:10:56 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x72917d… |
| 07-07 10:10:56 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x72917d… |
| 06-28 20:30:05 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xbaf9b4… |
| 06-28 20:30:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xbaf9b4… |
| 06-19 02:45:17 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xcc9f83… |
| 06-19 02:45:17 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcc9f83… |
| 06-19 02:44:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x390148… |
| 06-19 02:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x390148… |
| 05-28 08:27:32 | Glittering-Elf 0xed89…647b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0f5278… |
| 05-28 08:27:32 | Dutiful-Industrialization 0xf37f…d631 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0f5278… |