Realized P&L
-$782
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
41.8%
Resolved
993
Trades
16,706
lifetime
Volume
$82.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$50
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-17 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 51% -$829
Other
2% 54% +$13
Politics
1% 63% +$68
Sports
0% 34% -$28
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 -$6 80¢ $-13 -$7 05-28 08:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -10 -$5 86¢ $-9 -$3 05-28 08:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -7 -$5 96¢ $-7 -$2 05-28 08:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 -$2 05-28 08:26
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -5 -$4 100¢ $-5 -$1 05-28 08:27
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 -$4 34¢ $-4 +$0 05-28 08:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -14 -$4 24¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 08:26
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -91 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$1 05-28 08:26
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 7¢ $-0 +$3 05-28 08:27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -5 -$2 6¢ $-0 +$1 05-28 08:27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -8 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-28 08:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -5 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-28 08:27