Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
open
Total volume
$1,635
Trades
49
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$12,756
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-19 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $720
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $723 | $723 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $336 | $334 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $720 | $720 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | — | $350 | $350 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +723 | $720 | $720 | 1 | 06-11 16:40 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +499 | $2 | $3 | 15 | 06-19 16:40 |
| Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | +339 | $336 | $336 | 5 | 06-10 21:11 |
| Abandoned-Eye 0xda84…28cd | Yes | +333 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 21:11 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +180 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-11 16:40 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +102 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf91f…6ca2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 16:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 16:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xf91f…6ca2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4f1598… |
| 06-19 16:40:19 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f1598… |
| 06-18 18:55:52 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xefa118… |
| 06-18 18:55:52 | Phony-Software 0x4708…9580 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xefa118… |
| 06-11 16:40:19 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 723 | 100¢ | $720 | 0x4017a3… |
| 06-11 16:40:19 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 394 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x4017a3… |
| 06-11 16:40:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4017a3… |
| 06-11 16:40:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4017a3… |
| 06-11 16:40:19 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x4017a3… |
| 06-10 21:11:21 | Abandoned-Eye 0xda84…28cd | Yes | BUY | 333 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xff2603… |
| 06-10 21:11:21 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 333 | 99¢ | $330 | 0xff2603… |
| 06-10 00:06:51 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaf2f8f… |
| 06-10 00:06:51 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf2f8f… |
| 06-08 05:59:40 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x279372… |
| 06-08 05:59:40 | Surprised-Clasp 0x763b…865e | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x279372… |
| 06-08 05:59:40 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x279372… |
| 06-08 04:07:31 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbdcfd… |
| 06-08 04:07:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xdbdcfd… |
| 06-08 03:58:03 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1148fe… |
| 06-08 03:58:03 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1148fe… |
| 06-08 03:51:45 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7a14d7… |
| 06-08 03:51:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7a14d7… |
| 06-08 03:15:54 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa03044… |
| 06-08 03:15:54 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa03044… |
| 06-06 02:45:06 | Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de…fe0e | No | SELL | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x0600d6… |
| 06-06 02:45:06 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0600d6… |
| 06-05 08:01:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49a374… |
| 06-05 08:01:45 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x49a374… |
| 06-05 05:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 363 | 100¢ | $362 | 0x1a1255… |
| 06-05 05:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x6e54…97ee | No | SELL | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x1a1255… |
| 06-05 05:22:07 | Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7 | Yes | SELL | 568 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1a1255… |
| 06-05 05:22:07 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 64 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a1255… |
| 06-05 05:22:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a1255… |
| 06-04 15:20:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60e3ae… |
| 06-04 15:20:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x60e3ae… |
| 06-04 00:35:30 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd2fef0… |
| 06-04 00:35:30 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2fef0… |
| 06-02 20:16:25 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf90a5e… |
| 06-02 20:16:25 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf90a5e… |
| 06-01 22:46:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac1fb1… |
| 06-01 22:46:49 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac1fb1… |
| 06-01 21:33:21 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5faeaa… |
| 06-01 21:33:21 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5faeaa… |
| 06-01 21:21:20 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe3cd55… |
| 06-01 21:21:20 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe3cd55… |
| 06-01 17:05:20 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x21ebe4… |
| 06-01 17:05:20 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x21ebe4… |
| 05-29 18:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x1aac…d1e3 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xa76eaf… |
| 05-29 18:45:39 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa76eaf… |