Quizzical-Revitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$463

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,588

lifetime

Volume

$3.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$422

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$97

Politics

28% 50% +$365

Other

18% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	165	$162.2K	151,970	138,150	+13,820	open	—	06-03 13:22
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	116	$109.5K	112,890	0	+112,890	open	—	06-08 12:03
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	19	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	07-21 22:01
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 11	11	$91.9K	92,140	0	+92,140	open	—	06-11 10:14
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	23	$83.3K	85,209	0	+85,209	open	—	06-29 11:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	334	$82.8K	120,444	9,128	+111,316	open	—	06-01 11:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	59	$79.0K	85,300	900	+84,400	open	—	03-04 16:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	9	$75.7K	75,758	0	+75,758	open	—	06-12 20:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	110	$75.7K	78,836	0	+78,836	open	—	06-17 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1,133	$73.9K	148,667	1,731	+146,937	Yes	+$890	05-07 17:05
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$66.9K	66,949	0	+66,949	open	—	06-22 08:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	77	$64.2K	64,320	0	+64,320	open	—	07-11 23:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	24	$61.9K	63,000	0	+63,000	open	—	02-28 08:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	73	$55.0K	55,928	0	+55,928	open	—	03-12 17:06
starmer out by june 22 2026	54	$54.5K	54,609	0	+54,609	open	—	06-22 08:38
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 11	314	$50.2K	68,020	0	+68,020	open	—	04-11 16:46
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	07-09 15:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	122	$46.4K	56,206	17,900	+38,306	open	—	05-31 21:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$42.9K	43,000	0	+43,000	open	—	04-08 15:41
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	28	$40.3K	40,710	0	+40,710	open	—	06-14 23:23
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	10	$39.9K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	07-15 20:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	26	$38.9K	39,000	0	+39,000	open	—	03-18 18:00
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 25	22	$36.4K	36,397	0	+36,397	open	—	03-25 13:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	04-30 20:57
will axiom be accused of insider trading	30	$31.7K	31,834	0	+31,834	open	—	02-26 13:53
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	24	$30.1K	60,461	0	+60,461	open	—	02-28 07:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	490	$30.1K	59,633	1,999	+57,634	open	—	04-26 19:28
will bitcoin reach 72k march 23 29	9	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-25 14:28
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 31	29	$29.5K	29,643	0	+29,643	open	—	03-31 10:48
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	24	$28.8K	28,987	0	+28,987	open	—	07-06 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 20:51:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xca24ce…
07-25 20:05:25	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	261	98¢	$255	0xbf1cbd…
07-25 20:05:19	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa5d973…
07-25 15:56:57	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x66170b…
07-25 13:33:42	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,322	100¢	$1,319	0x59e56d…
07-25 13:27:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x5b3b42…
07-25 11:56:46	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb686ae…
07-25 11:55:43	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x8c8b98…
07-25 09:50:51	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9b8e0d…
07-25 09:15:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xde4d1e…
07-25 08:31:48	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x3219f1…
07-25 08:31:46	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x039ba6…
07-25 08:31:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe5c331…
07-25 08:31:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4eb11f…
07-25 08:31:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1deac3…
07-25 08:31:43	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x883e68…
07-25 08:17:34	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	534	96¢	$514	0x3ad999…
07-24 18:55:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	372	100¢	$371	0xa9105e…
07-24 18:28:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5f481…
07-24 18:22:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0bf55…
07-24 17:42:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc69208…
07-24 17:41:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0x2b1d98…
07-24 17:28:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf4972d…
07-24 17:26:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d810e…
07-24 17:20:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x459dbc…
07-24 17:20:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c70b…
07-24 17:14:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xac7998…
07-24 17:14:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	3,908	100¢	$3,904	0x603ba5…
07-24 17:12:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa7a54b…
07-24 17:12:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5cf07c…
07-24 17:09:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x4c1866…
07-21 22:01:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,104	100¢	$3,095	0xb075f2…
07-21 21:59:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	7,627	100¢	$7,604	0x19be8d…
07-21 21:53:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	24,037	100¢	$23,965	0x38f7b0…
07-21 21:45:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x215e08…
07-21 21:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf7609a…
07-21 21:35:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x388fa5…
07-21 21:34:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,867	100¢	$1,861	0x801aa6…
07-21 21:33:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xde4b3e…
07-21 21:33:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xa001ce…
07-21 21:31:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	30,047	100¢	$29,957	0x609c3b…
07-21 21:29:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,357	100¢	$1,353	0xebcd23…
07-21 21:26:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x42a9cd…
07-21 21:22:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,107	0xc7dab1…
07-21 21:21:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,543	100¢	$1,539	0x2462a5…
07-21 21:20:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3962b8…
07-21 21:20:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,280	100¢	$3,270	0x099fd3…
07-21 21:18:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,133	100¢	$3,124	0xd93d19…
07-21 21:16:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x284906…
07-21 21:14:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	20,216	100¢	$20,156	0x316557…
07-19 22:17:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x971b4b…
07-19 22:16:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0xeefa09…
07-19 22:15:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	769	100¢	$767	0xcb372c…
07-19 22:12:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x855ec1…
07-19 22:10:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a9c3f…
07-19 22:09:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb87322…
07-19 22:09:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f7b64…
07-19 22:05:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	494	100¢	$493	0xe84c0c…
07-19 22:00:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x21f541…
07-19 21:59:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x781e10…
07-19 21:57:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfb5d67…
07-19 21:54:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x8ec0ca…
07-19 21:51:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,990	0xf9954e…
07-19 21:50:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2294f9…
07-19 21:50:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3,883	100¢	$3,874	0xc40b9d…
07-18 22:12:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe87412…
07-18 22:12:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xf2ed45…
07-18 22:12:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,027	99¢	$1,016	0x425678…
07-18 22:12:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x301112…
07-18 22:12:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	488	99¢	$483	0xc60d33…
07-18 22:11:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x221e9a…
07-18 22:11:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0x0a9784…
07-18 22:11:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb958ff…
07-18 22:11:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc7ef7f…
07-18 22:11:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x0d5d88…
07-18 22:11:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	323	99¢	$319	0xc7ffec…
07-18 22:11:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xbf9a66…
07-18 22:11:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4b8623…
07-18 22:11:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	917	99¢	$908	0x82c419…
07-18 22:11:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0xfff8a1…
07-18 22:11:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0xeab643…
07-18 22:10:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2259c…
07-18 22:02:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10,736	100¢	$10,725	0xca19dd…
07-18 21:58:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x113389…
07-18 21:57:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x628755…
07-18 21:57:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bde6a…
07-18 21:57:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf61762…
07-18 21:56:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47c4d6…
07-18 21:55:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe212c6…
07-18 21:55:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52ba02…
07-18 21:54:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,642	100¢	$1,640	0xb3b9ad…
07-18 21:54:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc9587…
07-18 21:53:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7,541	100¢	$7,533	0x7b15b5…
07-18 21:02:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1f1d81…
07-18 21:02:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	168	4¢	$7	0x8ba5a5…
07-18 21:02:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	550	4¢	$21	0x266d57…
07-18 21:02:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	260	4¢	$10	0xcd43b8…
07-18 21:02:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x884b2d…
07-18 20:59:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x871a14…
07-18 20:56:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0xae6e24…