Realized P&L
+$87.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.65K
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved
711
Trades
12,328
lifetime
Volume
$6.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$522
Open exposure
$109.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
48% 94% +$17,325
Crypto
26% 97% +$58,651
Politics
21% 94% +$10,620
Sports
3% 93% +$231
Tech
3% 100% +$249
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +21,478 $17,278 94¢ $20.3K +$3,019 05-05 15:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +18,000 $15,970 98¢ $17.7K +$1,715 09-19 05:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +11,648 $11,566 100¢ $11.6K +$24 10-31 21:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,000 $9,100 96¢ $9.6K +$450 10-16 14:49
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +6,854 $6,809 100¢ $6.8K +$34 10-31 21:40
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +5,822 $2,871 98¢ $5.7K +$2,844 05-30 18:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,000 $1,601 97¢ $4.8K +$3,244 09-15 20:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +4,641 $3,628 100¢ $4.6K +$997 10-23 17:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,130 $4,122 100¢ $4.1K +$4 11-01 00:00
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +3,028 $2,970 100¢ $3.0K +$55 10-01 08:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +2,150 $2,132 100¢ $2.1K +$15 10-30 06:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +2,000 $1,976 99¢ $2.0K +$13 10-16 14:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,000 $1,914 97¢ $1.9K +$30 10-19 22:50
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,969 $1,559 98¢ $1.9K +$365 09-04 07:39
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +2,000 $1,820 96¢ $1.9K +$98 08-08 13:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +1,851 $1,837 100¢ $1.8K +$12 10-31 23:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,698 $1,686 100¢ $1.7K +$9 10-31 14:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,465 98¢ $1.5K +$10 10-31 23:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +1,000 $990 100¢ $998 +$8 10-02 09:58
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $960 98¢ $980 +$20 10-03 09:33
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,000 $930 98¢ $976 +$46 09-04 20:49
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195 No +900 $794 96¢ $868 +$74 07-03 02:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +700 $689 100¢ $699 +$10 10-02 10:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +10,000 $700 4¢ $450 -$250 10-28 20:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,364 $1,906 2¢ $374 -$1,532 08-14 05:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $317 70¢ $282 -$35 10-29 02:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +4,170 $821 6¢ $229 -$592 05-05 22:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5,000 $960 3¢ $155 -$805 08-24 08:45
gta vi released before november 2026 No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 08-23 01:47
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +1,969 $283 2¢ $45 -$237 09-03 14:25