Quizzical-Revitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.59K

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

711

Trades

12,337

lifetime

Volume

$6.44M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$522

Open exposure

$112.3K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

48% 94% +$17,325

Crypto

26% 97% +$58,651

Politics

21% 94% +$10,620

Sports

3% 93% +$231

Tech

3% 100% +$249

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+21,478	$17,278	94¢	$20.3K	+$3,019	05-05 15:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+18,000	$15,970	98¢	$17.7K	+$1,715	09-19 05:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+14,648	$14,543	99¢	$14.5K	-$12	11-01 01:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+10,000	$9,100	96¢	$9.6K	+$450	10-16 14:49
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+6,854	$6,809	100¢	$6.8K	+$34	10-31 21:40
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	+5,822	$2,871	98¢	$5.7K	+$2,844	05-30 18:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+5,000	$1,601	97¢	$4.8K	+$3,242	09-15 20:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,641	$3,628	100¢	$4.6K	+$994	10-23 17:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,130	$4,122	100¢	$4.1K	+$2	11-01 00:00
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+3,028	$2,970	100¢	$3.0K	+$55	10-01 08:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+2,150	$2,132	100¢	$2.1K	+$15	10-30 06:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+2,000	$1,976	99¢	$2.0K	+$12	10-16 14:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,914	97¢	$1.9K	+$31	10-19 22:50
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	+1,969	$1,559	98¢	$1.9K	+$366	09-04 07:39
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+2,000	$1,820	96¢	$1.9K	+$98	08-08 13:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,851	$1,837	100¢	$1.8K	+$12	10-31 23:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,698	$1,686	100¢	$1.7K	+$8	10-31 14:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$1,465	98¢	$1.5K	+$9	10-31 23:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+1,000	$990	100¢	$998	+$8	10-02 09:58
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$960	98¢	$980	+$20	10-03 09:33
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+1,000	$930	97¢	$970	+$40	09-04 20:49
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	+900	$794	96¢	$867	+$73	07-03 02:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	+700	$689	100¢	$699	+$10	10-02 10:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+10,000	$700	4¢	$450	-$250	10-28 20:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+21,364	$1,906	2¢	$374	-$1,532	08-14 05:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+400	$317	70¢	$278	-$39	10-29 02:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+4,170	$821	6¢	$229	-$592	05-05 22:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$960	3¢	$157	-$802	08-24 08:45
gta vi released before november 2026	No	+100	$97	100¢	$100	+$3	08-23 01:47
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	+1,969	$283	2¢	$44	-$238	09-03 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	582	$216.4K	309,871	140,114	+169,757	No	+$10,214	06-03 13:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	301	$165.2K	101,000	91,000	+10,000	open	—	09-15 20:51
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	321	$119.4K	119,513	0	+119,513	Yes	+$142	06-21 06:09
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	11	$109.7K	109,795	0	+109,795	No	+$110	06-26 04:01
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	116	$109.5K	112,890	0	+112,890	Yes	+$3,427	06-08 12:03
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	11	$108.2K	108,333	0	+108,333	Yes	+$108	06-19 21:08
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	19	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$300	07-21 22:01
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	38	$99.0K	99,079	0	+99,079	Yes	+$99	07-07 22:25
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	10	$93.3K	93,438	0	+93,438	No	+$93	07-01 22:00
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 11	11	$91.9K	92,140	0	+92,140	Yes	+$248	06-11 10:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	360	$88.7K	128,801	9,128	+119,673	Yes	+$32,355	06-01 11:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	117	$84.9K	85,000	0	+85,000	Yes	+$85	07-19 22:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	23	$83.3K	85,209	0	+85,209	No	+$1,874	06-29 11:53
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	48	$83.3K	83,408	0	+83,408	No	+$83	07-05 22:01
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	17	$82.0K	82,156	0	+82,156	No	+$135	07-06 21:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	129	$81.1K	85,000	0	+85,000	Yes	+$3,906	06-17 18:41
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	24	$80.0K	80,080	0	+80,080	No	+$80	07-03 20:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	59	$79.0K	85,300	900	+84,400	Yes	-$33	03-04 16:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	229	$78.7K	80,091	50,091	+30,000	No	+$613	09-15 21:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	9	$75.7K	75,758	0	+75,758	No	+$77	06-12 20:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$75.2K	75,270	0	+75,270	Yes	+$75	07-29 18:00
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	34	$74.4K	74,642	0	+74,642	No	+$271	06-21 17:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1,133	$73.9K	148,667	1,731	+146,937	Yes	+$890	05-07 17:05
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	25	$72.8K	73,000	0	+73,000	No	+$203	06-23 17:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$66.9K	66,949	0	+66,949	Yes	+$67	06-22 08:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	77	$64.2K	64,320	0	+64,320	Over	+$161	07-11 23:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	24	$61.9K	63,000	0	+63,000	Yes	+$138	02-28 08:03
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	32	$59.6K	59,832	0	+59,832	No	+$231	07-07 18:06
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	44	$59.4K	59,837	0	+59,837	Yes	+$449	06-14 23:29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	73	$55.0K	55,928	0	+55,928	Yes	+$899	03-12 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:28:48	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xc925b5…
11-01 00:38:58	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x3fed14…
11-01 00:00:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	817	100¢	$817	0x1d5484…
10-31 23:46:15	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x9e0bb3…
10-31 23:46:15	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x6406ab…
10-31 23:46:15	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x124800…
10-31 23:43:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52c662…
10-31 23:18:00	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x184b7f…
10-31 22:39:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2fb248…
10-31 22:10:34	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xbd3803…
10-31 22:08:43	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x26da25…
10-31 22:07:58	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x427dea…
10-31 22:07:33	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc2a072…
10-31 22:07:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1c2fcc…
10-31 22:07:24	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x05ec2b…
10-31 21:51:37	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x685b86…
10-31 21:51:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4ef005…
10-31 21:51:27	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf2d662…
10-31 21:43:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,160	100¢	$2,158	0x910a03…
10-31 21:42:34	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x219193…
10-31 21:40:54	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6,189	100¢	$6,158	0x376fad…
10-31 21:40:24	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	2,347	99¢	$2,333	0xcb1476…
10-31 21:40:00	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf83e9f…
10-31 21:39:46	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	1,341	100¢	$1,340	0x7af229…
10-31 16:11:37	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b262a…
10-31 14:37:30	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	No	BUY	1,083	99¢	$1,075	0x1a3a5d…
10-31 14:36:46	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xa2ceac…
10-31 14:35:52	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$556	0x62bae1…
10-31 12:10:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x12d81e…
10-31 12:02:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0xa68609…
10-31 11:27:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0x22cdb2…
10-31 11:26:16	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0xfbaca4…
10-31 11:15:27	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xcb5cf3…
10-31 10:30:19	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x708806…
10-31 09:59:10	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79080d…
10-31 09:57:58	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0x5af06c…
10-31 07:41:19	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	6,362	100¢	$6,355	0x40fed8…
10-31 03:14:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5c5539…
10-30 23:27:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x773775…
10-30 22:42:07	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x97de70…
10-30 21:47:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x2ba21c…
10-30 21:46:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	251	99¢	$249	0x2e55fc…
10-30 21:46:16	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xdd3dda…
10-30 21:45:43	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	520	100¢	$518	0x3987a0…
10-30 20:55:18	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x048bc7…
10-30 20:29:43	Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xa8cdc7…
10-30 19:57:57	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x0e2e93…
10-30 19:24:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf659af…
10-30 19:15:01	Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xe2619e…
10-30 18:31:34	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0x728dbb…
10-30 16:52:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xcb7f8b…
10-30 15:45:52	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0a008c…
10-30 15:45:45	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xe7e899…
10-30 15:45:45	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9913b7…
10-30 14:43:54	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xfe01c3…
10-30 14:43:54	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7b1dea…
10-30 13:21:31	US imports Russian diesel by November 2?	No	BUY	268	98¢	$263	0x7830b0…
10-30 12:47:45	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x6ce7fc…
10-30 12:13:06	Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9c6a53…
10-30 12:03:00	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x07d54e…
10-30 11:43:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x545bb8…
10-30 10:40:43	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0xe62ae2…
10-30 09:29:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0x8c5977…
10-30 09:28:54	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3f7465…
10-30 09:23:04	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,193	0xadef6e…
10-30 09:11:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	357	99¢	$355	0x786601…
10-30 08:56:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7df676…
10-30 08:31:07	Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x2f354a…
10-30 08:10:49	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x2256ab…
10-30 07:49:16	Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x730e47…
10-30 07:27:48	US imports Russian diesel by November 2?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x918389…
10-30 07:09:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x36b1cf…
10-30 07:01:39	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x1ce90c…
10-30 06:59:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	837	99¢	$832	0x43b276…
10-30 06:44:40	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0xa30ec9…
10-30 06:43:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd31a92…
10-30 06:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb8389a…
10-30 06:34:31	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1,494	99¢	$1,476	0xab8c7b…
10-30 06:26:15	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	1,867	99¢	$1,857	0x32dbd9…
10-29 21:50:45	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0xaaedbd…
10-29 21:14:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x8e7b52…
10-29 07:46:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,299	99¢	$3,279	0x57fb36…
10-29 07:42:28	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,595	99¢	$1,586	0xaf04ce…
10-29 07:33:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x1956ee…
10-29 02:14:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x33e16c…
10-28 23:02:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0x2c18ec…
10-28 22:51:43	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,965	0xc6c812…
10-28 20:53:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	79¢	$142	0xc2f680…
10-28 20:53:47	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xebb544…
10-28 20:31:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0x3b8709…
10-28 20:30:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x97a40b…
10-28 20:01:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$974	0x33d56e…
10-28 19:42:56	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1,419	99¢	$1,402	0xee6f84…
10-28 19:08:50	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	3,577	7¢	$250	0x340079…
10-28 19:04:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	898	7¢	$63	0x75499a…
10-28 18:32:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	161	7¢	$11	0xc11ac9…
10-28 18:04:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1e0a4b…
10-28 18:02:58	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xe7b9e9…
10-28 17:59:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	963	97¢	$937	0xd0c857…
10-28 17:58:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x6cc5c0…