Realized P&L
-$559
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved
219
Trades
2,592
lifetime
Volume
$10.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$126
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-28 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 64% $-292
Other
40% 64% $-143
Politics
11% 75% +$2
Sports
6% 50% $-126
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 06-24 21:22
Trump out as President by June 30? No +19 $18 100¢ $19 +$0 06-04 07:07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $13 86¢ $13 +$1 06-02 02:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 06-02 02:00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-24 04:49
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-24 21:20
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-04 03:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-24 15:54
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-28 04:20
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-23 01:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-12 14:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-21 16:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-26 04:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 06:55
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 06-26 04:35
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 22:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 01:10
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 05:25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-14 16:28