Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved
33
Trades
4,252
lifetime
Volume
$540.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$3.61K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-10 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
51% 80% $-114
Other
29% 82% +$111
Crypto
10% 100% +$28
Sports
6% 100% +$0
Tech
2% 0% $-97
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No -1,947 $-1,905 97¢ $-1882 +$23 06-03 09:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,350 $1,320 100¢ $1.3K +$29 06-07 22:28
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +191 $178 94¢ $179 +$1 06-03 17:00
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +86 $85 98¢ $84 $-1 06-03 20:03
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +23 $22 92¢ $21 $-1 06-04 18:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +20 $47 91¢ $18 $-29 06-09 23:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 +$0 06-10 01:39
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 05-28 09:55
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-09 13:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-06 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-08 10:44
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-03 22:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-09 23:45
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? Yes -5 $-3 69¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 22:50