Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
-$927
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved
33
Trades
5,150
lifetime
Volume
$883.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$10.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-30 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
63% 80% $-114
Other
24% 82% +$111
Crypto
6% 100% +$28
Sports
4% 100% +$0
Tech
2% 0% $-97
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +7,597 $7,296 82¢ $6.2K $-1,100 06-30 16:51
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,221 $1,958 100¢ $2.2K +$260 06-30 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,405 $1,511 100¢ $1.4K $-113 06-29 08:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -710 $-502 44¢ $-316 +$186 06-30 11:51
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +200 $176 88¢ $175 $-1 06-25 21:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +105 $103 100¢ $105 +$1 06-28 00:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +384 $229 18¢ $71 $-158 06-30 16:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No -56 $-61 100¢ $-55 +$6 06-27 15:15
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +51 $48 96¢ $49 +$1 06-25 21:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +44 $41 100¢ $43 +$3 06-19 13:17
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +23 $22 99¢ $23 +$1 06-04 18:04
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-23 09:32
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-28 00:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $4 34¢ $3 $-0 06-30 01:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +44 $12 $0 $-12 06-27 09:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 13:24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$1 06-27 15:11