Bubbly-Video — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$910

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

11,254

lifetime

Volume

$618.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-09 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$910

Other

42% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 820 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2,325	$101.0K	561,290	570,494	-9,205	open	—	03-30 12:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	482	$67.6K	348,938	360,003	-11,065	open	—	04-19 13:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	397	$48.1K	184,685	184,239	+446	open	—	03-13 23:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	172	$41.9K	103,767	99,493	+4,274	open	—	03-05 11:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	237	$41.3K	185,047	179,727	+5,320	open	—	04-02 01:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	49	$19.7K	50,435	50,435	+0	open	—	04-18 09:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	183	$17.2K	104,129	104,917	-789	open	—	04-07 22:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	63	$16.4K	14,548	14,548	+0	open	—	02-28 13:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	46	$13.6K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	03-13 15:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	91	$10.2K	29,141	30,825	-1,684	open	—	05-09 21:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	97	$8.9K	17,351	17,851	-500	open	—	04-25 15:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	141	$8.9K	41,935	41,935	+0	open	—	04-21 20:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	82	$8.8K	24,698	24,581	+117	open	—	05-23 03:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	88	$7.6K	21,390	21,390	+0	No	+$20	05-01 17:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$7.6K	12,362	12,451	-89	open	—	05-24 05:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	104	$7.5K	22,964	18,633	+4,332	open	—	05-26 00:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	104	$7.4K	13,665	13,665	+0	open	—	04-22 19:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	88	$7.1K	18,527	18,527	+0	open	—	05-16 20:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	101	$7.0K	23,084	26,687	-3,603	open	—	05-20 05:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	81	$6.1K	24,663	27,471	-2,808	open	—	05-12 19:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	175	$5.7K	15,065	15,436	-371	No	+$119	05-05 22:59
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	31	$5.5K	6,771	6,771	+0	open	—	03-08 14:08
iran leadership change by march 31	106	$5.3K	7,646	7,646	+0	open	—	03-09 12:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	32	$5.2K	5,863	5,863	+0	open	—	03-03 22:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	66	$5.0K	9,853	13,396	-3,544	open	—	05-24 14:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	37	$4.5K	7,868	7,868	+0	open	—	05-06 09:16
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	14	$4.1K	3,257	3,257	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	72	$3.7K	15,689	18,718	-3,030	open	—	05-12 19:59
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	34	$3.7K	5,026	5,026	+0	open	—	06-07 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	31	$3.4K	19,142	18,174	+968	open	—	04-24 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:13:46	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	281	7¢	$19	0xa3f457…
06-10 01:13:46	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	448	7¢	$30	0x97e6b5…
06-10 01:07:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	288	7¢	$20	0x2e5781…
06-10 01:06:33	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	225	7¢	$15	0x43b273…
06-09 23:20:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	58	9¢	$5	0xd3b512…
06-09 23:20:13	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x8b76d4…
06-09 22:30:09	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xecdc26…
06-09 22:29:18	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x38aeb6…
06-09 22:29:16	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3bdb7f…
06-09 22:29:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x95e81a…
06-09 22:29:07	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x54ce6c…
06-09 22:26:33	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	206	7¢	$14	0x853e1f…
06-09 21:41:13	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0be243…
06-09 21:41:04	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xee7dc7…
06-09 21:40:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x466b4b…
06-09 21:40:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x01e1c9…
06-09 21:40:55	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x63fa32…
06-09 21:40:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4e0e20…
06-09 21:40:34	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x1a0139…
06-09 21:40:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa2141f…
06-09 21:40:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0d616b…
06-09 21:26:27	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,112	5¢	$59	0x0c0743…
06-09 21:26:27	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	87	5¢	$5	0x04682f…
06-09 21:26:13	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	635	5¢	$34	0x208a45…
06-09 21:17:43	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	468	9¢	$40	0xcc7f3f…
06-09 21:16:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	145	9¢	$12	0x232768…
06-09 21:16:30	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	1,523	9¢	$131	0xdbc363…
06-09 21:09:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	503	17¢	$85	0x1f8f85…
06-09 20:54:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	2,275	2¢	$48	0x00fd42…
06-09 20:46:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	1,170	2¢	$23	0x56adc5…
06-09 20:38:27	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x77d4a5…
06-09 20:12:39	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0xc3948e…
06-09 20:10:16	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	3,500	3¢	$91	0x47334f…
06-09 20:07:16	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	2,070	4¢	$87	0x68d756…
06-09 20:04:52	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	2,070	3¢	$64	0xb85c14…
06-09 19:51:57	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	1,430	5¢	$64	0xeb52d2…
06-09 19:23:24	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,695	6¢	$103	0xdba477…
06-09 19:23:07	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0eec64…
06-09 19:12:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xbe5b69…
06-09 19:11:21	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	467	5¢	$24	0x7627e7…
06-09 17:35:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	1,546	4¢	$57	0x955d00…
06-09 17:12:48	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xb18a90…
06-09 17:12:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	281	4¢	$11	0xc8cee5…
06-09 17:10:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	424	20¢	$85	0x0c78f6…
06-09 17:08:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x6a56c8…
06-09 17:07:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xff3390…
06-09 17:06:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xa2859d…
06-09 17:06:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x2a9cd5…
06-09 17:06:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xecd5cf…
06-09 17:06:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x486ffa…
06-09 17:01:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,483	3¢	$43	0x358d70…
06-09 16:57:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x72ab2d…
06-09 16:54:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x893dfa…
06-09 16:53:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	379	19¢	$72	0x6fccef…
06-09 16:52:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$9	0xb6f3d1…
06-09 16:50:09	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x21174a…
06-09 16:45:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0x1d68eb…
06-09 16:39:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	714	19¢	$136	0x38cf98…
06-09 16:33:37	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	2,537	3¢	$69	0xa24599…
06-09 15:44:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	469	21¢	$98	0x8d06a8…
06-09 15:43:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xfb8a82…
06-09 15:43:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xf5e06a…
06-09 15:43:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x8e80cc…
06-09 14:59:48	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x78878f…
06-09 14:16:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf36bc1…
06-09 14:13:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	106	14¢	$15	0xdad6d8…
06-09 13:21:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	2,045	2¢	$45	0x51782f…
06-09 13:21:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x0acb7e…
06-09 12:47:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	241	17¢	$41	0x43c9c2…
06-09 12:41:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	248	17¢	$42	0x0b94d0…
06-09 08:41:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	305	11¢	$34	0x205769…
06-09 08:34:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xf1ff4b…
06-09 08:33:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	95	11¢	$10	0x4806f6…
06-09 08:25:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xb3017f…
06-09 08:19:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	891	11¢	$98	0x578cf1…
06-09 08:07:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	1,722	10¢	$172	0x77a95c…
06-09 07:08:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	474	3¢	$14	0xa9b439…
06-09 05:21:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x4cf7e6…
06-09 05:11:10	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x2e1407…
06-09 05:09:10	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xd4625b…
06-09 05:05:25	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc22e76…
06-09 04:21:52	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	141	2¢	$3	0xbcb922…
06-08 22:58:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$4	0xdbcd6f…
06-08 22:00:49	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x48c568…
06-08 21:59:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x65ab34…
06-08 21:57:31	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xbc150e…
06-08 21:52:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x9b158e…
06-08 18:31:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,455	16¢	$233	0x456b99…
06-08 15:27:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	2,027	4¢	$79	0x2581d5…
06-08 14:50:42	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	295	5¢	$14	0x4cfc9f…
06-08 14:35:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	255	4¢	$11	0xac479f…
06-08 14:34:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,500	4¢	$63	0x0da19c…
06-08 14:33:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x123266…
06-08 13:50:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	523	4¢	$22	0xec2cf5…
06-08 13:01:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	253	21¢	$53	0xa69a45…
06-08 12:59:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xd3df1c…
06-08 12:50:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x97c902…
06-08 12:45:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ba59d…
06-08 12:42:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x1246b0…
06-08 12:00:33	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	867	5¢	$43	0x12e3da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	140	$1.70M	25,688	06-10 05:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	137	$40.1M	55,554	06-10 05:23
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	126	$501	247	06-08 02:09
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	123	$176.0K	1,378	06-08 20:58
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	120	$40.8K	4,179	06-09 20:22
Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65	115	$2.06M	5,359	06-09 04:15
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	109	$606.2K	48,915	06-10 04:47
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	108	$28.4K	2,250	06-09 23:46