Bubbly-Video — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$910

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

13,097

lifetime

Volume

$727.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-21 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$910

Other

37% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2,325	$101.0K	561,290	570,494	-9,205	open	—	03-30 12:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	482	$67.6K	348,938	360,003	-11,065	open	—	04-19 13:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	397	$48.1K	184,685	184,239	+446	open	—	03-13 23:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	172	$41.9K	103,767	99,493	+4,274	open	—	03-05 11:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	237	$41.3K	185,047	179,727	+5,320	open	—	04-02 01:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	49	$19.7K	50,435	50,435	+0	open	—	04-18 09:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	183	$17.2K	104,129	104,917	-789	open	—	04-07 22:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	63	$16.4K	14,548	14,548	+0	open	—	02-28 13:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	218	$14.1K	28,550	25,684	+2,867	open	—	06-21 14:43
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	46	$13.6K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	03-13 15:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	223	$13.4K	43,002	33,176	+9,826	open	—	07-21 20:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	102	$12.7K	42,178	44,781	-2,602	open	—	06-14 20:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	91	$10.2K	29,141	30,825	-1,684	open	—	05-09 21:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	97	$8.9K	17,351	17,851	-500	open	—	04-25 15:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	141	$8.9K	41,935	41,935	+0	open	—	04-21 20:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	82	$8.8K	24,698	24,581	+117	open	—	05-23 03:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	101	$8.3K	19,105	20,462	-1,358	open	—	06-16 21:48
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	129	$8.2K	46,194	46,427	-233	open	—	06-26 16:55
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	126	$7.9K	40,661	40,661	+0	open	—	07-13 16:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	88	$7.6K	21,390	21,390	+0	No	+$20	05-01 17:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$7.6K	12,362	12,451	-89	open	—	05-24 05:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	104	$7.5K	22,964	18,633	+4,332	open	—	05-26 00:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	104	$7.4K	13,665	13,665	+0	open	—	04-22 19:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	88	$7.1K	18,527	18,527	+0	open	—	05-16 20:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	101	$7.0K	23,084	26,687	-3,603	open	—	05-20 05:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	92	$6.4K	28,211	28,211	+0	open	—	06-12 20:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	81	$6.1K	24,663	27,471	-2,808	open	—	05-12 19:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	134	$5.9K	59,950	59,950	+0	open	—	06-28 00:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	175	$5.7K	15,065	15,436	-371	No	+$119	05-05 22:59
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	31	$5.5K	6,771	6,771	+0	open	—	03-08 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 20:33:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x3547c7…
07-21 20:18:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x684c06…
07-21 17:35:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,326	8¢	$266	0x6ca294…
07-21 17:22:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,107	8¢	$89	0x269d65…
07-21 16:22:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	3,937	9¢	$354	0x37d7ad…
07-21 16:21:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xeb26ff…
07-21 15:25:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x68e71d…
07-21 14:41:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	1,450	16¢	$232	0x1f9db2…
07-21 14:29:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xa29726…
07-21 14:20:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xa7e4b2…
07-21 14:20:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x012149…
07-21 13:42:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0x5cba7e…
07-21 13:39:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x5f99d8…
07-21 13:39:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6a3528…
07-21 11:43:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xdc5b2b…
07-21 11:37:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x69daa1…
07-21 11:36:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xdf3871…
07-21 07:59:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x76397c…
07-21 07:59:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x86d028…
07-20 17:38:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8b1660…
07-20 17:36:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x77fadb…
07-20 16:23:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6da4e8…
07-20 12:25:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,820	11¢	$310	0x25f007…
07-20 07:32:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	2,235	14¢	$313	0xe772b8…
07-20 05:37:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,029	14¢	$144	0x7ddd97…
07-20 00:54:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x2c38f3…
07-19 22:57:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,776	14¢	$249	0x02c1fc…
07-19 22:47:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x0202bd…
07-19 22:46:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xb79a54…
07-19 22:46:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,144	16¢	$183	0x9cec7a…
07-19 18:21:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2,288	16¢	$366	0xd9f0bf…
07-19 17:55:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x532719…
07-19 17:51:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	190	15¢	$28	0x7395d6…
07-19 17:04:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	789	15¢	$118	0xf59bd5…
07-19 16:46:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	969	9¢	$87	0xc408d6…
07-19 10:22:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	295	16¢	$47	0xb123aa…
07-19 09:46:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbf63fb…
07-19 09:33:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc144d0…
07-19 09:28:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xa5165a…
07-19 09:08:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	365	16¢	$58	0xdb2203…
07-19 08:42:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x4f19ce…
07-19 08:17:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	91	17¢	$15	0x2ce4e5…
07-19 08:10:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x4d4889…
07-19 07:05:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	318	17¢	$54	0xf7af02…
07-19 06:58:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	88	17¢	$15	0x89e308…
07-19 06:24:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xb8a700…
07-19 05:44:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xa6354f…
07-19 05:41:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	93	17¢	$16	0xdd7673…
07-19 04:38:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,557	16¢	$249	0xea2548…
07-19 04:27:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	243	16¢	$39	0x9dea31…
07-19 00:37:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	79	17¢	$13	0x0829dc…
07-19 00:37:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0xe9832d…
07-19 00:28:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	97	17¢	$17	0xeb8e46…
07-19 00:27:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x102aa4…
07-19 00:27:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x3f0848…
07-19 00:20:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x9a6779…
07-19 00:19:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xd0cb7e…
07-19 00:07:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xcdd2a0…
07-19 00:03:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	163	17¢	$28	0xbf6a0d…
07-19 00:03:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x5289e6…
07-19 00:03:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xc39c20…
07-18 22:19:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xb85252…
07-18 22:17:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x426c27…
07-18 19:33:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3623af…
07-18 19:27:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x51e95e…
07-18 19:27:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x621417…
07-18 19:23:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	925	17¢	$157	0xda02d7…
07-18 19:18:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe42859…
07-18 19:18:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf3ac48…
07-18 19:18:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc65879…
07-18 19:17:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x67da00…
07-18 19:17:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xcf75e8…
07-18 19:17:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x451c3a…
07-18 19:16:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	2,981	14¢	$417	0x17dd92…
07-18 19:15:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xab8c83…
07-18 19:15:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xad2670…
07-18 19:13:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x2f4d43…
07-18 19:12:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x26a0ab…
07-18 19:12:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6ee58a…
07-18 19:11:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	599	17¢	$102	0x7c5aca…
07-18 19:07:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,815	17¢	$309	0x0818c3…
07-18 19:07:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xbd7698…
07-18 19:00:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb53128…
07-18 18:57:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x6db22f…
07-18 17:43:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	54	20¢	$11	0x185b53…
07-18 17:42:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x8b2d19…
07-18 17:14:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xcb2e4f…
07-18 16:55:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xadef0a…
07-18 16:49:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xfae138…
07-18 16:38:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,903	14¢	$406	0x5738ad…
07-18 16:20:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	824	17¢	$140	0xae3bc4…
07-18 16:06:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xdc01e5…
07-18 16:04:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x24a00d…
07-18 16:02:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	394	20¢	$79	0x2d06dc…
07-18 16:01:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xf55e72…
07-18 15:56:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	282	17¢	$48	0x36e7a5…
07-18 15:54:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	678	20¢	$136	0x832561…
07-18 15:31:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x7446d7…
07-18 15:24:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	422	13¢	$55	0xb7fc35…
07-18 15:20:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	686	13¢	$89	0xcd83a3…