Bubbly-Video — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$910

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

13,344

lifetime

Volume

$731.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 08-10 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$910

Other

37% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2,325	$101.0K	561,290	570,494	-9,205	open	—	03-30 12:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	482	$67.6K	348,938	360,003	-11,065	open	—	04-19 13:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	397	$48.1K	184,685	184,239	+446	open	—	03-13 23:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	172	$41.9K	103,767	99,493	+4,274	open	—	03-05 11:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	237	$41.3K	185,047	179,727	+5,320	open	—	04-02 01:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	49	$19.7K	50,435	50,435	+0	open	—	04-18 09:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	183	$17.2K	104,129	104,917	-789	open	—	04-07 22:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	63	$16.4K	14,548	14,548	+0	open	—	02-28 13:46
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	276	$14.8K	52,378	46,831	+5,546	open	—	07-30 00:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	218	$14.1K	28,550	25,684	+2,867	open	—	06-21 14:43
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	46	$13.6K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	03-13 15:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	102	$12.7K	42,178	44,781	-2,602	open	—	06-14 20:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	91	$10.2K	29,141	30,825	-1,684	open	—	05-09 21:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	97	$8.9K	17,351	17,851	-500	open	—	04-25 15:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	141	$8.9K	41,935	41,935	+0	open	—	04-21 20:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	82	$8.8K	24,698	24,581	+117	open	—	05-23 03:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	101	$8.3K	19,105	20,462	-1,358	open	—	06-16 21:48
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	129	$8.2K	46,194	46,427	-233	open	—	06-26 16:55
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	126	$7.9K	40,661	40,661	+0	open	—	07-13 16:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	88	$7.6K	21,390	21,390	+0	No	+$20	05-01 17:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$7.6K	12,362	12,451	-89	open	—	05-24 05:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	104	$7.5K	22,964	18,633	+4,332	open	—	05-26 00:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	104	$7.4K	13,665	13,665	+0	open	—	04-22 19:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	88	$7.1K	18,527	18,527	+0	open	—	05-16 20:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	101	$7.0K	23,084	26,687	-3,603	open	—	05-20 05:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	92	$6.4K	28,211	28,211	+0	open	—	06-12 20:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	81	$6.1K	24,663	27,471	-2,808	open	—	05-12 19:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	134	$5.9K	59,950	59,950	+0	open	—	06-28 00:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	175	$5.7K	15,065	15,436	-371	No	+$119	05-05 22:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	99	$5.6K	20,425	20,425	+0	open	—	07-24 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:58:15	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x0e17c8…
08-10 19:01:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x46fd43…
08-10 18:14:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	SELL	192	43¢	$82	0xeb10cc…
08-10 18:07:55	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x061cc2…
08-10 17:49:09	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0a502e…
08-10 13:41:00	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	BUY	157	42¢	$66	0x5151fa…
08-10 11:59:09	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0xb0013d…
08-08 07:30:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	3,630	2¢	$69	0xf10e49…
08-07 21:49:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	212	2¢	$4	0xb439a0…
08-07 14:36:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x632a31…
08-06 18:21:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,052	2¢	$25	0xc6dc42…
08-06 08:39:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,486	2¢	$25	0xece352…
08-05 11:31:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,004	3¢	$33	0x2ca823…
08-05 09:55:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0xa0ef6c…
08-05 09:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xc83404…
08-05 09:48:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xc487cf…
08-05 09:48:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	783	3¢	$24	0xd2f24a…
08-05 09:48:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xcaaade…
08-05 09:48:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xef6798…
08-05 02:09:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,435	2¢	$23	0x2cc60e…
08-04 19:40:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	547	3¢	$18	0x23003d…
08-04 18:57:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0xacc509…
08-04 18:57:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x429d0c…
08-04 18:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,083	4¢	$48	0xd5c69b…
08-04 18:13:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	823	5¢	$39	0x8a9362…
08-04 18:11:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	191	5¢	$9	0x0c3d68…
08-04 16:58:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,552	2¢	$36	0x5b50fa…
08-04 14:54:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	528	5¢	$24	0x61ea06…
08-04 14:21:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,500	5¢	$78	0xf63bc2…
08-04 12:15:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x709c97…
08-04 12:07:17	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x553a04…
07-31 15:42:53	eth updown 5m 1785512400	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xc07c7a…
07-31 11:55:42	xrp updown 5m 1785498600	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x060ab8…
07-31 11:53:03	xrp updown 5m 1785498600	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea7f37…
07-31 11:49:42	doge updown 5m 1785498300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x82e9f7…
07-30 00:46:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfe1d0d…
07-29 18:15:20	eth updown 5m 1785348900	Up	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x384d49…
07-29 18:14:05	eth updown 5m 1785348600	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc6f8e4…
07-29 18:13:56	eth updown 5m 1785348600	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xaf52f0…
07-29 18:11:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,120	1¢	$12	0x1d8561…
07-29 18:10:56	xrp updown 5m 1785348300	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe497f4…
07-29 18:07:47	xrp updown 5m 1785348300	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x39bdd8…
07-29 18:03:05	btc updown 5m 1785348000	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xb733ee…
07-29 18:01:39	btc updown 5m 1785348000	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc01be8…
07-29 17:59:32	btc updown 5m 1785347700	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0ca96e…
07-29 16:56:48	iran successfully targets shipping on july 29	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x9ff0ab…
07-29 16:50:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	131	1¢	$2	0xaceed6…
07-29 16:04:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	165	1¢	$2	0x442ab3…
07-29 16:03:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$3	0xf27c8f…
07-29 15:40:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$2	0x320e27…
07-29 15:39:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb5fa84…
07-29 15:31:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xbcc6c1…
07-29 15:00:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x10384e…
07-29 14:56:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	346	1¢	$4	0xf4fa58…
07-29 13:33:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x2cebcf…
07-29 13:14:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,623	1¢	$37	0x5fc527…
07-29 09:00:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 29	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x360381…
07-28 13:55:31	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	209	33¢	$69	0x4e2e32…
07-28 00:11:28	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	96	28¢	$27	0xf1c66e…
07-27 19:59:03	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	77	28¢	$22	0x1a9360…
07-27 18:53:31	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xb260b4…
07-27 18:53:28	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xc1c4ff…
07-27 12:35:48	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	124	48¢	$60	0xdb404a…
07-27 12:01:52	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	124	28¢	$35	0x2dee0c…
07-27 11:08:19	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xf786a5…
07-27 10:35:10	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xea8c56…
07-27 10:32:33	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0x987514…
07-27 09:46:25	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x3736b9…
07-27 09:32:30	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x5af29a…
07-27 09:26:22	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xda5545…
07-27 08:32:57	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	82	26¢	$21	0x7f5da7…
07-27 00:55:48	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	91	24¢	$22	0xc77df3…
07-26 22:04:55	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	121	27¢	$33	0xc955ec…
07-26 13:54:21	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0xe65939…
07-26 13:54:21	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	85	30¢	$26	0xe4f86d…
07-26 11:32:24	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	158	23¢	$36	0x4c26ef…
07-26 07:58:13	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0xcdf7a6…
07-26 07:56:52	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x826324…
07-26 06:55:34	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x0c166b…
07-25 23:12:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,267	3¢	$38	0x15ed05…
07-25 21:25:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x85e918…
07-25 21:25:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xdf6b0c…
07-25 21:24:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,108	3¢	$33	0x05f492…
07-25 20:49:58	doge updown 5m 1785012300	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xb755f4…
07-25 20:49:57	doge updown 5m 1785012300	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf1f694…
07-25 20:44:06	doge updown 15m 1785011400	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x55e1f0…
07-25 20:44:04	doge updown 15m 1785011400	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xd9fdfa…
07-25 20:16:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,428	3¢	$43	0x3c7feb…
07-25 18:06:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,428	3¢	$46	0x9d34f2…
07-25 14:51:27	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 25 2026 20260722225036918	Yes	SELL	102	12¢	$12	0xecb038…
07-25 14:44:25	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 25 2026 20260722225036918	Yes	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0x9ff1a2…
07-24 21:57:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x18e883…
07-24 21:44:55	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 25 2026 20260722225036918	Yes	BUY	229	10¢	$24	0x71dedc…
07-24 20:29:30	solana up or down july 24 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xa13d68…
07-24 20:03:12	solana up or down july 24 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5c342a…
07-24 20:00:24	solana up or down july 24 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xce5dcc…
07-24 19:58:37	sol updown 15m 1784922300	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x873eba…
07-24 19:56:13	sol updown 15m 1784922300	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc4c414…
07-24 19:56:13	sol updown 15m 1784922300	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x432228…
07-24 19:54:43	doge updown 15m 1784922300	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xccccae…